Kamala looks to be polling about 10 points lower than Biden, and she would be the defacto replacement, and anyone else seeking the nom would have to get past her to get the nom. Pushing him out looks extremely risky at this point.
Well thing is polls are always little bad at predicting in this kind of situation. Since for example, if Harris was the candidate, the campaign machine would change messaging behind her. This might affect things and so on.
So any one who isn't the main candidate has to be taken with "what would be this persons chances on election day taking in account between now and then campaign machine will be pushing them"
Many many other candidates have benefit of "don't look like they are at deaths door and statistically aren't beyond the expected life expectancy of USA population for person born so long ago."
Since realistically for example as morbid as it is ( and democrats and Biden forced themselves for me to making this comparison by insisting on the old man), one isn't voting for President Biden for 4 years. Nah it's like maybe 1-2 of President Biden and then rest of the term President Harris. Since that man is so old and looking bad health, he gets elected he is going to die in office. He will die in year or two also out of office, but well he really should take his retirement and enjoy the year or two of life he has left.
So the "Harris wouldn't be better choice", well she will be the choice in year or two. Don't think voters don't take that into account. People aren't dumb and can read life expectancy chart and use their eyes.
They need to stop campaigning on the issue of the presidency and start campaigning on the representatives and senators. People are overwhelmingly going to vote within party lines, and most young people who don't vote do so because they falsely believe their votes don't matter. This can be demonstrated to be untrue for congressional elections.
Let the DNC pick a candidate for the presidency who they think is good. The people don't choose the president, the states do. The electoral college makes sure of that in all but 2 states. Let the people vote for the Congress that the president has to work with. If you only give publicity to the ONE elected role that isn't really elected by the people, you'll get more voter apathy.
Yup. Biden can't win, Harris can't win, and if they both get bounced, whoever gets picked will be rejected by voters under the premise of "Well I didn't vote for you!"
The only way this ends well for the Democrats is for Biden to die, Harris becomes President, and gets a massive sympathy bump.
They pretty much have to, because there are some (Red) states who have a candidate deadline before the convention and if they don't, Biden won't be on the ballot.
Ohio was the only state presenting a major problem of that kind and it got taken care of. That issue is out of the way, from what I've read in the past two days.
I've heard there's (alledgly) pressure from the progressive wing to avoid this because they want to win the Popular Vote regardless of outcome.
Losing both makes them look weak. Or worse(to them), if they won the Electoral College and lost the Popular Vote. Some feel it would massively decrease support for the popular vote as a lot of people may only be supporting it when it backs there team(I will note support for reform is far higher among democrats, make of that what you will)