Harris could beat him on Fox, OAN, NewsMax or RT. She could do it anywhere and he knows it. He is a coward. If he had any backbone he would suggest another network.
Not necessarily, if instead of taking his talking points from freaks like Laura Loomer, he focused on associating Kamala with the unpopular policies of the democratic party (especially the ones Trump agrees with), he could hurt her numbers.
For each republican policy the democrats adopted chasing "moderate republicans", Trump can go "Kamala agrees shutting down the border and deporting all the brown people is a good thing. Who do you trust more to do it, America?", apply that logic to dems' "tough on crime" rhetoric, their foreign policy, their trade war with China, etc.
That might work for any other Republican but this is Trump. He's the guy who tried to overturn the election, tried to force our allies to create scandals in exchange for aid, took care of Putin first during covid and told countless other lies. Any other Republican might be able to twist their record to win, but not him, his record it too extensive and insane.
Did fox just offer him the friendliest possible venue for a massive media event, days before the election, and he turned it down?
I presumed the plan was to either let the harris campaign say no to fox so trump could call her a coward, or get a friendly venue to hammer whatever comey-esque hillary's emails nonsense russia cooks up this time.
Does trump turning this down seem like yet another own goal to anyone else? Or have I been underestimating how much the debate hurt him?
Since there’s not enough time left for him to recover from this brutal ego bruise, I predict he’ll only do rallies from now on, or appearances on far-right media, because he’ll retreat to his snowglobe for reassurance for a while. He’ll avoid addressing Kamala directly, but he’ll ramp up his own network and rile up his mob. His team will struggle to rein him in, and some appearances might be cancelled.
He’s been more restrained at his rallies than I expected (he’s unhinged, sure, but only mildly more so). It may take him years – if at all – to recover from being so thoroughly bodied by a minority woman.
I’m not saying anyone should care about him but I imagine two assassination attempts fucked with him too. He just announced rallies at Madison Square Garden and Coachella when he should be in swing states. People are trying to create rational reasons for it — like winning the House so he can steal the election — but I think he’s shook.
For serious. That's his cheer squad, guaranteed to try to help him. I thought she'd reject and he'd make a big deal out of it for the rest of the campaign. What a coward. Oh, Donnie. You shitbag.
"THERE WILL BE NO REMATCH," Trump said on his Truth Social platform. "SO THERE IS NOTHING TO DEBATE."
Trotting out the classics, huh? Big "If we did less testing, we'd have less COVID cases" energy.
Trump said it was very late in the process now to have a debate.
The second Presidential Debate in 2020 took place on Oct. 22nd. This invitation from Fox News is for Oct. 24th or 27th. And the original CNN debate was scheduled for Oct. 23rd so fuck right off with that excuse, coward.
I think he's just trying to coast on whatever popularity he has without fucking anything up. If anything this is probably the best call he could make. Which is why it's probably someone close to him telling him not to do anything stupid. Because, let's be honest, he's so dumb he'd go for it in a heartbeat.
No doubt his counselors are telling him to STFU, ride it out.
And fuck all y'all (not you OP!) saying he's always been this stupid. Been watching the man, more closely than I wanted to, over the last 6-years. His mind is circling the drain so fast even I'm stunned.
Republican former President Donald Trump said on Wednesday he will not debate Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris, hours after Fox News invited the two presidential contenders to participate in a possible second debate on either Oct. 24 or Oct. 27.
My read is that he like what he see's in the polling and he see's no reason to rearrange the pieces on the board. Harris has been struggling and backsliding on her own via bad campaign decisions. She blew her momentum on being "pro-buisness" and trying to court Republicans. Any idiot would have known the natural outcome of that strategy, but if you are a Democratic strategist, you aren't just "any idiot".
Over the next couple of days Harris is going to start going from dropping in the polls to dropping in the probabilistic models predictions of victory. Right now, we don't even need to worry about supreme court fuckery, because Harris is on track to lose this organically.
Harris needs to splash some cold water over her face, and go back to what was working. She could easily bite back 2-3% in the polling coming out strongly against genocide. Its been her game to lose since she took the reigns.
That doesn't line up as how the Republican campaign has been acting. For instance, they've started spending in areas like ME-2 which has been pretty strongly Republican for a while
Down ballot they're republicans are uping spending in places that should be theoretically solidly red like Nebraska (senate race) and Indiana (governor race)
How I'd read it has more to do with how Trump's been having more obvious mental decline lately. A second debate would really show that
How I’d read it has more to do with how Trump’s been having more obvious mental decline lately. A second debate would really show that
You need to think about who debates are for. Both you and I know both sides are going to claim a W. I mean, hell, look at the bag of idiots around this forum who were claiming that Joe Biden won his debate against Trump. Both sides are convinced at this point; thats not why you have them. You want a debate if you are behind because you need to somehow move the configuration of the conversation. And if Republicans are spending in ME-2? Bruh who gives a fuck about ME-2. Kamala is shaping up to lose PA. Its looking like she'll lose NC and GA and AZ. If she loses PA and any one of those states, its over.
Kamala has one path to the white house at this point. She needs to repair her relationship with the uncommitted movement and drive turn-out among Democrats and Democratic likelies. Right now 2-3% of registered Democrats aren't going to show up for her based on her (and Bidens) position on Gaza. She needs to stop pretending that there are any sane voters left on the Republican side and stop putting effort into them and focus on the people that can actually get her elected.
Her poll numbers went from flatlined to now declining. She's not only not gaining ground, she is now losing ground.
If you are, this is a bad argument. Anyone who knows politics knows her momentum was always going to slow, and polls will ebb and flow.
Yeah, I'm not interested in what most lemmings think is a bad or a good argument. Most lemming are fucking idiots when it comes to politics and are just here to cheer on their team. They are allergic to reality when it disagrees with how they wish things were.
The polls have shown this is a historically close election, it has been since Harris announced and will be until election day.
Yeah except that they are not. Its not even close to close right now. Harris has a -5 structural disadvantage baked into the EC map. So nationally, she needs to be up by 5 to be even. She's not up by five, she's up by 2-3, which means she's not even overcoming structural bias (MOE not even worth discussing here). Biden was up by +9 on election day. It came down to something like 80k total votes that gave Biden the office?
So no. Kamala isn't winning. She's under performing Biden 2020. By a lot. She needs to do better or she'll lose this thing.