Milei is pledging economic shock therapy, including shutting the central bank, ditching the peso and slashing spending. His challenges will be enormous: Empty coffers, a $44 billion debt program with the IMF, 150% inflation and more.
I don't think they mean that as in "is up to the person but overall okay" but more so as in "is something that isn't determined by anything other than conscious decision making"
What is the rationale behind switching to the US dollar? I sort of get why US libertarians are opposed to fiat currency (they don't want the Fed to have the power to interfere in markets), but Milei just wants to switch to a fiat currency that someone else controls? What makes him think that would end well for Argentina?
Argentina's runaway inflation is caused by the central bank printing money (to finance the government's out of control spending). The rationale for dollarization is to remove the ability for the government to do this. It's not an inherently crazy idea, since (i) there are smaller Latin American countries that use the dollar, and (ii) the dollar is already used de facto for many purposes in Argentina because of how debased the peso has been. But there are lots of practical problems; notably, Argentina simply does not own enough dollars in the entire country to keep the economy running normally if they switch (whatever "normally" means for an economy like theirs).
It's because every time the argentinian government needs to pay something, and don't have the cash to do that, they print some billions and pay it. By literally printing monopoly money in huge quantity, they're devaluing their currency every time they print a batch.
The rationale is that if they're using the us dollar, the inflation will stop because it's controlled externally
But by using the us dollar, every time the argentinian government needs to pay something and doesn't have the cash to do that, need to borrow some heavy debt (at insane interest rate given their history where they didn't repay previous debts)
And would need an huge quantity of them in a short time to exchange and dispose the pesos from people and banks
If it was as easy as "just don't print monopoly money" they would have solved it.
Maybe it would be easier to just stop printing money than officially switching to a different currency
Politicians here don't hesitate on printing money to pay for things. Always have, and probably always will. He wants to take that possibility from their hands.
Desperate people make poor but desperate choices. 150% inflation? Goddamn, people here are freaking out about 5%...
There was a thread a couple days ago about how do you see the world ending. It's stuff like this, situation will het worse and worse so people will turn to crazier and crazier solutions.
I can get the annoyance with how the economy has been... but jeez, what is the real solution here? I can't see much of anything positive coming out of this.
Can someone explain me this? In Argentina, the majority of the workers are employed by government (crazy rate of employment by a government, I don't think they actually need all those people), but then the majority of the voters elect someone that plans to cut spending a lot, meaning most of those workers that voted him will be laid off.
Can we theorize a situation where an average Argentinian voter consciously chooses a short term crisis with the prospect of normalization over a lifetime stagnation and decay? Argentina's economy was shit for a long time, and maybe people's intent is to wreck things for a change?
Ugh. The way that generally centre-right economic policy wonks are celebrating Milei's election is grotesque.
I get that dollarization would probably be good for Argentina.
Even as a leftist, I'm open to the possibility that an anti-Peronist economic policy could save the country - I doubt they could survive another Peronist.
But Milei is the worst kind of MAGA wingnut. He's a talk-radio shock jock. It's like if they elected Tucker Carlson or Don Cherry into the casa rosada.
His one possibly-good policy idea doesn't overshadow that.
When I was a kid, I was told to beware of clothes irons because they are hot.
But one day, curiosity got the better of me, and I touched the damn thing to see if it was hot. Hurt like hell, still have the scar to this day. But I don't touch hot surfaces anymore.
Official results showed Milei with near 56% versus 44% for his rival, Peronist Economy Minister Sergio Massa, who conceded in a speech.
His plans include shutting the central bank, ditching the peso, and slashing spending, potentially painful reforms that resonated with voters angry at the economic malaise.
"Milei is the new thing, he's a bit of an unknown and it is a little scary, but it's time to turn over a new page," said 31-year-old restaurant worker Cristian as he voted on Sunday.
He will have to deal with the empty coffers of the government and central bank, a creaking $44 billion debt program with the International Monetary Fund, inflation nearing 150% and a dizzying array of capital controls.
"The election marks a profound rupture in the system of political representation in Argentina," said Julio Burdman, director of the consultancy Observatorio Electoral, ahead of the vote.
Supporters of Massa, 51, an experienced political wheeler-dealer, had sought to appeal to voter fears about Milei's volatile character and "chainsaw" plan to cut back the size of the state.
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Am I allowed to draw a parallelism with last year's elections in Italy? More than 50% of Argentinians have Italian ancestry, no wonder they naturally lean towards fascism.