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7 mo. ago

  • Techbros will see this and wonder why as if they weren't the ones using 'it's super dangerous' as a marketing scheme

  • RIP XCancel you let me look at the abyss without giving Muskrat my money

  • somewhere Blaise Pascal is shaking his fist in his grave

  • He revealed that he and his friend had written a musical based on Harry Potter and the methods of rationality.

    Dear God

  • I mean there already is a thriving public movement which despises AI, don’t think you’ll be getting to those people if you start supporting eugenics

  • Telling people that the AI superintelligence guy also posted a Harry Potter self-insert fanfic to push his beliefs and recruit people to his ideology is a huge bombshell to drop on someone

  • It’s always, always 2027

  • I read their spreadsheet and their % progress numbers in terms of AI capabilities is MASSIVELY skewed by Claude Mythos's METR score. The rest of it is below the mark if you exclude that.

    They also admitted that the “China wakes up” prediction hasn’t happened yet, and Kokotajlo still claims that the scenario is “roughly on track” even though the US/China race is important for the scenario, and if China hasn’t woken up, that derails things pretty hard imo. So does OpenAI’s slowing down announcement

  • I took a quick look over the article again, this spreadsheet contains how they measure their metrics. "Compute" seems to be based off number of chips, which is probably in part based off data centres anyways

    And apparently they have ditched METR and are now using "coding uplift (i.e., how much of a speedup AIs are providing to software engineers at AGI companies) and revenue."

  • I've never heard of abuse allegations against Altman, so I looked them up and holy shit wow.

  • Yeah that's what tripped me up, because if that was true then it'd make no sense why the percent of progress went up while the uplfit number went down.

  • The tech bros have no one to blame for this but themselves. They're the ones who pushed the 'it'll take your jobs/its super scary' narrative more than anyone else

  • According to one of the writers apparently 17% is supposed to be 'progress is 17% slower than expected', so the 34% figure here implies progress is 34% slower than expected, so that's actually worse

  • It just occurred to me that this makes Anthropic look bad, actually

    if OpenAI is slowing down because they concerned about money AI safety, then it makes Anthropic look like fools for publishing that blog where they waffle on about keeping up the race because of “bad actors”

    If OpenAI is slowing down, an Anthropic that actually is concerned about safety would slow down too. But they won’t, because money China “bad actors”

  • I believe that was mentioned here

  • Here's that side-by-side comparison

  • Well it took longer than I expected, but the AI 2027 guys finally posted a second update

    their updated model website

    This table is essentially the TLDR

    They also finally explained the "2025 was 75% of AI 2027's progress" thing and it seems like that number was mostly skewed by revenue (edit: valuation) numbers (Edit 2: apparently this is wrong?? the 75% figure is supposed to represent 2026 progress. So 2025 was still 65%, I think. These people are confusing)

    For some reason their website lists the date of ASI as 12/2028 even though their actual graph only had a 32% chance tops of ASI happening on that date

  • SneerClub @awful.systems

    Our friends have made a music video

    www.reddit.com /r/SneerClub/comments/1vgl2pk/yudkowsky_sighting_in_this_mv/
  • TechTakes @awful.systems

    Apple sues OpenAI over trade theft

    www.axios.com /2026/07/10/apple-sues-openai-trade-secret-theft
  • TechTakes @awful.systems

    Survey results are in! AI is more hated than ICE! (but less hated than the Democratic Party)

    futurism.com /artificial-intelligence/hate-ai-more-ice-poll
  • TechTakes @awful.systems

    Anthropic sues the Pentagon over being labelled a supply chain risk

    futurism.com /artificial-intelligence/anthropic-sues-pentagon
  • SneerClub @awful.systems

    Eliezer Yudkowsky and the (Unteachable) Methods of Sanity

    www.lesswrong.com /posts/isSBwfgRY6zD6mycc/eliezer-s-unteachable-methods-of-sanity
  • SneerClub @awful.systems

    Eliezer’s response to being in the Epstein files

    www.reddit.com /r/HPMOR/s/c1O3FjR4QG
  • SneerClub @awful.systems

    Yudkowsky’s “dumb maths question” for genetics twitter