With presidential primaries underway and a 2020 general election rematch seemingly the most likely outcome, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS shows former President Donald Trump narrowly ahead of President Joe Biden in a matchup shaping up to be a close contest nationally.
In my experience, CNN viewers consider themselves centrists. Their politics are very liberal in the classical sense. Unlike Trump voters who want to hurt people while simultaneously feeding their victimhood.
Reminder that national polls are useless because the United States doesn't have national elections. There are 50 individual state elections, plus Washington D.C., which establish 535 Electoral College votes, 270 to win.
States like Washington, Oregon, California are going to Biden, no contest.
States like Texas, Louisiana, Alabama are going to Trump, no contest.
The election will be decided by the toss-up states. Unless the poll is talking about one of these states it can be safely ignored.
This is a change from the last time I posted this where Trump won, 278 to 260. Michigan and Pennsylvania are both now polling for Trump instead of Biden.
Previously, Biden needed to pick up +10.
Now he needs to pick up +44 which is a much, much, steeper ask...
People don't like downbeat Biden news, especially if it's true. Downvoting it isn't going to change things though. You have to be aware of what's happening to avert disaster.
It's very misleading (at best) to cherry-pick a single poll and use it as a heuristic for what would happen if the election was held today. There's a good reason why none of the big election forecasters do this. It's one thing to link individual state polls, and they are worth paying attention to, but if FiveThirtyEight thought they had enough data right now to build an accurate forecast without a huge amount of uncertainty, don't you think they would have done that themselves?
You know what...let's just make sure that everyone double checks Republicans haven't made people ineligible and let's make sure everyone votes. Forget right wing propaganda to discourage..
Polling has been off by 9+ points in the Democrat's favor, nationwide, since Roe v. Wade was overturned.
GOP has lost 13 of their last 15 special elections, even in "red" states.
Multiple state GOP groups are going bankrupt in an election year.
The most likely GOP Presidential candidate is a rapist that is about to be insolvent & quite possibly incarcerated in a state prison.
It has been almost 25 years since the winner of the Iowa GOP caucuses has also won the Presidency.
And last and least important, other polls, not promoted by CNN's new right-wing management, tell a different story. The GOP isn't releasing their internal polling for a reason.
Fun fact: You won't reply to this in any meaningful fashion.
If Joe can't shift these polls soon the DNC has a plan B, either Pritzker and Newsom. Joe can resign before the convention for health reasons, no one can argue that.
I thought he performed well during that debate. But in fairness, I only saw clips.
edit:
I'm not a huge fan of Newsom's neoliberal policies. But the man seems like he can communicate effectively with Americans. He's a candidate for 2024 not 1994. With Trump on the ballot, I will take that.
I was disappointed with his recent vetoes. He's pretty obviously trying to get the establishment behind him so he can be the party's preordained foregone conclusion in 2028.
With presidential primaries underway and a 2020 general election rematch seemingly the most likely outcome, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS shows former President Donald Trump narrowly ahead of President Joe Biden in what’s shaping up to be a close contest nationally.
The poll finds that a victory by either candidate would leave most of the nation dissatisfied and a substantial share upset.
Voters in the poll were asked whether they would like to see another candidate from within the party they’re closest to run as an independent if Biden were the Democratic nominee and Trump the Republican.
About 7 in 10 (72%) Republican-aligned voters say the party has a better chance to win the White House with Trump at the top of the ticket than someone else, and 57% say they would be enthusiastic should he become president again.
Despite numerous national polls showing her holding a broader lead over Biden than Trump does in hypothetical matchups, just 54% of GOP-aligned voters see her as having a realistic shot at winning, and a scant 16% would be enthusiastic about her should she become the next occupant of the White House.
The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS from January 25-30 among a random national sample of 1,212 adults drawn from a probability-based panel.
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