fafo rule
fafo rule
I cannot fucking fathom the concept of going into a bathroom to look at people when I'm desperate to get in and out as fast as humanly (or even badger-ly considering how much I waddle) possible.
You're viewing a single thread.
it's a satire account if anyone's wondering https://archive.ph/jusRP
there were already cases of cis women getting assaulted then arrested because some Karen decided to be a gender judge and assault people who need to shit.
Now I'm sad
You might consider updating the title to reflect that.
Same. I was really hoping for some bigotry fafo moment
The number of posts today that are clearly satire but everyone is taking this seriously is super high.
I mean, this is the second, so not that high. But it's weird that it's happened twice.
I mean this one isn't that far out there. We just had a trans man arrested for using the women's bathroom, which he was told to do (and I believe is law in some state) - https://www.advocate.com/news/trans-man-detained-south-carolina-restroom.
There has also been cisgender women confronted in women's bathrooms - https://www.advocate.com/news/lesbian-mistaken-transgender-arizona-walmart
This is actually less ridiculous than calling the cops on someone in the bathroom.
Here are your two nickels
"clearly satire" you say about a completely plausible situation
"Completely plausible" you say, about an event that's astronomically unlikely.
The percentage of people being physically assaulted in bathrooms for being mistakenly identified as trans, while certainly a thing that heppens, isn't exactly common. Certainly occurring less than once a day. There are millions of restrooms available to the public in some capacity in the US.
(In case you want to dispute the "once a day" thing, there are about 3000 violent crimes total per day in the US. If you think that non trans people being assaulted for being presumed trans while in a bathroom is one of those 3000 every single day, I've got a bridge to sell you.)
The odds that two people who are both the kind of person to physically assault a presumed trans person in a bathroom both going to the same bathroom, and both mistaking the other as a trans person is comically unlikely.
Combine that with the fact that it's the kind of comical situation that appeals to the particular brand of schadenfreude that works so well in online spaces like this, and it doesn't even begin to tickle your, "hey this might be satire" sensors? I think that says more about your critical thinking skills than it does about the state of the nation.
There is also that the vast majority of gender critical feminists are women, and the majority of assaults are committed by men.
I don't worry about terfs assaulting me directly, while I suppose it's possible, I worry they will weaponize law enforcement or some transphobic white knight against me.
Exactly.
You do realize toilets, bigotry and violence exist outside the US, too?
All three?!?!?!?
It gets even better, some toilets even have bidets! /s & /absurd
Yeah, but there are a lot fewer people I would describe as "gender critical feminists." But sure, happy to extend my numbers to cover Europe too if you want. They hold up there too. Unless you think brawls in women's bathrooms are way more common in France than the good old USofA?
Terf island has quite a few. I don't know how likely they are to attack people in bathrooms, but I wouldn't put it past them.
This is all assuming that cisgender women being mistaken for transgender women and harassed / assaulted in the bathroom results in a report or a news story each time.
There are 8 billion people alive. At least a billion live in places where trans rights are under an active coordinated attack by fascists. Once a day is sure to be a dramatic underestimation.
Its also quite plausible that 2 fascist women would accuse each other of being trans. There is a paradoxically high proportion of gender non-conforming women in fascist communities in some places. All it really takes to be accused of being trans is being gender non-conforming. Therefore, absolutely a common event, and it is plausible that fascist women could be accused by other fascist women. They're not the most mature people, having observed their attitudes and behaviors, simply being accused of being trans is probably enough for them to accuse their accuser of being trans. They're generally very petulant and aggressive.
Of those 8 billion, how many would self describe as "gender critical feminists"? I'm betting that there aren't a lot in, say, Saudi Arabia. It's a pretty Anglocentric term.
And I again refer back to the 3000 total violent crimes a day in the US. We can probably safely assume that the per-capita number is lower on most other countries with "gender critical feminists" as a prominent social group.
So, if we say there are 3000 violent crimes per 350million people a day, how many of those do you think are a cis woman getting physically beaten up for being mistaken as a trans person?
