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2 yr. ago

  • OpenAi yearly payroll runs in the billions, so they probably aren't hurting.

    That Almsost AGI is short for Actually Bob and Vicky seems like quite the embarrassment, however.

  • Very good read actually.

    Except, from the epilogue:

    People are working to resolve [intelligence heritability issue] with new techniques and meta-arguments. As far as I understand, the frontline seems to be stabilizing around the 30-50% range. Sasha Gusev argues for the lower end of that band, but not everyone agrees.

    The not-everyone-agrees link is to acx and siskind's take on the matter, who unfortunately seems to continue to fly under the radar as a disingenuous eugenicist shitweasel with a long-term project of using his platform to sane-wash gutter racists who pretend at doing science.

  • They made a pro-longtermist video in association with open philanthropy a few years back, The Last Human or something like that, the summary was pretty open about the connection.

    I don't think the shadiness is specific to rationalism, see also that bizarre KG video claiming it's scientifically impossible to lose weight by exercising that coincided with the height of Ozempic's hype.

    edit: The Last Human came out at 2022, the same year the McAskill book arguing longtermism was published, what a coinkidink.

  • Hyperstition is such a bad neologism, apparently doubleplus superstition equals self-fullfilling prophecy (transitive)? They don't even bother to verb it properly... Nick Land got a nonsense word stuck in his head and now there's a whole subculture of midwit thought leader wannabes parroting that shit.

  • Additionally he said something to the effect of I don't blame you for not knowing this, it wasn't effectively communicated to the media like it's no big deal, which isn't really helping to beat the allegations of don't ask don't tell policies about SA in rat related orgs.

  • [SBF's] psychiatrist, George Lerner, worked in the same office as Scott Alexander IIRC (I’ve lost track of the source, will post later if I can find it).

    It was in an ACX blog post, siskind just admitted it out of nowhere. edit: Well ok because he was obviously discussing him, but the possibility of any connections between them wasn't really on anyone's radar by then I think.

    edit: Got it: https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/the-psychopharmacology-of-the-ftx#footnote-anchor-1-84889532

  • OpenAI Declares ‘Code Red’ as Google Threatens AI Lead

    I just wanted to point out this tidbit:

    Altman said OpenAI would be pushing back work on other initiatives, such as advertising, AI agents for health and shopping, and a personal assistant called Pulse.

    Apparently a fortunate side effect of google supposedly closing the gap is that it's a great opportunity to give up on agents without looking like complete clowns. And also make Pulse even more vapory.

  • The kids were using Adobe for Education. This calls itself “the creative resource for K–12 and Higher Education” and it includes the Adobe Express AI image generator.

    I feel the extent to which schooling in the USA is of the this arts and crafts class brought to you by Carl's Jr™ variety is probably understated.

  • Could be part of its RLHF training, frequent emphasized headers maybe help the prediction engine stay on track for long passages.

  • /r/SneerClub discusses MIRI financials and how Yud ended up getting paid $600K per year from their cache.

    Malo Bourgon, MIRI CEO, makes a cameo in the comments to discuss Ziz's claims about SA payoffs and how he thinks Yud's salary (the equivalent of like 150.000 malaria vaccines) is defensible for reasons that definitely exist, but they live in Canada, you can't see them.

  • No idea if it was intentional given how long a series' production cycle can be before it ends up on tv/streaming, but it's hard not to see Vince Gilligan's Pluribus as a weird extended impact-of-chatbots metaphor.

    It's also somewhat tedious and seems to be working under the assumption that cool cinematography is a sufficient substitute for character development.

  • Hasn't it lately become increasingly possible that the files of famous financier and MIRI donor J. Epstein will be finally released to public cognizance?

  • most BNPL loans aren’t reported to credit bureaus, creating what regulators call “phantom debt.” That means other lenders can’t see when someone has taken out five different BNPL loans across multiple platforms. The credit system is flying blind.

    Only good things can come of this.

