No real way to tell, but I don't think it would be immediately noticeable on Reddit. Like the satisfying "we killed reddit" probably isn't going to happen. On the other hand, being here clearly have discoverd the Fediverse as replacement, so IMO it doesn't matter what happens to Reddit now.
(Not to say the drama/any issues Reddit ends up with won't be endlessly entertaining)
Well you can take the knowledge that Lemmy.world grew 60% following it, look at current numbers for the server, and know at least around 60% of that number has shifted some of their media habits away from Reddit.
But the full picture is unknowable outside Reddit corporate.
Probably more than spez was anticipating though...
While it's not huge, compared to reddits numbers, it's a massive boost to lemmy. A lot of those leaving are more likely more active users. It's bootstrapped Lemmy into a viable platform. It now has a critical mass of users to generate content.
I didn't fully quit reddit, but I'm going to Lemmy first and foremost and rarely go back to reddit for very specific communities. My reddit usage dropped by 90+% probably, but I'm not completely gone.
I'm sure the same is true for many other users as well, so simply counting the number of (active) users then and now won't get even close to the actual loss in traffic and participation.
Eventually but at the moment most users are using both Lemmy and Reddit but soon the quality of content will shift from reddit to Lemmy and that will be the end of reddit.
Post quality memes, questions and answers to kill reddit quickly
It's going to be hard to tell definitively, because so much traffic on the major platforms like Reddit are bots. As a percentage of overall traffic, the reduction may only be a few percentage points.
But all that traffic that is leaving are from Actual Humans. Humans who cared enough about their interactions to have preferences about how they engaged with Reddit. In a few years, Reddit will just be a bunch of bots talking to each other.
I’ve been keeping track of this tracker and since July 1, peak comments/post per minute have definitely gone down. Although as the site mentions, you really shouldn’t draw any firm conclusions from that. Just interesting to see.
This is impossible to know. It is more important to see what Lemmy is getting more so than what Reddit is loosing.
At least on the fediverse the number is realistic and not something for the shareholders.
This is not public information, you won't know anything about that until the next quarterly reports. That being said if you go to the front page right now it seems pretty much like business as usual.
I think it's a good chunk but not enough to outright kill the site.
The shitshow that was Spez's AMA certainly drove away a few users, but I think many more were hoping that they'd dial back the API changes at the eleventh hour to allow third-party apps to at least coexist.
I quit reddit on my phone, and I'm never looking back. I'm still browsing Reddit with RES on my PCs though. So a drastic reduction in use.
Reddit feels like different now compared to a week ago. Browsing a new fresh site opened my eyes to how shit r/all are. Even with blocked subreddits a new hate fueled subreddit emerges every week.
I don’t think Reddit is imploding overnight but there seems to be an element of death by a thousand cuts happening. I’ve left and burned out three old usernames and over ten years worth of posts/comments. I’ll still use it to find answers to things but increasingly over the last month the threads are peppered with deleted comments and gaps
Well seems simple enough. You look at how many new users Lemmy got and subtract that from whatever reddit numbers are online. Only posters/commenters count for Lemmy activity, and the number of lurkers is likely several times bigger. Anyway so based on what I see online, Lemmy has about 50k active users, maybe up to 10x more lurkers. So like half a million users maybe. Reddit probably has 55 million users. So that's still 11x bigger than Lemmy
So if I'm even remotely in the ballpark, Lemmy managed to grab like 1% of the reddit userbase & the management won the mainstream crowd as usual. Of course Lemmy isn't ready for the volume and legal costs anyway
It's only been three days since the API change. Give it a month and we might have a bit of usable data, but for precise information, we'll need to wait a few months or even up to a year.
I think the critical question is not so much how many users it lost, but how many contributing users?
Given the majority of Reddit users are lurkers, you could easily lose half the content by losing only the top 5% of contributing users...
I expect it’s a low percentage of overall users. Many are using the official Reddit app and just complaining about it. Others have switched to surviving third party apps. Still others are strictly Old Reddit on desktop.
The moderator community have likely felt a greater hit.
Unfortunately, reddit probably won't see a huge dive in viewership because a lot of niche questions still are only on their website and they're probably going to talk about their monthly users instead of daily users.
Sadly we won't know the amount of users Reddit lost with Reddit being willing to publicly admit how much they fucked up. Through info on user increase on Lemmy we'll get an idea but it doesn't mean those new users have completely stopped using Reddit.
You're really not likely to find that out unless it becomes so obvious everyone can see. Reddit will not give that information out. My opinion is, not to dwell on what they've lost but instead what I've gained.
I‘m still using Reddit a tiny bit to search for some stuff with Google and I noticed an increase in deleted and overwritten comments in my results. Will be interesting to see how many that truly is, but I have a hunch it‘s the active users who commented and posted who were more likely to leave, so even if the total percentage is small, the percentage of original content has been hit hard.
My third party client (Relay) still works over there so I'm still using it until it switches to paid. The developer said he plans to switch to the paid model so he is keeping it running for free now.