50 years of manufacturing job loss can't be fixed in one presidential term. Nicocado didn't lose all that weight in one week. Change can be hard and painful. But not changing would be giving up on the next generation. He might be rude, he might be orange, but by god he is addressing the elephant in the room everyone else is ignoring.
You don't need to personally own companies in those industries. The secret of insider trading is knowing what announcements will effect stock prices. If the government says that they're going to ban cigarettes, the value of tobacco companies will fall. If I know that the government isn't serious, and will never implement the ban, I can buy stock at a reduced rate safe in the knowledge that it's real value hasn't fallen.
If i run the government there's countless ways to profit from that insider knowledge. Gold prices go up when the stock markets are uncertain and people are worried about financial choas. So, I could buy lots of gold ($2300 an oz in Jun 2024), then make some wild decisions and statements so that the markets start panicking, and watch the gold price rise (peaked at around $3400 last month) . So I sell my gold for a substantial profit, and dial back a bunch of the most wild policies and stuff goes mostly back to normal, but I'm a lot richer.
He's an authoritarian nut job that is destroying this country and ignoring the Constitution. He's emboldened the racists to be more open and violent. Unless you are a billionaire, he will eventually get around to destroying everything you hold dear as well. Don't think you are special.
I think tariffs ARE a solution to manufacturing being exported. Your hatred for Trump is clouding your opinion of the economics of jobs. And I imagine a lot of billionaires are less than happy with the revenue loss they are about to have with trade being down. I really doubt Trump is coming for 'everything I hold dear'. I think this country was already broken well before he was in office, so you really can't blame him for that. Whether you think DEI policies are racist is subjective- making race part of any decision making process for jobs or education is racist in my opinion. Nobody is special. I don't think he has 'emboldened the racists'. If your local police force isn't addressing violence why don't you blame them?
Your hatred for Trump is clouding your opinion of the economics of jobs.
Wow, a real life mind reader. What's it like to be inside someone's head and tell them how their mind works? Pretty cool.
I think this country was already broken well before he was in office, so you really can't blame him for that.
You had me in the first half, but then lmfao really? Yes this country has been on a decline for a while, steep one at that. But his actions are the equivalent of ripping out the ventilator and kicking the patient down a flight of stairs.
I don't think he has 'emboldened the racists'.
This is how we know you are one. Multiple of his cabinet picks have clear ties to white supremacy orgs, and he loves to rain down punishment on anyone who fights for people to be treated equally.
I didn't write this to convince you of anything. That hope is dead for people like you. There is no hope of instilling empathy in any real trump supporter at this point, I truly believe that. I wrote this for anyone who reads this conversation.
Tariffs are a way to bring manufacturing back into the country, but why have blanket tariffs instead of targeting specific sectors to incentivize bringing back manufacturing in those sectors?
And tariffs are not the only way to bring manufacturing back, government can subsidize bringing manufacturing back. Biden did that with the CHIPS act, where are Trump equivalent of the CHIPS act?
Furthermore, if the plan is to bring manufacturing home why is Trump trying to kill the CHIPS act?
And why is he gutting education when it's obvious to anyone that manufacturing requires skilled labor?
He's doing only one thing (and he's doing that very poorly) that is supposed to bring manufacturing back and everything else he does more or less works against bringing manufacturing back. You have to have blinders on to really believe he's trying to bring manufacturing back to America.
Exactly. Biden was bringing a lot of manufacturing into Ohio through the chips and infrastructure acts. Manufacturing with good mixes in skill of labor.
We aren't competitive in stuff like steel or high volume low cost manufacturing. What we are able to compete on is high skill and high tech manufacturing. Things like chips, manufacturing equipment, and vehicles. Our labor is disproportionately skilled and our costs of living and land are significantly higher than in many countries. I would also love a focus on domestic production of green technologies like batteries, wind turbines, solar panels, and trains and rail equipment. There's a reason China focused on such things.
I'm pro manufacturing, it's my career. But tariffing everyone and everything doesn't improve manufacturing. Targeted combinations of tariffs and subsidies do.
Additionally it needs to be said that when Trump does target, he focuses on outdated things, namely coal.
My brother in [entity], his admin has scrubbed a lot of non-white history from its website and has discredited the former secretary of Defense as a DEI hire. He was a three star general. Compare that to Hegseth.
It's not that the stated goal is wrong, it's that the Republican Administration's methods are so terrible that they can't achieve it. Indeed the methods are so wrong that it's not even clear that the stated goal is the real goal they are pursuing.
He might be rude and orange... He might also have done all this with no plan, he might be driving up the cost of virtually everything, he might be driving many small businesses into bankruptcy, he might have created instability that's going to make everyone reluctant to start new businesses, he might have driven away all of America's trading partners, he might have handed the 21st century to China on a silver platter, he might have ended the dollar as the global reserve currency and all the perks that come with that... I could go on.
