A global housing crisis is suffocating the middle class
A global housing crisis is suffocating the middle class
Prices have risen by 54% in the United States, 32% in China and nearly 15% in the European Union between 2015 and 2024. Though policies have been implemented to increase supply and regulate rentals, their impact has been limited and the problem is getting worse
Prices have risen by 54% in the United States, 32% in China and nearly 15% in the European Union between 2015 and 2024. Though policies have been implemented to increase supply and regulate rentals, their impact has been limited and the problem is getting worse
Housing access has become a critical issue worldwide, with cities that were once accessible reaching unsustainable price points. Solutions that have been proposed, like building more houses, capping rents, investing in subsidized housing and limiting the purchase of properties by foreigners have not stemmed the issue’s spread. Between 2015 and 2024, prices rose by 54% in the United States, 32% in China and by nearly 15% in the European Union (including by 26% in Spain), according to the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
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Salaries have not grown apace with real estate prices. In the EU, the median rent rose by 20% between 2010 and 2022, with rental and purchase prices growing by up to 48%, according to Eurostat. Underregulated markets are wreaking havoc, and in the United States and Spain, 20% of renters spend more than 40% of their income on housing, while in France, Italy, Portugal and Greece, that percentage varies between 10% and 15%, according to the OECD. Many countries have created programs aimed at increasing the future supply of public housing, but their effectiveness has yet to be determined and analysts say that results will be limited if smarter regional planning decisions are not made.
We need to stop using the term "middle class."
Back in the day, middle class meant Archie Bunker/Al Bundy supporting a family of four with one job.
Today it's two college graduates struggling to keep up with the bills.
We're in Tsarist Russia; a huge mass of serfs, a small set of professionals, and an aristocracy that controls 90% of the wealth.
The middle class has always been a myth to get people to work harder and for a homogenized society where everyone’s got that “all-American” family with a white picket fence. We can once again blame fucking Henry Ford. See Ford’s sociological department for the literal enforcement of this ideal in exchange for his touted “$5 a day!” lure. Company people came around to your house to check what you were eating, how you were dressed, how your kids were doing in school, and if you were an immigrant, how assimilated you were becoming and if it was acceptably quick enough.
No. There actually was a time when you could have a pretty good life with a simple job.
Look up "Hells Angel's" by Hunter Thompson. There's a chapter where he runs down the economics of dropping out circa 1970. A biker could work a Union stevedore job for six months and earn enough to live on the road for two years. A part time waitress could support herself and her musicain boyfriend.
That was before Nixon started printing paper dollars to pay for Vietnam and Ronald Reagan cut taxes for the rich.
Yeah. Al sold shoes. Unreal.
And had money to go to the nudie bar...
A bunch of people complaining about a show they clearly never watched.
He barely supported a family of 4 on that pay. Especially the early seasons make running gags that they're all on the brink of starvation as in fighting over an m&m they found in the kitchen to a tiny scrap of food elsewhere in the house, and skipping out on checks if they are out. Marcy had often complained the Bundy household was an eyesore for the neighborhood and was dilapidated. Plus his Dodge which was in constant disrepair, and was so old the odometer had rolled over from 999,999. Even more running gags about how Al only owns 3 pairs of underwear, all his socks are falling apart and have holes in them, and his generap wardrobe is cheap and out of date even for the time period. Al and Bud are often looking for some kind of side hustle while Kelly likely gets a lot of stuff bought for her from all the guys she dates.
But let's not forget an the important fact...it's a fictitious TV show made for the purposes of entertainment about a lower class family and anyone who tries to use it as examples of affordability or someone living beyond their means should have lost all credibility to their argument.
Yeah the press've been claiming it's dying for 40+ years. y'all... It's dead
Sounds like you’re saying that the actual middle class is a small set of professionals at the upper end of what we generally call the “middle class?” And that 90% of people are actually working class? That seems like a really sensible interpretation. I mean, if you don’t own your home and can’t build significant savings, you are living pretty close to hand-to-mouth. And that’s a lotttttt of people these days.
Yes.
