According to internal assessments within the UK government, the UK should prepare for the scenario of an unexpected collapse of the Russian Federation so that such events do not take London by surprise.
According to internal assessments within the UK government, the UK should prepare for the scenario of an unexpected collapse of the Russian Federation so that such events do not take London by surprise.
Unexpected? Maybe a low probability event, sure, but you can't tell me that they're just completely taken off guard here? You've had partisans in country for months now, blowing stuff up behind enemy lines. There is a movement of people who are super anti Putin and they are waiting for their moment to strike.
Every organization in Russia that wants Putin to go away has to look at what happened over the weekend and are making plans to do that, but not stop at Moscow. Get people ready to receive Putin in Saint Petersburg when he lands.
This whole sudden march on Moscow by Prigozhin really took everyone around the world by surprise didn't it? It seems to be making a lot of governments re-assess the timeline of this conflict. I wonder what the next big development will be?
I've been wondering about that and Putin only shows restraint when he has no other choice. That means he would have done it long ago if he had the choice. I'm not sure why but it seems like he's never even remotely felt he had that choice (aside from posturing and moving warheads from a to b). Let's hope it stays that way.
It's been in question for a while what the Russian arsenal even looks like. The US nuclear silos take billions per year to keep afloat, but Russia's money seems to go mostly to oligarchs.