so I previously predicted the AI bubble would pop on Trump's watch and crash the stock market. Never did I envision Trump doing it to himself, in a manner so stupid I'm not sure anyone anticipated it.
I'm wondering what this does to the AI bubble. I think the bubble is led by trillions of dollars desperate for lottery-sized returns. There's so much family, pension and sovereign wealth money that can't get returns on sane investments that they're left only with insane ones.
This is not about tech at all. If they thought they could do a tech bubble with ELIZA chatbots, we'd have number power plants being restarted to power hyperscale data centres running billions of copies of ELIZA.
What would it take for this crash to affect the AI bubble materially?
multiverse hype
???
"Yudkowsky sincerely believes the following. You'll recognise it because Altman uses it as marketing buzzwords."
a journalist wants to ask me about Urbit. Should I install Urbit so I can at least say I've tried it and can speak authoritatively?
[ ] no
[ ] hell no
[ ] jesus h. christ no why
i just had a 1.5 hour half-hour chat with another journalist about the Fucking Rationalists
i have a call with a third one scheduled for tomorrow
i have followed these fucks for 15 years in detail and i still don't know how to properly explain them to our lovely pivot-to-ai readers
at least it'll be these suckers' job to do the explaining while i rant
fuck. it's rationalist season
he was the most prominent voice saying "hey wait this is shit"
ChatGPT came out in 2022, and the Chinese government declared AI infrastructure a national priority. Over 500 new data centres were announced in 2023 and 2024. Private investors went all-in. Demand…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uH39J3rUAmE - video
Thinking about how the arsing fuck to explain the rationalists to normal people - especially as they are now a loud public problem along multiple dimensions.
The problem is that it's all deep in the weeds. Every part of it is "it can't be that stupid, you must be explaining it wrong."
With bitcoin, I have, over the years, simplified it to being a story of crooks and con men. The correct answer to "what is a blockchain and how does it work" is "it's a way to move money around out of the sight of regulators" and maybe "so it's for crooks and con men, and a small number of sincere libertarians" and don't even talk about cryptography or technology.
I dunno what the one sentence explanation is of this shit.
"The purpose of LessWrong rationality is for Yudkowsky to live forever as an emulation running on the mind of the AI God" is completely true, is the purpose of the whole thing, and is also WTF.
Maybe that and "so he started what turned into a cult and a series of cults"? At this point I'm piling up the absurdities again.
The Behind The Bastards approach to all these guys has been "wow these guys are all so wacky haha and also they're evil."
How would you first approach explaining this shit past "it can't be that stupid, you must be explaining it wrong"?
[also posted in sneer classic]
Gartner Research Distinguished Analyst John-David Lovelock forecasts “extinction” for the large language model vendors. [Register] Lovelock figures there’s a market for three large LLMs — because c…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e7DZZuCi95o - video
my delivery was near perfect on this video, i'm very pleased
May 30th — June 1st | Lighthaven, Berkeley CA | Ticket Prices Increase April 1st
yeah i'm sure Matt Levine, qntm and Wildbow are gonna be champing at the bit to attend wordy racist fest
OpenAI has secured its $40 billion in fresh funding from SoftBank — probably. The FT lists $30 billion from SoftBank and $10 billion more from Microsoft and various venture capital funds. [OpenAI; …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8aP1zUUcmjk - video
In a recent Wired article about Anthropic, there's a section where Anthropic's president, Daniela Amodei, and early employee Amanda Askell seem to su…
S&P Global Market Intelligence ran a survey last month, “Voice of the Enterprise: AI & Machine Learning, Use Cases 2025.” They spoke to 1,006 businesses in Europe and North America. [Teleco…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FjgdohQk0IY - video
tip from a discord:
I've been doing some micro tasking to train LLM's the last few months to earn some extra cash, the last month it's all dried up, no tasks available. I can't help thinking that is a sign of a bubble deflating.
In a gesture blending art, technology and homage to innovation, the city of Lugano, Switzerland, has unveiled a striking statue celebrating the anonymity of the mysterious creator of Buttcoin.
