2024 Presidential Election Megapost!

2 AM Eastern / 11 PM Pacific
(D - 4 EC votes) Hawaii - Called For Harris

6 AM Eastern / 3 AM Pacific:
Guam - Harris 49.46% vs. Trump 46.22%
Northern Mariana Islands - Not voting for President.

https://www.guampdn.com/news/guam-picks-harris-over-trump-in-non-binding-presidential-straw-poll/article_657b06b8-9b97-11ef-9896-1302c4e2ebe9.html

Source for NMI not voting for President.

https://www.abc.net.au/pacific/programs/pacificbeat/pacific-beat/104547042

11 PM Eastern / 8 PM Pacific
(D 54 EC Votes) California - Called For Harris
(D 12) Washington - Called For Harris

I am extremely troubled for the future of America. Not because of the current election results; but that this many Americans think Trump was and will be a good president. It’s infuriating the amount of single issue voters there are in the US.

RFK in charge of HHS and Leon in charge of gutting the new deal. Jesus Christ.

EPA gone.

Fight against climate change over.

SCOTUS justice Aileen Cannon.

No fault divorce gone.

National abortion ban.

Free speech destroyed.

Ukraine gone.

Gaza gone.

NATO alliance gone.

U.S. economy wasted.

U.S. military in the streets.

National concentration camps.

LOL. Wtf, Americans?

I can't believe we're a few votes away from having a stooge at the helm and an anti vaxxer as the head of the CDC and FDA.

This fucking hurts.

Pretty god damn sad that American are this fucking racist and stupid.

Texas waited until the 29th of October to mail out my ballot. As of today (November 3rd), I have yet to receive it. I fully expect Texas to fuck me over.

Trump kills a million Americans with Covid and they put him back in office. Unreal.

Well damn. This is as much a referendum on the character of America. What a searing indictment that it's even close at all.

Missouri passes a statewide abortion protection which will be overturned next year by the guy they voted for President.

Brilliant!

Put a fork in human civilization. It's done. The door is closed on climate change.

So this is what we are as a nation?

Thanks America, for the hell you're about to unleash.

Wait until the FBI, IRS, and DOJ is weaponized against Trump's opponents. With Presidential immunity. Jesus Christ.

I have young kids.. My wife always asks me if bringing them into this world was a mistake. I was always the optimist telling her I didn't think it so. Now I don't know what to feel. What are they going to do... Ugh. This is a waking nightmare. I'm scared.

I knew Americans were questionable people, but I didn't imagine they would be this shitty. Jesus.

When the shit starts, America, don't forget he told you exactly what he was going to do. You voted for what's coming.

The rest of the world is watching, America.

Don't fuck this up.

8 PM Eastern / 5 PM Pacific

Puerto Rico - Nonbinding - Harris win.
United States Virgin Islands - Not voting.
(D 7 EC Votes) Connecticut - Called For Harris
(D 3) Delaware - Called For Harris
(D 3) District of Columbia - Called For Harris
(D 4) Maine - Called For Harris
(D 10) Maryland - Called For Harris
(D 11) Massachusetts - Called For Harris
(D 4) New Hampshire - Called For Harris
(D 14) New Jersey - Called For Harris
(D 28) New York - Called For Harris
(D 4) Rhode Island - Called For Harris
(D 3) Vermont - Called For Harris
(D 13) Virginia - Called For Harris

(R 30) Florida - Called For Trump
(BG 16) Georgia - Called For Trump
(R 11) Indiana - Called for Trump
(R 8) Kentucky - Called for Trump
(BG 15) Michigan - Called For Trump
(BG 16) North Carolina - Called For Trump
(R 17) Ohio - Called For Trump
(BG 19) Pennsylvania - Called For Trump
(R 9) South Carolina - Called For Trump
(R 11) Tennessee - Called For Trump
(R 4) West Virginia - Called for Trump

It's game over if Michigan falls to Trump. Good job being mealy mouthed about genocide. We can't upset AIPAC can we?

+1 cat lady vote in Michigan!

.

(And I got their last cat sticker)

SCOTUS is gone for 40 years.

Death clock started for the New Deal.

Whoever ran the Harris campaign on Reddit deserves their salary. That was an amazing echo chamber that had me fooled. I was expecting a blue wave better than Biden 2020. Too bad it doesn't translate into the election.

So much for that Iowa poll.

I did my part. You all need to get out and vote if you havent already.

I'm a little pissed off that our Election Officials were allowing Trump voters to wear hats and shirts while they were voting. But I guess they didn't want to chance the risk of these violent fuckers fucking up the voting.

jordanlund is a Lemminal treasure. This thread needs to be pinned to the top of Lemmy (if that was a thing).

Just listened to Selzer break down her methodology in clear, simple terms. I'm starting to think the polling error this cycle is pretty big, and Harris is going to win handily.

Harris has ONE path to victory, ONE.

She has to win PA, MI, WI, MN.

Losing any one of those 4 states ends it.

MSNBC just called PA for Trump. That's it, it's over!

Remember; most mail ins are democrat. If it looks bad that's because we are not close to done.