  • But if hypothetically you ask me whether I know about any couples currently doing this ill-advised thing, where it has not yet blown up, then I do not confirm or deny; it would not be my job to run their lives. This is true even if all they'd face is a lot of community frowning about BDSM common wisdom, rather than legal consequences. It is very hard to get me to butt into two people's lives, if they are both telling me to get out and mind my own business; maybe even to the point of it being an error on my part, because if I was erring there, I sure do know which side I would be erring on.

    This reads a lot like an ixnay on the exualassaultsay admonition towards the broader rationalist community.

  • I always thought it was cool that (there is a case to be made that) HPL created Azathoth, the monstrous nuclear chaos beyond angled space, as a mythological reimagining of a black hole. Stuff like The Dreams in the Witch-house shows he was up to date on a bunch of cutting edge for the time physics stuff, at least as far as terminology is concerned, massive nerd that he was.

  • time travelling evil robot

    Fun fact: In the original telling the robot is supposed to be the good guy, the eternal torment dungeon is just part of its optimal strategy to beat out actually evil robot overlords from existing first.

  • 'Genetic engineering to merge with machines' is both a stream of words with negative meaning and something I don't think he could come up with on his own, like the solar system sized dyson sphere or the lab leak stuff. He just strikes me as too incurious to have come across the concepts he mashes together on his own.

    Simplest explanation I guess is he's just deliberately joeroganing the CEO thing and that's about as deep as it goes.

  • Michael Hendricks, a professor of neurobiology at McGill, said: “Rich people who are fascinated with these dumb transhumanist ideas” are muddying public understanding of the potential of neurotechnology. “Neuralink is doing legitimate technology development for neuroscience, and then Elon Musk comes along and starts talking about telepathy and stuff.”

    Fun article.

    Altman, though quieter on the subject, has blogged about the impending “merge” between humans and machines – which he suggested would either through genetic engineering or plugging “an electrode into the brain”.

    Occasionally I feel that Altman may be plugged into something that's even dumber and more under the radar than vanilla rationalism.

  • TechTakes @awful.systems

    Peter Thiel Antichrist lecture: We asked guests what the hell it is

    TechTakes @awful.systems

    Albania appoints AI bot as minister to tackle corruption

    SneerClub @awful.systems

    Where Scoot makes the case about how an AGI could build an army of terminators in a year if it wanted.

    TechTakes @awful.systems

    OpenAI scuttles for-profit transformation

    TechTakes @awful.systems

    "If a man really wants to make a million dollars, the best way would be to start his own social network." -- L. Ron Altman

    TechTakes @awful.systems

    UK creating ‘murder prediction’ tool to identify people most likely to kill

    NotAwfulTech @awful.systems

    Advent of Code 2024 - Historian goes looking for history in all the wrong places

    SneerClub @awful.systems

    New article from reflective altruism guy starring Scott Alexander and the Biodiversity Brigade

    TechTakes @awful.systems

    It can't be that the bullshit machine doesn't know 2023 from 2024, you must be organizing your data wrong (wsj)

    TechTakes @awful.systems

    Generating (often non-con) porn is the new crypto mining

    SneerClub @awful.systems

    SBF's effective altruism and rationalism considered an aggravating circumstance in sentencing

    SneerClub @awful.systems

    Rationalist org bets random substack poster $100K that he can't disprove their covid lab leak hypothesis, you'll never guess what happens next

    SneerClub @awful.systems

    Hi, I'm Scott Alexander and I will now explain why every disease is in fact just poor genetics by using play-doh statistics to sorta refute a super specific point about schizophrenia heritability.

    SneerClub @awful.systems

    Reply guy EY attempts incredibly convoluted offer to meet him half-way by implying AI body pillows are a vanguard threat that will lead to human extinction...

    SneerClub @awful.systems

    Existential Comics on rationalism and parmesan

    TechTakes @awful.systems

    Turns out Altman is a lab-leak covid truther, calls virus 'synthetic' according to Spectator piece on AI risk.

    SneerClub @awful.systems

    Rationalist literary criticism by SBF, found on the birdsite