I'm not convinced there is going to be that big of a upheaval. I feel like I'm seeing a similar pattern in reddit users as we have in Twitter users. Everyone's in an uproar over how bad it's getting and claims they're going to leave, but it seems as though most are still using reddit every single day regardless, going "Yeah, any minute. I'll show you. You'll see. Just wait until July. Yeah, that's when I'll do it. I'll fuckin' do it. Try me.", all the whole continuing to support the machine.
A lot of us have already cut ties and made the fediverse our new home, but for the masses it seems like it's just going to be business as usual, albeit somewhat begrudgingly from those who were scorned by the API changes.
It takes effort to set up a new app, so for now the path of least resistance is to stay on reddit. Once third party apps break, their users will have to set up a new app anyway, so might be willing to choose a fedi app instead of the official reddit app. But yeah, we'll see.
I primarily use Reddit via 3rd party app and when that breaks I'm not going to be using Reddit on my phone.
Hopefully 0.18.1 drops before the first and a lot of instances upgrade to it quickly otherwise a lot of people might just bounce off of here due to some apps not working properly.
Its gonna be interesting to see. I subscribe to some smaller subreddits and I feel like a lot of the casual/ low key users are out of the loop. Either way, I plan to explore Lemmy more as I find new stuff.
I browsed /c/all for a couple weeks and picked up a few more subs with every pass. made a few guesses in the search bar, too, just to see if I could find some communities based on what I like discussing.
I subscribed to a ton of smaller ones, even without any content, just to see where they go. it's going to be an interesting ride.
I clicked that link and thank God the server didn't respond. I was actually thinking that someone made the link to newcomers on July 1st not the stuff of nightmares that still haunts me to this day
I really hope the fanfiction community migrates in large quantity. On Reddit they are nearly 400k users, so even if 1% of them move to Lemmy, we would have 4k users...