“It looks like we have a very substantial lead,” said Trump after 6 votes were counted indicating a 3-3 tie.

https://apnews.com/live/trump-harris-election-updates-11-5-2024

NYT got me dooming. I think it’s time to pop a xanax and pretend everything is going to be okay while falling asleep.

MSNBC just called Pennsylvania for Trump. Good night everybody!

I have to say that the wording here feels oddly suspect. I have never gotten a sticker that said anything other than "I voted!" and it really concerns me about the subtle messaging here. I tried to make a separate post about it, but image posts aren't allowed apparently.

With NC Called for Trump tonight, its time for us all to take a rest and sleep. NC was the early decision point. We all expected it to go Trump, but if it went Kamala then Trump basically lost.

Now that Trump is confirmed to win NC, its a long road until PA is called. And Kamala needs to win PA, MI, and WI all together. No point stressing about it now, just sleep and you'll know tomorrow morning for two of those three. And wait until Friday before PA is called (or later, if its really really close).

Staying up a bit longer to see how AZ goes is interesting but likely not too important anymore.

If you're feeling stressed out about all of this, imagine what it must feel like to be Trump. He's either about to go on the biggest power trip anyone has ever gone on ever, or he's going to go to prison where he'll probably die.

82,000,000 people voted early. It’s ridiculous that the race doesn’t start with those votes counted and reported.

Trump is up 3,000,000 in the popular vote in reported precincts. That trend will not hold. Harris will flip that and then some.

it is not looking good. i guess we in central europe better start learning russian 😔

Leaving this here as a refresher for today...

Jimmy Carter: The U.S. Is an “Oligarchy With Unlimited Political Bribery”

https://theintercept.com/2015/07/30/jimmy-carter-u-s-oligarchy-unlimited-political-bribery/

9 PM Eastern / 6 PM Pacific
(R 9 EC Votes) Alabama - Called For Trump
(R 6) Arkansas - Called For Trump
(R 6) Iowa - Called For Trump
(R 6) Kansas - Called For Trump
(R 8) Louisiana - Called For Trump
(R 6) Mississippi - Called For Trump
(R 10) Missouri - Called For Trump
(R 5) Nebraska - Called For Trump
(R 3) North Dakota - Called For Trump
(R 7) Oklahoma - Called For Trump
(R 3) South Dakota - Called For Trump
(R 40) Texas - Called For Trump
(BG 10) Wisconsin - Called For Trump

(D 19) Illinois - Called For Harris
(D 10) Minnesota - Called For Harris

Howdy, folks. First time doom scrolling? Enjoy the ride. I'm going to go work out and come back later

Fucking Dixville. You guys had no problem voting for Biden, but half can't vote for the colored lady. That's a bridge too far.

Georgia not looking great. Sorry friends I think we're cooked.

God this hurts to watch right now. There's too many data points to comprehend but too few for commentators to tell me the trend.

Fuck.

10 PM Eastern / 7 PM Pacific
(BG 11 EC Votes) Arizona - Called for Trump
(BG 6) Nevada - Called For Trump
(R 4) Idaho - Called For Trump
(R 4) Montana - Called For Trump
(D 6) Utah - Called For Trump
(R 3) Wyoming - Called For Trump
(D 10) Colorado - Called For Harris
(D 5) New Mexico - Called For Harris
(D 8) Oregon - Called For Harris

Thanks so much for doing this Jordan. You’re very appreciated!

1 - 2 AM Eastern / 10 - 11 PM Pacific
(R 3 EC Votes) Alaska - Called For Trump

this ain't happening folks. fuck.

I'm in Canada and anxiously following this dumb election ... mostly because I have to because whoever wins will affect my life too.

This is like watching my neighbours standing outside their burning house and having an argument about which fire department they should call ..... while the house fire grows in size. And the choices of fire departments is a regular fire department or the other department which is a bunch of guys in a half ton truck with buckets of water.

My favorite take on this comes from James Carville:

"I'm gonna sleep soundly tonight. Have a couple of bourbons, maybe a gummy or two, but yeah. Gonna sleep soundly tonight on her chances to win this thing."

Why da fk is CNN just totalling all the red states as if Donald Trump is winning right now? 😑😑

Shit.

There's no excuse this time around. People know exactly who Trump is, and they have voted for him a second time.

I don't have much to say. I feel a mix of anger and disappointment.

Hopefully the Dems will be able to pick someone better to lead the party four years from now... I wonder what the world will look like four years from now.

So uh.. what's the right attitude to deal with this assuming we get a Trump? And I mean personally. I lean towards absurdism.

Republicans are at 51 Senate seats at the moment according to New York Times.

Here we go! Last run through the polls before the election!

Arizona - Trump +1 to +5
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/arizona/

Nevada - Trump +1 to +6
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/nevada/

Georgia - Toss-Up - Trump +1 to +2
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/georgia/

North Carolina - Trump +2 to +4
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/north-carolina/

Pennsylvania - Toss-Up Harris +1/+2 to Trump +1/+2
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/

Michigan - Toss-Up Tie, Harris +1 to Trump +1/+2
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

Wisconsin - Toss-Up, Harris +1/+3 to Trump +1
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/wisconsin/

Plotted on the map:

Advantage is with Trump in this scenario.

