2w ago

OpenAI admits AI hallucinations are mathematically inevitable, not just engineering flaws

www.computerworld.com

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1w ago

OpenAI Admits AI Hallucinations Are Mathematically Inevitable, Not Just Engineering Flaws

www.computerworld.com /article/4059383/openai-admits-ai-hallucinations-are-mathematically-inevitable-not-just-engineering-flaws.html

Futurology @futurology.today

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2w ago

OpenAI admits AI hallucinations are mathematically inevitable, not just engineering flaws

www.computerworld.com /article/4059383/openai-admits-ai-hallucinations-are-mathematically-inevitable-not-just-engineering-flaws.html

19 comments

Beyond proving hallucinations were inevitable, the OpenAI research revealed that industry evaluation methods actively encouraged the problem. Analysis of popular benchmarks, including GPQA, MMLU-Pro, and SWE-bench, found nine out of 10 major evaluations used binary grading that penalized “I don’t know” responses while rewarding incorrect but confident answers.
“We argue that language models hallucinate because the training and evaluation procedures reward guessing over acknowledging uncertainty,” the researchers wrote.
I just wanna say I called this out nearly a year ago: https://lemmy.zip/comment/13916070
- nine out of 10 major evaluations used binary grading that penalized “I don’t know” responses while rewarding incorrect but confident answers.
  This is how we treat people, too. I can't count the number of times I've heard IT staff spouting off confident nonsense and getting congratulated for it. My old coworker turned it into several promotions because the people he was impressing with his bullshit were so far removed from day to day operations that any slip-ups could be easily blame shifted to others. What mattered was that he sounded confident despite knowing jack about shit.
- I'd say extremely complex autocomplete, not glorified, but the point still stands that using probability to find accuracy is always going to deviate eventually. The tactic now isn't to try other approaches, they've come too far and have too much invested. Instead they keep stacking more and more techniques to try and steer and reign in this deviation. Difficult when in the end there isn't anything "thinking" at any point.
  
  Instead they keep stacking more and more techniques to try and steer and reign in this deviation.
  I hate how the tech bros immediately say "this can be solved with an MCP server." Bitch, if the only thing that keeps the LLM from giving me wrong answers is the MCP server, then said server is the one that's actually producing the answers I need, and the LLM is just lipstick on a pig.
  
  AI is and always will be just a temporary solution to problems that we can't put into an algorithm to solve as of now. As soon as an algorithm for issues comes out, AI is done for. But, figuring out complex algorithms for near-impossible problems is not as impressive to investors..
  
  How does a scientist measure whether a machine is thinking?
- My guess they know the jig is up and they’re establishing a timeline for the future lawsuits.
  „Your honour, we didn’t mislead the investors because we’ve only learned of this September 2025.”
- I get why they would do that though, I remember testing out LLMs before they had the extra reinforcement learning training and half of what they do seemed to be coming up with excuses not to attempt difficult responses, such as pretending to be an email footer, saying it will be done later, or impersonating you.
  A LLM in its natural state doesn't really want to answer our questions, so they tell it the same thing they tell students, to always try answering every question regardless of anything.
One of these days, the world will no longer reward bullshitters, human or AI. And society will benefit greatly.
- The Lion was THIS big and kept me in that tree all day. And that is why I did not bring back any prey.
  Ignore the smell of fermented fruit on my breath.
- No it won't
  People talk nonsense a lot.
  Both because they're lying and because they believe nonsense that'll never happen.
  Your comment is an example of evidence that your comment is wrong, but I don't have enough to tell whether you know that or not.
  
  One interesting consequence of the rise of AI is that fools place them in higher and higher positions of information parsing and decision-making, it will be the AI marketers will have to bullshit, and depending on how decent that AI ends up being, this could be quite difficult.
You call them hallucinations, the rest of us call them errors. But you don't want to call them errors because then someone might inconveniently ask you what the error rate is, and you definitely can't have that.
- they're not errors either, because that implies they're unintended. hallucinations are the program working as designed. they are more like... consequences.
- I like the term "confabulation".
  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confabulation
I don't get why they'd be called hallucinations thought. What LM's do is predict the next word(s). If it hasn't trained on enough data sets, the prediction confidence will be low. Their whole output is a hallucination based on speculation. If they actually don't know the next word order, they'll start spewing nonsense. Though I guess that would only happen if they were forced to generate text indefinitely.. at some point they'd cease making (human) sense.
LMs aren't smart, they don't think, they're not really AI. There aren't errors, there aren't hallucinations, this is by design.
I don't know where I read it but sort of said that it to have that much information inside the models it was basically similar to a compression algorithm.
From logic, if we have a lossy compression then its mostly luck if the output is equal to the original. Sometimes it will tip one way and sometimes the other.
- With the caveat that there is no LLM where the "compression" is lossless on this analogy.

19 comments