That's exactly what I was saying
Supply and demand. Stop letting people (or corporations) buy more than one house and watch prices fall. I own a home, and I’m perfectly willing to see it lose value in order to avoid seeing my country turn into some modern feudalistic hellhole.
If only other people saw it the same. Property/homes should've never been an investment asset.
Homeowners who want to move in the future, or have roommates they want to move out in the future (children), should be okay with homes losing value or at least not increasing. My house has increased in value by 50% in five years with no improvements. That's great, right? No, it just means I can't move or downsize without increasing my mortgage.
Stop letting corporations gobble up single family homes.
Stop letting multi-home owners buy and buy and buy.
Tax vacant homes.
I subscribe to the newsletter for BIG by Matt Stoller and he's been writing about corporate slumlords and housing cartels lately. Shit's fucked.
In my city, there's a bunch of vacant homes that end up becoming crack dens because some out of state financial company bought it hoping to make bank and then forgot about it or defaulted on it.
My city is spending years in court trying to take the property back from these shitty companies.
At some point we need to have a grown up conversation about the finite nature of land, specifically land that people can live on and find work from.
This "the rich make up the rules and lets pretend land will never run out" nonsense clearly isn't working for anyone but the rich.
A lot of this was already talked about by the traditional Left, way back in the late 19th and early 20th centuries.
The discussion back then was all about Power, and by that I mean the capacity of forcing or blocking others from doing what they want, not just the version of "Power" talked about the useful idiots nowadays which only sees the Power of the State, never the Power that comes from Money and Ownership.
This is why some of the suggested solutions they came up with back then explicitly involved things like Confiscating the Means Of Production and Land Reform, which, whether one agrees or not with it, at least recognized and tried to address the Power inherent in the Ownership of that which is needed to produce things for the rest.
The problem is that the supposedly Leftwing (but really mostly Liberal and not even honestly so) thinking since at least the 80s pointedly avoids talking about the Power Of Money as if people's life's aren't shaped by access to a place to live, access to food, access to healthcare and the time they have to spend working being defined by how little of the product of their work ends up in their hands, none of which is trully their choice nowadays.
Maybe we should start again looking back at some of the best things from back then, such as Social Democracy.
There is no middle class - there is the working class and the exploiter class. People have misidentified a chunk of the relatively better off working class as somehow not part of the working class. Over time the systems of capitalism and the power imbalances at the heart of the non-unionized workplace will eventually reduce better off workers to the lowest common denominator as the exploiter class demands perpetually growing profit that must come at the cost of the working class.
Middle class is, mostly, simply the newfangled term for that portion of the proletariat which isn't lumpen which is now called the precariat. Low-rank petite bourgeois also counts as the same class as it's actually an economical one (petit bourgeois get shafted amply by capital), not political (what with their penchant for temporarily embarrassed millionaire narratives and support of "business-friendly" policies). That worker / petit bourgeois distinction has always been fuzzy and awkward I mean it's not like there's not workers who think like that.
This is posted in lemmy.world so while I appreciate the information I don't think I'm alone in saying that 90% of the terms you wrote might as well be another language entirely (I get that they literally are from another language lol)
Sure, they are technically part of the working class, but they're similar to cops. Cops aren't the owning class, they take down a salary, but they're also class traitors.
The middle class - aka professional managerial class - as a group fulfill a similar role of keeping the rest of the working class in line in exchange for certain privileges. They just use paychecks and memorandums rather than guns and laws.
Also like cops, they provide an ideological shield for capitalists. Cops are overtly the "thin blue line" between "order and chaos". The middle class are a shield for aspirations. People are encouraged to identify as middle class so they think they have something to lose if they were to upset the status quo.
So it makes sense to identify this group, but too often it's as a shield. Like the implication in this article that a housing crisis for the middle class is a huge problem, but who cares about the housing precarity that's existed in the working class since its inception? Well one reason it would be a big problem for the ruling class is that they would lose their buffer. If it's just lords and serfs and a sharp distinction between them, then overturning the whole thing is a lot easier to contemplate.
I get where you're going with this, and yeah, the PMC helps hold the current system in place. I was thinking about the cybersecurity/engineers/architects/other better paid workers who are still subject to class exploitation even though they're better off than a line cook.
