Have we already passed the tipping point?
Has the system finally cracked? Have the wealthy and powerful simply taken so much leaving the rest of us grasping at our very survival, easily manipulated into turning against other groups and even each other in an attempt to make sense of it all? Is society destined to destroy itself or descend into eternal servitude to our masters? How do we get out of this spiral of madness?
The rich and powerful have been in control for a long time. Before capitalism, it was monarchies under feudalism, 10x worse than today. Back then, there weren't much of medical knowledge and medicine that prolong lifespans; people had much shorter lives and died young. Think Human Rights are being infringed by your leaders? Human rights weren't even a widespread concept back then. Police brutality and suppressing protests? Back then they'd just start killing on sight. You don't get jail time, they cut your heads off. We have made so much progress overall in Human Rights (although some countries are still lacking behind, its overall much better these days)
To put things in perspective, Homo Sapiens were near extinctions for most of its history. We managed to survived this long. Maybe everyone worldwide will wake up tomorrow with an emergency alert on our phones (aka: Global Nuclear War), or maybe not. Only time will tell.
The great filter isn't a one time thing, the universe will always be throwing challenges at living beings, but some will evolve and thrive. I mean, 50-70 years ago, people were like: "well this is it, everyone is gonna die in a nuclear blast", well... here we are.
But don't lose hope. Whatever happens, enjoy the time you have left. Don't stress about it too much. Don't let defeatism ruin your mood.
Back then, there weren't much of medical knowledge and medicine that prolong lifespans; people had much shorter lives and died young.
That seems a bit incorrect. Of course medicine made a big leap over the last two centuries, but it was not worthless before.
Also people had good chances to reach their 60ies or even 70ies once they survived their first 15 years.
Oligarchy is nothing compared what's in store due to global warming. These are the good times..
I guarantee you that it will not descend into eternal servitude. People die, environments collapse, wars happen, empires fall. Although this may sound negative, go read the history books and see how much horrible shit has happened in the course of human existence. All of that should show you that progress doesn't ... progress ... linearly. Things change, things get worse, things get better, dictators die, that's all part of human life.
Of course there could be remarkably bad times, particularly if we face nuclear war or extended effects related to extreme climate change. Those are not cyclical in any way shape or form. But many other horrible things that you're seeing right now in the united States, for example, similar bad shit has happened before. That doesn't mean the country is going to recover in 5 years or even in 50 years, or that it won't, but it's not the first time this kind of happening has occurred in history, and it certainly won't be the last.
History repeats itself but accelerated and amplified?
It's been understated if anything for the past few decades.
The 2 signs that jump out at me:
No. No. No. What?
I welcomed globalisation. But it seems to have been twisted by the right wing into 'immigrants taking our limited jobs' and now into 'deport the migrants/ lock the borders' rethoric. Would this have happened with more equitable distribution of wealth? I frankly don't know.
Can I recommend watching Vlad Vexler (u-tube). Vlad talks about the deterioration of democratic institutions with a larger historical context.
Vlad's interpretation of the current US situation is that it is a minor crisis for which there are still chances. He expects a real crisis over the next 10 years, when an authoritarian arrives who isn't a moron.
There are problems, and risks - but still hope.
We've been in this situation before. People lose their heads over it.
Society has gotten far, far more unequal and oppressive before without the system being threatened.
Reinterpreting this as "is there still hope for humanity", it's more complicated. Big history is kind of a wide-open mystery. It's possible we've already won, already lost, or have any odds of getting a good ending in between.
Society has gotten far, far more unequal and oppressive
By what metrics?
Historically there simply wasn't physical things with which to have the modern level of inequality. Historically the average lower end was was lower, but the modern high end is incomprehensible orders of magnitude higher.
Historical acts of oppression were often far more brutal and cruel but that's because it wasn't physically possible to maintain the constant, but relatively minor oppression that is characteristic of modernity.
I mean, the pyramids are huge, and they were built starting ~2500BC. There was stuff.
