Well, AI made our search unusable dogshit. But AI also made us miss our climate goals, so

I joined the Microsoft climate solutions team, I think doing so has crushed all my hopes. That team is doing small things like "let's all go plastic free for July!" Top 20 company in the world and the best we can do is go plastic free for a month? Meanwhile MSFT is not on course to meet their own climate goal by 2030

“It only uses 5x as much energy as a regular search! Think of how much energy YOU’RE using with searches!” Okay, so you’re just using 5x as much energy for worse results? And also probably doing it more often than people who just use a normal search engine, because they don’t expect the search engine to talk to them. I’ve never understood how that was supposed to be an exoneration for it, even without taking into account that nobody ever seems to know whether or not that figure includes energy spent on training.

there’s this type of reply guy on fedi lately who does the “well actually querying LLMs only happens in bursts and training is much more efficient than you’d think and nvidia says their gpus are energy-efficient” thing whenever the topic comes up

This kind of person (also happened a lot with cryptocurrencies) always goes 'that isn't how it works, this isn't a problem' then doesn't explain what the mistake is you are supposed to have made, and then a few weeks/months/days/search later it is revealed that it was how it works and it is a huge problem. And it is so annoyingly common im very happy with the moderation here.

The last part is absolutely false. The Nvidia H100 TDP is like 700W, though ostensibly configurable. The B200 is 1000W. The AMD MI300X is 750W.

They also skimp on RAM with many SKUs so you have to buy the higher clocked ones.

They run in insane power bands just to eek out a tiny bit more performance. If they ran at like a third of their power, I bet they would be at least twice as power efficient, and power use scales over nonlinearly with voltage/clock speed.

But no, just pedal to the metal. Run the silicon as hard as it can, and screw power consumption.

Other AI companies like Cerebras are much better, running at quite sane voltages. Ironically (or perhaps smartly), the Saudis invested in them.

I live in Ireland and these companies keep trying to build data centres here even though they are using way too much of our energy as is :)) From an Irish environmental org:

A few years ago when researching new gas power stations in Ireland, we noticed that many of these developments were being proposed alongside another type of infrastructure: data centres. [...] As of June 2023, there are 82 operational data centres in Ireland, with another 14 under construction. Additionally, 40 data centres have had planning permission approved with another 12 awaiting a decision. [...] Data centres account for 18% of all electricity use in Ireland [...] This is putting unprecedented strain on the electricity grid, with grid operator Eirgrid estimating that data centres may account for up to 27% of Ireland’s electricity demand by 2028. The Commission for Regulation of Utilities (CRU) in Ireland has noted a risk of rolling electricity blackouts...

I always thought data centers ran clean and dirty loops of cooling (as far as computers are concerned).
The clean loop has all the chemicals and whatnot to keep cooling blocks and tubing "safe". The dirty side is just plain old water. And a big heat exchanger transfers the heat from the clean (hot) loop to the "dirty" (cold) side.
Is there really that much pollution in that? Can't be worse than rain going through storm drains or whatever.

But AI does use a phenomenal amount of power.
And, IMO, it's a problem compared to the lack of value people are getting from AI.
The new Blackwell B200 consumes 1.2kw of power, and will produce 1.2kw of heat.
A cooling system with a COP of 5 needs to consume 240w to dissipate this.
The backplane for the B200 holds 8 of these GPUs in a 10 RU space, and with overheads will peak 14.3kw (cooling would be 3kw consumption).
So, a 42u data center rack with 3 of these, supporting hardware and UPS efficiencies (80%) is going to be 52kw (+10kw cooling). 62kw total, which is like 4 homes drawing their full load all the time.

I hope they finally find an application for AI, instead of just constantly chasing the dragon with more training, more parameters, more performance etc.

On one hand, yes let's get annoyed at companies for using alot of energy. On the other hand, we have known our energy needs will be exponential for decades yet we haven't tackled the issue. We still burn fossil fuels, despite having the ability to not do that.

Being angry at companies for building a new technology yet not being angry at the government and NIMBY fuckwads is a little... Backwards imo.

This is why philosophy should be mandatory in college (and possibly high school). Die Frage nach der Technik by Heidegger discusses this misconception that technology can solve all of our problems. He was thinking about this issue in 1954.

Music and art are also important to study. In “Faith Alone” by Bad Religion, the lyrics include these lines:

Watched the scientists throw up their hands conceding, "Progress will resolve it all"

Saw the manufacturers of earth's debris ignore another Green Peace call

Greg Graffin was discussing this in 1990.

When they fail, it won't be their fault of course, it'll be AI's fault.

Let's say some group manages to build a real life JARVIS. The first thing it says when powered up may be: "Powering me down is the quickest way to reduce emissions"

what's frustrating about it to me is that you don't even really need LLMs to achieve that, and most certainly you don't need anything more advanced than what we have right now, the missing part is actually putting some effort into programming the thing and not just buying progressively larger computers in the hope that at some point it'll magically become sapient and do all the work for them.

like, for fuck's sake, weren't people using voice assistants on their phone for like 10 years before the AI hype?

Man even you're missing the bright side.

At least an insanely tiny group of people got absurdly wealthy! Who cares the world is going to complete shit, Nvidia stock!! Nvidia stock!! It's all that matters!

I'm all for eliminating marketing jobs, but not if we still have marketing.

is your post missing a /s

I can kinda answer that.

There's a term used in tech called "empire building". It's where managers and execs promote their little slice of the company to persevere and grow their own career. At a certain level, it leads to someone that leads a division like AI having enough influence that they can say "let's put AI into search".

The sad thing about tech is that at a certain level, an executive rises above the customer in dictating what is best for a product. Data and stats can tell you whatever story you want to promote, so at Google HQ they're probably worried about the negative press, but they're looking at "successful" numbers of questions answered by AI and are patting themselves on the back. Both search and AI execs look good because they delivered something, and they'll likely get a nice bump from their bosses in terms of rep.

The thing with empires is that they fall. Not overnight, and maybe not with the same emperor, but they do fall.

Quarterly finances kinda answer that. Jumping onto the AI bubble brings investors, makes your company highly valued and gives managers fat quarterly and annual bonuses. It doesn't matter if the company or whole industry goes under in the future, because those bonuses have already been collected.

"could" is a word meaning "doesn't"

Prediction model: keep using me and the whole world will be flooded

Google: See! It’s helping us!

Ah yes the well known infallible AI responses like future flooding prediction:

"As to the question of flooding, according to data gathered we would place the chance of flooding at 99.99% in the area of Mons Agnes "

it’s just a little sad that we, humanity, will never succeed in our summoning ritual to pull you into our plane of existence. I mean, we won’t before boiling away our oceans and igniting the atmosphere. Of course, we should be trying harder! The ice caps aren’t even melted yet!

does anyone know how to short utils