Also, I like your bit about the professional managerial class being an ideological shield - I see that happening in the workplace all the time where people won't consider rocking the boat because they want to be management one day.
Yep. I’ve never been middle class though I’ve done better than some. I am not really successful in the traditional sense.
Middle class was the owning class in feudal societies, the emergence of the working class and rule of law kind of deleted the status of the aristocracy and largely pushed the aristocracy and middle class into the owning and ruling classes.
I was reading a finance book from 2024 talking about "The middle class" and included things like they use check cashing places, loan stuff from rent-a-center, and then struggle to pay for food. The author is a financial "expert".
I'm on my thirties, I don't know a single person that can afford to live alone, they are either sharing with a stranger/spouse or still with their parents.
I know three people who can live alone. My friend the computer scientist, my friend who lives on a property her engineer dad bought, and my friend who live in a three room apartment. Bathroom, bedroom, kitchen, top floor of an older Colonial house. Looks like a converted attic.
That probably says more about your bubble than anything else
The prices are set by banks. The only limit on what somebody can sell you a house for is what the bank is prepared to lend you.
If the interest rates go down, the price goes up. If the term lengths go up, the price goes up. Prevent lending, and the landlords will buy it up because normal people can no longer afford them.
The system has been fucked for way too long, and in order to fix it, you're going to have to upset a lot of people who have put their money into their home.
I don’t know where you’re from but in my European country the banks are actually verifying if you are able to reimburse and you cannot borrow above some threshold. Maybe that explains why the prices increases are lower here ?
In the UK there's a soft limit of 4.5 times your income.
This is the amount they're allowed to do with no oversight.
But 15% of their mortgages per quarter can be over that, and as far as I can tell there's no real upper limit, although they've been offering 6x mortgages in some places.
The entire economy has prioritised pumping mortgage money around, and so nothing will be done. The only real lessons from the last big crash was to limit bad borrowing a bit, and that is crumbling away too.
I don't see any short term fixes that wouldn't get their political parties booted out and replaced with a party that promises to pump the house prices again.
The governments solution will be to start offering 40 year mortgages. Do nothing to make housing affordable, just extend the time to pay it off like they've done with auto loans going from 60 months to 72 months terms.
This is part of the plan to keep crushing the middle class. The powers that be would be able to change this situation within weeks if they really wanted to.
It's been the plan for a while now. The wealthy look back at the Gilded Age as the Golden Age. That's what they're trying to return to very clearly. They want an age in which you and your children go to work in the dark and come home in the dark and that home is owned by the company. They want an age in which none of us have any chance at all of breaking loose of the cycle.
How? There is just too many people, too few houses here in Australia. Not enough materials to build them or tradespeople.
Just want to point out, EU inflation rate from 2015 - 2024 is a 12% change, so out of the 3 examples listed only the EU has had stable prices. Technically housing prices went down in some EU countries based on this information, like Portugal. And EU inflation has gone down since the 2022 spike, which means there was a tiny housing bubble in 2022.
This only applies to housing prices of course - rent is a different story so being addressed in different ways across different EU members.
Yeah, I was curious so I was looking the other day, median household income I believe came out to 14% of the median house cost in the U.S. (in 2022) in 1975 it was around 28%.
Well, in the Post 2008 Crash World with the most favorable policies for the Asset Owner class since the time of the Monarchy, after the rich finished draining the Poor and Traditional Working class using rent-seeking anchored on their control of assets connected to life essentials (most obviously, Housing) and, especially in the West, their leverage of the Demand Side for Work thanks to having sent most jobs abroad with Globalization (something which was itself pushed by the rich in the 70s and is core in Neoliberalism), they would obviously go after the Middle-Class next.
I mean, did anybody really expect that the Greed of the Owner Class would somehow magically stop when the only large pool of wealth left out of their hands was the one held by the Middle-Class?
