I think Tsunoda isn't quite there yet, he's still too rash in certain moments. He has improved a lot, but he still has some way to go before he can get a seat at RBR.
I also genuinely doubt if Checo will be out of the seat. Sure, he's way behind Max, but that would also be for his replacement (as long as it isn't Lewis or Fernando, but they won't sign at RBR I think). RBR is comfortably leading both championships, and they don't have to manage an intra-team battle. Must be nice being them at the moment.
But if they do replace him, I'm putting my money on Hulkenberg. He was also the other serious centender for the seat when they picked up Perez. He is driving very well in the Haas. He will know his place in the team. And to be honest, I just want to see him on the podium one day...
the ongoing downfall of Checo is really astounding. Maybe I'm just losing perspective on his performance because his teammate is checks notes on track to be one of the true GOATs, but it really seems like he's been beefing it.
With a little bit of luck Max will have won the WDC once Mexico runs around and will take the weekend off to go sim racing. That might give Checo a chance.
I think everyone is overreacting on checo. He is in 2nd place and red bull will win everything this year. I doubt they will end his contact early if this is still the scenario by the end of the year. He will be gone after 2024 though.
I think people who claim he'll be gone over the summer are overreacting for sure. There is no need for RB to be that drastic. He has, however, been pretty underwhelming, and I think Red Bull will for sure consider their options going into '24. They can afford to give him the rest of the season to sort himself out, but if they expect other teams to be able to close the gap sooner rather than later then they need a number 2 who is more consistent.
The most important thing tomorrow is to see whether Alonso shows the same generosity, that he showed in the Spanish GP. 6th or 7th shouldn't matter right.