Is the world losing faith in the almighty US dollar?
Is the world losing faith in the almighty US dollar?
Is the world losing faith in the almighty US dollar?

https://archive.is/2025.04.17-042647/https://www.ft.com/content/73294414-8cdc-4298-a46a-e548253c90c0
I am confused by the article's insistence that the Euro is not a viable alternative because it's "one currency, 20 countries". If anything, the sheer number of countries make sure that a single election is not going to affect financial and economic policies all that much - which is the main reason for the USD's fall from grace right now.
As a European, the Euro can't replace the dollar. It's not about how stable it is, it's about how many Euros there are. Whichever country will be the world reserve currency will have to produce so much currency to be used all around the world that their non digital exports will never be competitive. The Euro just isn't produced in large enough quantities to be used as a world reserve currency, its production and distribution is tightly controlled for use in European and European partner markets. At least not right now. A long time ago some OPEC countries wanted to try out the idea of using Euros, but just couldn't get enough liquidity to trade all the oil in Euros.
Donald Trump wants the US to both be a goods exporting powerhouse and the world reserve currency. He thinks it's possible, that these diametrically opposed goals have a middle sweetspot where one can be just enough of a world reserve currency not to worry about debt anymore, but also a country that others depend on for manufacturing. That's what all the tariff dancing is all about. I think he's nuts, but hey, every economic theory needs to be tested. Just wish we were testing more sophisticated economic theories.
Anyway, as of this moment Europe is not geared for it. Not industrially, not financially and to be honest, i don't think Europe is even into it. But it's not impossible. It would just require a lot of changes.
I fully agree with you on the current liquidity issues, and certainly on the loss of manufacturing competitiveness that comes with having reserve currency status.
My main economic concern with Trump's policies is simply that "advanced" economies will never really be able to compete in the manufacturing field again. Trump should know - he is surrounded by the richest men in the world, and the only one that does any manufacturing at all, and only as a side gig is Musk. All the other ones only do digital and finance/investment.
I agree that Europe probably doesn't want to get into that space at the moment. I am afraid Europe is pushed into doing a lot of things right now it didn't and doesn't want to do. The decision point would probably come if Trump's tariffs are really just paused and start being enacted. Then Europe will have to massively increase its trade with other nations, which will also have to do the same thing, and then using USD becomes incredibly impractical, especially with the wild swings it is going to have if tariffs are re-enacted.
And, again, totally agreed. This will require a lot of changes, and they will be painful. It just feels like there aren't a whole lot of alternatives.
Imma stop you right there
Right, seems like a positive point not a negative one?
I don't understand why the euro isn't considered the best potential replacement for the dollar