The America Party doesn't have to win to affect the political landscape.
Political parties in the USA can nominate whoever they want to be their nominee. Who they nominate could be either left-wing or right-wing.
The America Party can strategically split the vote and give the Democratic Party a supermajority in the House and Senate. Or they could strategically split the vote of the Democrats. They don't have to win; they just have to strategically prevent the Democrat or Republican from winning.
Most third parties struggle to raise money and have to fight to stay on the ballot. Because of Citizens United, there is unlimited funding of super PACs. They could saturate all the ad buys in that media market. You could possibly see over $100 million in super PACs just to prevent the Trump-aligned GOP candidate from winning.
Could the GOP candidate win an election being outspent ten or one hundred to one by a super PAC and beat a Democrat challenger at the same time? In a safe district, yes. But what about more competitive districts? All the people that voted for the Big Billionaire Bill either get primaried by a Musk-aligned Republican, or the vote gets split by the America Party candidate.
They don't have to win. The America Party could strategically split the vote and get the Democratic Party a supermajority in Congress. They could easily split the vote of the Democrats also. Trump would get impeached. JD Vance is then the puppet of Thiel and Musk.
If we use approval voting or score voting, we could prevent vote splitting from happening in elections. We seriously need a constitutional amendment to ban corporate free speech protection and corporate lobbying. We should have publicly funded elections and a land value tax.
I find it hard to believe that the America party has any chance of pulling more votes from Democrats than Republicans in any potential or hypothetical race.
Even if they platformed an actual socialist somewhere, typical Dem voters would either be strongly turned off by any musk association, or see America party and say "that's not a D" and vote for a Democrat.
The same centrists who have been shrieking "no matter who!" for 12 years will vote for musk's nazi pity party in a heartbeat if the alternative is a progressive.
I would not be surprised if this was an attempt at giving us two far-right parties, one on power, one in symbolic opposition, with the Democratic party forced into an impotent third place.