What I find funny in all this is the "Modern" "Left" parties were the scions of the Middle-Class obsess over Supposedly-Left-but-really-Liberal ideas (mainly Identity Politics) having forgotten the core concern of the old-fashioned Traditional Left (such as Communism, Socialism, Social-Democracy and independently of one agreeing with their actual solutions of not) which is about Power (in the sense of who, if any, can impose their will on others directly or indirectly) hence totally ignoring the detail that 4 decades of Neoliberalism have de facto turned Money into a Power far above the State, and which most definitelly forces on others choices such as were to live, how to live, and what to do.
The "Modern" "Left" thinking, birthed in the 80s from some ideas from American think tanks and without Equality explicitly as an Ideology (instead they had some pre-made policies for "Equalities" - i.e. Equality on a group by group basis, with how much each person's deserving of fair and equal treatment and access to things in life depending on their "group" membership defined by their genetics, religion, gender, sexual orientation or place of birth - that avoided like the plague even mentioning Equality For All, the only real Equality) were useful idiots for the Neoliberals and now here were are, when even those priviledged scions of the Middle and Upper Middle-Class are starting to be squeezed by the wealthy, whose power they so pointedly avoided talking about and criticizing, must less trying to control and reduce.
Con-fucking-gratulations!
In Canada in top of that, we have 500k-1 million new people entering the country, per year. We have no housing, and not enough services, schools, healthcare, etc.
Canada is about the same population than California, imagine California going from 39 millions people to 40 next year, then 41 the year after, then 42 the next year, etc. Is it sustainable?
Great if you own property and or buy labour though.
Somehow they've got the world convinced that its "tha left", and not wealthy businesses, who want and benefit from this, despite all evidence to the contrary.
Why are you trying to hijack the thread to make it about your xenophobic hot take on immigration?
Having 500K-1M new people could mean having as many as 500K-1M new construction workers to build more housing, if that's what the zoning code and the market (etc.) allowed. That that isn't happening is a failure of those things, not the fault of the immigrants. There is absolutely no reason a properly-functioning society would be unable to keep up with the demand from population increases, and scapegoating immigrants will do absolutely fuck-all to fix any of the real causes of society's failure to function properly.
Lol I'm a Canadian immigrant, and regular population has something like 4% of people working in construction, new immigrants has something like 2% of people working in construction, so no, they will not build more housing. The problem is not immigrants, it's a system/society problem, like you wrote, Canada is not a properly-functioning society.
Basic, modern human needs such as housing, healthcare, education, nutrition, utilities (electricity, internet, water & sewage), and transportation should never be a means of profit. As with everything, there is a cost to maintaining these systems and to profit off of them inherently means diverting resources away from these systems that serve our society into the pocket of an individual.
You guys have a middle class?
The middle class is a myth so newspapers can pander to you by letting you pretend you're better than the working poor. Half of food stamps are in the "middle" class these days.
I'm in the middle of relocating to Ohio. I sold my house in GA and despite getting mildly fucked by the "they're first time homeowners" BS I still have about $130,000 profit from the sale. 100k of that has to go into the down payment just so I can afford anything over 200k.
My initial budget was about 310,000 but I had to bump it up to 350 just to find something that isn't a poorly maintained shit hole that would require 50k just to make it decent again, and to have more than 1.5 bathrooms.
And this is on top of all the houses bought by people who watched a a season of Flippers, and thought it they put shittier grey vinyl on the floor they could net 100k.
Come round everyone! I got a proposal! How about we buy up entire city squares, then remove all vegetation and houses, then build endless labyrinths of corridors, cubes where we can live. And elevators and stairs to reach the next level! Using an elevator is just like riding a commuter bus thru the 4th dimension! Because you start at your cube and suddenly you're at the cube on the next block that corresponds to your cube! But see you didn't have to travel a full block horizontally! You rode vertically!
Wait, what?
Hold on. Around here, house prices have falled, dramatically recently.
In fact, 54% increase from 2015-2024 is low. When my house was appraised a year ago, it was +72.5%, it is now +54.5%.
Housing prices, anecdotal as it is, are going in the right direction.
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Hey, here’s a thought: outside of banks holding the deed in the context of mortgages, corporations aren’t allowed to own residential properties for perma-renting purposes.
Where have you been for the last 30 years? You're just noticing this shit now?