It's true that in any discussion of today's economics versus that in history (or in very different countries today) you run into the problems of an apples-to-oranges comparison. It's most common for economic historians to default to hours of unskilled labour; early economists like Marx or Smith would be proud. Archeologists meanwhile tend to use house size in settlements as a proxy. That leads to ideas like the bronze age "palace economy" where all wealth would have flown through the ruler, although one wonders how that could possibly have been implemented in practice. When it comes to comparing modern global inequality, the best measurements are multidimensional indices, but that's only possible because you can interact with people on the ground in real time. (No, two dollars a day isn't the same everywhere)
Although there's some dissent, the gist that pre-modern history included much higher levels of inequality than we see today holds. Here's a recent example. Here's an old AskHistorians reply about it, by alternate frontend.
There's is some interesting comparisons out there. In certain periods and areas, medieval peasants were eating pretty well; much better than the modern global poorest, probably because of there was a lot of land relative to the local population. One the other hand, the poorest countries today have better infant mortality than the richest countries of the early 20th century.
Historical acts of oppression were often far more brutal and cruel but that’s because it wasn’t physically possible to maintain the constant, but relatively minor oppression that is characteristic of modernity.
Pragmatism might have had something to do with that, as did unfounded beliefs about the effectiveness of draconian punishments (the English bloody code being an infamous example). There's no shortage of examples of historical suffering handed out on a consistent rather than occasional basis, though.
This happens every once in a while in history. The wealthy grow very wealthy and the poor realize they're being used and chop off a few heads or descend into lots of wars or whatever and then the cycle starts again. Don't worry it's not the end of humanity itself but it very often signals the end of an empire.
See: the feudal ages/french revolution or the end of the roman empire
That's not at all how Rome ended, though.
As far as I know, the only purely domestic peasant's uprisings that succeeded were the French and Russian ones. They're actually kind of exceptional events. Usually, it's struggles between different factions of elites (like with the slow balkanisation of Rome).
Edit: Haiti was a slave revolt, but I should probably include it.
Hm that's true. Rome had a lot going on towards the end and I can't pretend to be an expert, but certainly the elite's greed led to a financial crisis, and what I would consider to be a grave dehumanization of poor citizens (and the ongoing reliance on slaves) played a role. It didn't end the same way with a revolution, but the factors that led to its fall were all quite similar.
Google "The French Revolution"
It is more difficult to change course after you pass a turning point, but never impossible. Even if we have passed it, we need to keep working to improve the situation. The only certainty is that giving up will not make things better.
I find it odd that there are a loud and large number of people who decry communism and socialism as failed theories – pointing to the ruins of various countries that have unsuccessfully implemented them – while pointedly ignoring the fact that capitalism is falling into the same problems: the ruling class (ie, ultra-rich) takes all, and the working class suffers from a rapidly widening wealth gap.
However, when you know that the media is owned by only a handful of billionaires to benefit from the system as it is, it starts making a lot more sense.
I'm guessing you're from the US and probably haven't left there (at least for any country that isn't wealthy or pretending to be in tourist areas)?
No. Speaking generally of stagnating wages, increasing right wing influence and media's influence on the general population.
We're humans. The end is always near, we've spent the last dozen eons or more basically failing upwards and constantly surviving the disasters we subject ourselves to. We're the funniest act this side of the Milky Way, and it's not going to stop just because we're starting to notice what a mess we are.
All of history was a shitshow. There was not one century this side of the invention of agriculture where we didn't commit war crimes. Hell, it took us thousands of years to come up with the idea of war crimes, the very idea that killing and enslaving everyone and salting their earth might not be super cool.
We suck, but it has worked out so far. Humanity is like cockroaches. We'll manage. Badly, suffering, but we'll manage.
Try to see humans the way elephants see us. We're just these silly little fellas, you know?
So there's no hope that we collectively decide that we need to get out of this together?
If you want the world to be some kind of way, your best hope is to be that kind of way and hope it catches on. Get yourself to a better place. If you're keeping company with people who aren't onboard with that, it will hold you back.
Oh heavens, no.
Just listen to @Gradually_Adjusting@lemmy.world