Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032
Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032
arstechnica.com
Don’t panic, but an asteroid has a 1.9% chance of hitting Earth in 2032
63 comments
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Better late than never I guess.
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Panic?!
You mean throw a welcome party?
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i don't like those odds. anything we can do to bump it up to around 75%-100%?
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is there any way to hurry it along?
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Provided it enters in a similarly uninhabited location.
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That's 0.9% more than the last time I checked. I know those are still really low odds, but we can hope...
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One of the things they're doing is calculating what it's orbit would have to be to hit the Earth, and where it would have had to have been on its last orbit to be in that orbit
So they can look at any astronomical images of that part of the sky from then and see if it's in the right place
If they find images of the right part of the sky at the right time and the asteroid is not in it, they know it's not on an orbit that will hit the Earth in 2032
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I science podcast I follow already warned last week that the probability would go up at first as they narrow down its trajectory.
They gave the example of a fan closing, as it gets narrow, the earth represents a bigger percentage of the remaining fan. If you keep closing the fan the Earth eventually will fall outside the fan and the percentage drop to zero.Unless it turns out that it is dead center.
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Jesus is coming back and he's pissed...
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that was Trump chances in 2016...
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should I mention "don't look up" ?
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Sigh. Why can't it be 109%
This place sucks.
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It's not big enough to fix anything. If it hits, it won't hit America or Europe
It's in the big nuke scale of energy, enough to do a lot of damage to a small area. Were it to hit a city, the city would need a lot of rebuilding. Were it to hit, few people would be in danger as we will have years of warning. The only people in the impact area would be "storm chasers" travelling to see the impact
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Is there any way to speed this up
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Okay so how big is this meteor then
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It's around 1000 millimeteors
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130 - 400 meters
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Were it to hit it would hit like a large nuke
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Those are better odds than the lottery. Has anyone set up a betting pool yet?
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Wow this is the most depressing comment section I've ever seen.
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it's just standard "haha self harm funi", it's so easy to post and reliably gets a few upvotes, so it's just a kneejerk response to posts like these.
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Yeah, even for Lemmy this is bad. I hope most of them are semi-facetious?
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Great video, the probability will keep going up till it goes way down. Unless it doesn't.
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Those are rookie numbers. Gotta pump those numbers up.
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If we are able to nudge an asteroid, would an asteroid of this size nudge the earth?
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Technically the solar system is a multi-body system, and everything nudges everything else, but the mass of the earth is far greater than the mass of the asteroid, to the point that it doesn't matter.
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Can we speed that up a bit?
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Reading this headline instantly brought a huge smile to my face 😁
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Eh, Paradise and Silo got me ready for the future.
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I wonder if the "important" people know the chances are higher, so they're going for broke in order to build their escape ship.
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Fucking finally goddamn
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Is there any way to get it here sooner?
63 comments
Am I supposed to panic because it's unlikely to hit? Meanwhile I'm out here wishing for death by meteor.
Just in case this comment is not a joke, here's the WHO page on suicide prevention.
Either way, there are a few billion other people on this planet who would rather not die by meteor, thank you very much.
I mean, if I was going to go out, then getting my shit mixed by a meteor is pretty awesome. I'm sure I'll make it on to a few Buzzfeed articles over the next ten or twenty years.
All things considered though, it would indeed be nice if it landed somewhere inconsequential like the ocean; the desert; or Florida.
Yeah I'll take one for the team. I go to the point of impact and when it finaly hits, I'm gonna try to punch it back into orbit.
You don't have to thank me.
Honestly, at this point, there might be enough of us volunteering to bounce that fucker back to Jupiter. A lot of us will be turned into jam but I think it’s worth the sacrifice.
But I'm on team meteor
Not to be a doomer but most of us will be dead by then I just hope the meteor takes out any lucky oligarchs still alive in a bunker.
You think "most of us" will be dead in .... 7 years? That's pretty doomer if you ask me.