Assuming he takes Georgia, 2020 was an anomaly in my mind, GA has gone Republican in every other election since 1996, that gives Trump 264.

Which means if Harris loses ANY other state, she's done. She has to sweep PA, MI and WI to hit 274.

If the disaffected Arab vote in MI is enough to flip it, plus a Trump win in Georgia, that puts him at 279 to Harris 259. A scarily likely scenario.

The broadcaster in Canada interviewed a young Trump supporter woman. She said all the abortion fears are made up. And that abortion isn't real healthcare.

What a year it's been here in the politics channel. I'm still here. Exhausted.

Apparently, FOX called WI for Trump. That puts their estimates at him for the win, passing 270.

On a related note, MAGAs on social media are gloating and "owning the libs" like jackasses, as expected.

3 AM Eastern / 12 Midnight Pacific
American Samoa -

Ra Ra Wish Putin.

You sure showed those immigrants.

Edit: it rhymes in American voter

Edit edit: Oh wow Cruz is back too, he can go tell them in person.

Florida looking bad.

The bragging is going to make this so much worse.

Y'all are doomscrolling and there is like 80 million votes to count yet in mail ballots, sheesh

There is a somewhat close battle in Texas over the electoral college

I’m working in a pretty much outside information-free environment until almost 11pm tonight. Really glad to not have a window seat to this rollercoaster. Cast my vote early, so my duty is done.

Alright seppos time to get that vote out cunts.

When you should know

"Near-complete election results are expected from Georgia, North Carolina and Michigan on Tuesday night, but only partial results from Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Arizona, Harris-Walz campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillon told reporters in a Monday afternoon briefing,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Dillon predicted additional results from Wisconsin and Pennsylvania will be available earlier in the day Wednesday, with Arizona and Nevada trickling in the rest of the week.”

Said Dillon: “We’re going to continue to see new votes being reported for many days after Election Day. We believe this race is going to be incredibly close, so we may not know the results of this election for several days.”

I know it’s too early to tell but Tx being blue is making me so hard 😂

Friends, it looks like North Carolina (along with Georgia) is lost, this means Harris needs to win Pennsylvania (+ Winsconsin and Michigan) or it’s over.

Boris Johnson and Stormy Daniels on Channel 4 (uk)!

Anyone got ten bucks right now on Trump declaring victory in the next 2 hours (from 6:21 pacific time) and saying everything after that is stolen?

Found this Australian site that's covering the election from over on MetaFilter, they've definitely got the best laid out map I've seen tonight.

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-11-06/us-election-2024-live-results-electoral-map-who-is-winning/104514296

So disgusting

Any ideas what might be the best way to observe this shit show unfold if your not in the US?

... other than here I mean.

Edit: for those wondering the time zones are:

Pacific: UTC -8:00 Eastern: UTC -5:00

First results are in. 3 for Harris and 3 for Trump in Dixville Notch.

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/election-day-officially-begins-harris-trump-tie-dixville/story?id=115504033

NYT, as of 10:40 p.m. Eastern US. 😬

The NYT needle is up!

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html

Fucking fuck. This shit is way too god-damned close. How are so many of my fellow countrymen this god-damned retarded?‽

Thank you for your service!

Harris is on track to lose the entire Rustbelt, the entire sunbelt.

Looking forward to checking the results on my next break and seeing trump winning every swing state. I knew he would win, it is both the funniest and worst outcome, it was meant to be. We're gonna watch his brain turn ever more thoroughly into goo for the next ~4 years and make even more insane headlines than last time.

*on my next break and I called it lol. Nothing called by AP yet but he's up in MI, PA, GA, and WI. Strap in.

Although I think Harris will win she probably has 55-45 odds, this following map is the most likely electoral college outcome in my homemade dataanalysis model

https://presidentialpickem.com/share-bracket/16ead2df-6737-4704-86d4-6f606d6e6a07 This map happens in about 15% of simulations.

Well good night folks. I hope blue wall results trickle in over the night paint a more positive picture.

Because the picture uptill now, especially considering many ballots counted during the day were prioritised EV or vote by mail ballots, is looking pretty grim.

Harris rally live with Oprah and Lady Gaga https://www.youtube.com/live/HUbZ1vD9ChY

Any predictions on what musk / xitter's role in all this will be?

They can basically call states for republicans early.

Good news for pollsters. They weren't so wrong after all.

Would be helpful if the megapost showed the current overall standing. Or am I missing something?

Texas didn't turn blue, but some inland states that were red did turn blue

Source: AP News

Appreciate you putting this together!

Evil comes in orange.

He's really sucking elon's dick right now with that rambling story wtf

When the ultimate loser donald trump loses, he loses. When he wins, everybody loses, including him.

Amazing in a way.

It's hard to let go of an entire world all at once.

I hope fivethirtyeight’s caveman election model is more accurate than the NYT one.

I wish Cholensky would finally be President.

Harris is currently losing VA. If Harris loses VA, this is over.

AP calls Vermont for Harris
Indiana for Trump
Kentucky for Trump

Razer thin