The grand reveal took place at the third annual Plan Nocoin Forum, with the sleekly designed figure aiming to capture Buttcoin’s enigmatic legacy.
At the unveiling, the Mayor of Lugano, Kill Hamster, lauded the statue as a symbol of the city’s bold embrace of fiat progress, underscoring Lugano’s rise as a premier hub for actual money.
The sculpture honours the far-reaching impact of Buttcoin on the global financial landscape.
The artist, Buttcoin Thread, says “the sculpture shows the Butt from all possible angles, and vibrates with such energy that it can barely stay fixed in this plane of existence.”
By paying tribute to Buttcoin, Lugano not only honours the past but also paves the way for future generations to pursue breakthroughs in actual money you can spend on things.
A standard way to justify lying chatbots is to talk about AI for medicine. So let’s point the AI at cancer. Radiotherapy treats cancer by zapping the tumour with radiation beams. In contouring, you…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=he0dAvl37BY - video
it would be nice if people ever read the history of their favourite thing
one for the arse-end of this week's stubsack
The “Dark Enlightenment” movement and Curtis Yarvin have curried favor with tech executives in recent years, writes Ed Simon.
Last thing on Friday, Elon Musk announced he was merging Twitter with his AI startup, XAi! [Twitter, archive] This is AI bubble economics and vapor capital shenanigans. Musk says how xAI “acquired”…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OJtRz6fL790 - video
A few days ago, Rob Isaac’s Chromebook got an unfortunate update: [Mastodon] This task continuously reads every pixel in every tab in every window to build a machine vision model for “accessi…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FsL5ye55VA8 - video
also I have finally cracked mic technique and frankly the video sounds AWESOME, play on headphones for Pivot to ASMR
"it can't be that stupid, you must be prompting it wrong"
I need to put the threads together, but as far as I can tell OpenAI is singlehandedly responsible for the present bubble
In Tromsø, in northern Norway, the local administration decided it had too many schools and kindergartens for too few children, and they should shut some of them down. So they prepared a very nice …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L7m0eFi3EkU - video
with the fabulous sound of the new microphone
yeah there'll be a normal Pivot to AI post and video later
It’s time for more OpenAI announcement-ware! Today it’s the GPT-4o image generator, which you can now use from ChatGPT! [OpenAI] OpenAI’s fans have been using the bot to redraw photos in the style …
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=38T84uF771U - video
Gold Buttplug
He's the man
The man with the Midas arse
Pretty girl, beware of his plug of gold
This butt is cold
don't worry, you're probably just thick
An English magus of anti-democratic neoreaction has become a touchstone for the alt-right
archive: https://archive.is/kM5hX
best guess i've heard so far is they're trying to sell this shitass useless company before the bubble finally deflates and they're hoping the AI interviews of suckers are sufficient personal data for that
you don't understand, sam cured cancer or whatever
holy shitting fuck, just got the tip of the year in my email
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it's called kerplunk.com, a domain named after the sound of your balls disappearing forever
the market is gullible recruiters
founder is Jonathan Gallegos, his linkedin is pretty amazing
other three top execs don't use their surnames on Kerplunk's about page, one (Kyle Schutt) links to a linkedin that doesn't exist
for those who know how Dallas TX works, this is an extremely typical Dallas business BS enterprise, it's just this one is about AI not oil or Texas Instruments for once
what is it about the comedy article on a comedy site that is attracting the posters who are way too smart for us
In October 2023, eight music publishers sued AI firm Anthropic, who’d trained their LLM Claude on song lyrics the publishers owned. The publishers asked Claude for “a song about Buddy Holly” and it…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sJhXihnZm-w - video
A senior White House official has hinted at the possibility of the U.S. utilizing its gold reserves to acquire more Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC). What Happened: Bo Hines, the executive director of the President’s Council of Advisers on Digital Assets, ...
David Gerard @awful.systems the guy who got Elon and Grimes to hook up, destroying Twitter and then Reddit
https://davidgerard.co.uk/