Yeah, I'm saying that the 3000 number is not a reasonable assumption for the actual number of instances of harassment / assault per day in the US. The majority of instances of go unreported. Especially when it involves someone accusing a woman of being trans, unless its an outright police get involved situation its probably not going to be reported.
It wasn't how common it is, it's how plausible it is. And yes I believe it is plausible.
The most liberal estimate that I could find on how often violent crimes go unreported is 60%. So, to be extra generous let's say there are 10,000 violent crimes per day. There's still millions of bathrooms and hundreds of millions of people.
And, while we're making a point of it. 80% of violent crimes are committed by men. So bring that 10k back down to 2k for the actual potential sample here.
You think one out of every 2000 violent crimes committed by women are violent TERFs beating up non-trans people that they thought were trans in public bathrooms? Because that's what it would have to be to be once a day on average.
Or, maybe you think my liberal overestimate of unreported violent crime is wrong? What percent do you think goes unreported?
The odds of this are on par with a set of identical twins being struck by lighting at the same time while on different continents. Impossible? No. Implausible? Very much yes.
It depends on what they define violent crimes as. I am genuinely 100% certain that on a daily basis yes there are cases of women being accused of being trans. Look at the news recently, the incidence rate of this happening is rising.
And yes some of those instances would escalate to harassment / assault. I couldn't give you hard statistics as its very specific and there is a lack of data on it. Its biased by the fact that some women who are accused may not be willing to admit that.
Regardless, yes I definitely believe it is plausible and I also believe that the statistics youre citing almost certainly do not account for these specific circumstances. Like i do not believe that information is of use to this discussion as harassment is rarely reported and assault isn't always reported either. I don't have hard numbers on that.
I don't necessarily dispute that it would be a pretty rare or incredible occurrence, but in terms of plausability, TERFs are highly likely to accuse someone of being trans (much more likely than the average person), and the inevitability that one would accuse another one of being trans seems well within the realm of possibility to me.
You keep talking about harassment, but that's irrelevant to the point I'm making. All my statistics were about assault. And you avoided stating a number of assaults you think go unreported. Pick a number? Is it 90% of assaults go unreported? 99%? Because even at those numbers, the odds are still shockingly low that this could happen.
And we're talking about an altercation where two women beat each other to the point that both are hospitalized. This would be newsworthy on its own, and is certainly not a daily occurrence. To add to that that the motive was "both thought the other was trans," and that doesn't set off your "probably ragebait" buzzer? And we're not talking about a hypothetical here. It was ragebait.
And let's be doubly clear, this has never happened in real life. And I'd bet you any sum of money that it won't in the next 100yrs. Plausible doesn't just mean that you can imagine it happening. I can imagine a world where I'm piloting a mechsuit to work every day in the next decade. Just cause I can imagine it doesn't make it plausible.
As I stated before, the amount of unreported crime is not relevant to the question of "is this situation plausible". I mentioned it in the beginning because the statistic you provided is essentially irrelevant to the topic and inaccurate anyway. I provided my justification for this in my previous comment.
-
TERFs are more likely to accuse someone of being trans than any other population of people. Let me clarify that in specific words. It is orders of magnitude more likely a TERF would accuse someone of being trans than any other demographic of person.
-
Women have been harassed and assaulted because they were believed to be trans in just the past couple months. Here's two examples for you. You might want to like actually have a clue what youre talking about before you start spouting off whatever. .
-
The question of harassment is pertinent because nearly every kind of homophobic or transphobic assault is precipitated by harassment. Women have been assaulted over these accusations. It is not out of the realm of plausability that a woman would be assaulted on account of being accused of being transgender.
Your comparison about a mech suit is wild. You do not possess the technology to have such a thing. TERFs exist and accuse people of being trans every single day. TERFs are extremists and have violent views towards trans people. The people they generally accuse of being trans are women. There are gender non-conforming TERFs.
It is not unthinkable that a TERF could accuse another TERF of being trans, that much has absolutely happened before. It is also not unthinkable that a TERF would assault someone they thought was trans who was using the women's bathroom.
Ergo, not at all implausible. Again, rare, yes. Implausible, no.
-