How much more damage will Republicans do to the US before enough people accept that, by and large, our manufacturing days are behind us? And that manufacturing leaving our shores is not the reason the working and middle classes are poorer than they used to be?
by and large, our manufacturing days are behind us.
I agree, but even if one were convinced that they aren't, the proper way to do it is to use your congressional majority to come up with a package of actual targeted tariffs that phase in over time and thereby incentivize investment, which you can also do by subsidizing industrial development and getting labor on your side (other than the lukewarm conditional support of UAW and only UAW).
This, though, is a stupid and angry old man desperate for a legacy, being counseled by nativists and Christian Nationalists and nothing is coherent or likely to be effective. It's tearing down the existing system that, for better or worse, people have had to build their lives around, with nothing more than "concepts of a plan" for how to replace it, and with no real intention to have anything new benefit anyone but the super-rich for whom the worst outcomes are delayed megaprojects and lowered spots on a ranked list of billionaires.
The tariffs were planned. Presidents generally roll out the 'eating your vegetables' policies in their second term. Of course its going to drive up prices, that is the point. The small business that start making domestic goods will make good money. The small businesses that just dropship crap from Temu and Alibaba will go out of business. The dollar was already disappearing as the global reserve currency before Trump.
We need to NOT accept that manufacturing is behind us. NEVER accept failure.
To answer your question, yes I would. Working in a factory makes you much more than peanuts. You don't have to work in aerospace either. They are good jobs and creating more of them will benefit our country and raise average wages. A factory for making toasters opening up and creating jobs will increase average wages via supply and demand for labor. Even the bottom tier factories near me currently pay twice the minimum wage and that number will only go up with more job competition.
Did you know the Chinese government subsidizes shipping cost up until the point of entry at another country? It sometimes costs more for me to mail something to the next city over than it costs to mail something from China to the next city over. Our trade problems go beyond just cost of labor and shipping. China has had their thumb tipping the scale for a long time, now we do too.
There's no businesses, large or small, set up to take advantage of the tariffs in most industries. And it's difficult for new businesses to set up because there's an air of uncertainty to everything right now, because Trump likes to roll things out major changes with as little warning as he can - which is not an environment conducive to investment of any kind. Further, the equipment that would be needed to start a new manufacturing business is, by and large, covered by tariffs!
As for accepting failure - we didn't fail to keep those manufacturing jobs. We developed to the point nobody was willing to do those jobs for a cost effective price. That is not a failure.
In a global economy there's no need to be fully self sufficient; unless, for some reason, no one wants to work with you.
If the true goal is to just bring manufacturing back to the US then a stable economy and negotiated deals with entities that are actually manufacturing things are going to go so much further than just telling the rest of the world to find new clientele among the remaining 96% of the global population because the 4% that lives in the US can no longer afford it due to artificially imposed limits.
To accomplish 1 you need to you know... have an industry to protect. The US doesn't have Coffee industry. The US doesn't have a penguin industry. The US doesn't even have a semiconductor industry. All of which were tariffed because they came up with the formula on ChatGPT.
They already had tariffs protecting things like the auto industry.
You're right that there's a real issue with globalisation
And tariffs aren't even an insane mechanism to use. But the way that the administration is using them is either a) well-intentioned but incredibly badly implemented, or b) a cynical manipulation.
The sad part is that it's likely to make it harder to change things for better in the long run. Instead of a sane plan to develop domestic manufacturing we have this chaos, and once it's over people will be wary of the very idea.
I agree that trying to bring manufacturing capability is a huge deal. Economics aside people talk about private jets polluting like crazy, well every container ship belches smoke like the fucking fire navy. And there's a lot of them
Speaking of the navy there's a concerning amount of missile components that are subcontracted to chinese companies
But all that said if I was a company and I could hold out for 4 years I wouldn't build facilities in the US. When the new admin comes in I bet they would remove tarrifs and those facilities become way less profitable
It is sad that our country's policies always change every 4-8 years or so. It is hard to chase long-term goals when politicians are only looking 4 years into the future. This is not a Trump problem but an inherent problem of our system.
There is some motive to use the stick to motivate industries - after you have shown them a carrot.
It’s like if you see a child has abusive parents, so you just drain the bank accounts of those parents, and nudge to the child “Hey, you should look for new parents”.
Look at Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act. He actually encouraged growth of solar production in red states so that clean energy could actually become a profitable industry here. Once that went into full swing, THEN tariffs on Chinese panels would make sense.
Since Clinton's first term, I've been saying they need to create workers education for people whose jobs are getting shipped out. I never thought I'd bitch about neolibs, but it's their policies that manufactured this anger and populism, isn't it? 😔🫠
I don't think the next generation of the US is looking over at the Foxconn dorms and their suicide nets with envy. Even the average manufacturing job still in the US doesn't pay a living wage (due to unions being destroyed). Not that these tariffs will bring manufacturing back anyway.