Trump to impose $100,000 fee per year for H-1B visas, in blow to tech
Trump to impose $100,000 fee per year for H-1B visas, in blow to tech
reuters.com
The Trump administration said on Friday it would ask companies to pay $100,000 per year for H-1B worker visas, prompting some big tech companies to warn visa holders to stay in the U.S. or quickly return.
The change could deal a big blow to the technology sector that relies heavily on skilled workers from India and China.
Since taking office in January, Trump has kicked off a wide-ranging immigration crackdown, including moves to limit some forms of legal immigration. The step to reshape the H-1B visa program represents his administration's most high-profile effort yet to rework temporary employment visas.
It’s another extortion trick. The administration has a way to waive the fee. He’s going to use it to get tech to bend the knee.
Maybe. Could be just needing to offset tax cuts. The present administration and Congress has has cut taxes on the wealthy. Either they find new sources of revenue to fill the hole, or they run up deficit.
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2025/03/04/what-we-know-about-the-us-h-1b-visa-program/
This would amount to a tax, mostly on the tech industry employing skilled workers out of India, of about $40B/year.
Pew has a list of top employers. Amazon would take the single largest share, at over $1B/year.
On the other hand, Trump also eliminated the de minimis tariff exemption, which was a move that I would guess is probably very advantageous to Amazon (it let foreign e-retailers sell to American consumers while rarely paying tariffs, since they sold product imported in small quantities, whereas domestic e-retailers selling product tended to import in larger quantity and paid tariff).
kagis
https://communicationsdaily.com/article/2025/05/20/cbo-no-de-minimis-would-mean-52-b-in-revenue-first-full-year-2505200047?BC=bc_674b2b83cff7b
So if you figure that Trump effectively levied a tax that principally hit Amazon's foreign competitors like Shein and Temu with that move, I expect that that partially offsets how hard this hits Amazon.
That being said, a lot of other tech firms are gonna get hurt, and aren't e-retailers. I doubt that this is a good move in terms of US tech strength.
Uh, they will run of the deficit, not report honestly, and fuck the American economy.
From June 2025, so it’s probably worse projections now.
Sure, Trump had COVID, but his years were ramping up spending significantly before. The idea that Trump is some sort of “shrewd business man” is a complete lie. They supposedly cut all these jobs & they are still going to spend more than last year. So it’s just pure projection.
Yeah, I'm trying really hard to find the gotcha on this one, but it's starting to look like they might have just accidentally stumbled onto a good policy.
It will, of course, be administered badly, and probably applied in a way that doesn't stand up in court, but the idea itself seems sound. If you're really so desperate for talent to fill that role that you have to bring in someone from overseas, the extra cost is just part of doing business. But if you're just searching overseas for cheaper labour, this kills that option outright.
As the article notes, it could still have negative side effects, like seeing companies move jobs overseas, but I don't find that argument entirely convincing. If it was that easy wouldn't they have already have moved those jobs instead of dealing with a visa lottery?
Unfortunately I suspect the way this plays out is that in about a week they quietly drop it and then FAANG donate a giant pile of money to Trump's "charities" or whatever grift he's up on now. There's no way he actually messes with his financial backers like this. Most likely the whole thing is just a shake-down.
There’s really very little keeping tech jobs in the us. If h1-b’s are too expensive they’ll just be remote jobs to another country. Just when we were finally bringing tech jobs back, whooosh