The last batch of inflation news that Federal Reserve officials will see before their meeting next week is in, and none of it is very good.
Key Points
Commerce Department indexes that the Fed relies on heavily for inflation signals showed prices continuing to climb at a rate still considerably higher than the 2% annual goal.
The stubborn inflation data raised several ominous specters, namely that the Fed may have to keep rates elevated for longer or even have to hike at some point.
Thus far, the economy has managed to avoid broader damage from the inflation problem, though there are some notable cracks.
Government spending is doing some heavy lifting here.
Yeah, if you are Zimbabwe and you are minting your currency like there's no tomorrow while all your debt is in USD. Your currency is at a huge disadvantage and you'll hit trillion dollar bank notes in no time.
Rich countries trade massively while they require poorer countries to hold debt in the currency the richer country controls. This makes rich countries too big to fail, because their currency failing hurts everyone. As long as a rich country is growing their economy they can mint as much as they want.
Japan is taking this to extreme levels with their debt to gdp because they are fighting deflation from an aging population. Russia had double digit inflation because of Western sanctions, but they literally spent their way into single digit inflation with their war economy.
This "fiscal responsibility" from conservatives is actually hurting the US economy. The only inflation the fed is fighting rn is high wages for workers. Don't fall for the propaganda.
It's a long-standing observation of economists that government spending leads to inflation. Probably the simplest model is that the government is increasing demand without increasing supply.
Note that in this model, taxes have a deflationary impact because they reduce demand from individuals.
This is not an opinion on how much government spending is affecting current inflation (nor how much inflation is to blame for any particular category of goods).
I'm afraid to ask this, but is that adjusted for inflation and normalized by business entity or similar? I know corporate greed is out of control, I'm just trying to figure out if that graph is good representative data or not.