I think this is pretty self evident given how only 34% of Americans have a favorable view of the Democrats at the moment (source). Considering how the Democrats over the past decade have a history so dysfunctional, incompetent, and corrupt that they always somehow manage to under perform, even in the best case scenarios. The 2026 midterms are not going to be any different.

Think about it, the Democrats have completely imploded after the 2024 election. Trump was and is so evil, stupid, incompetent, and corrupt that he's a basically cartoon villain. That should have been the easiest cakewalk of an election in this history of this country, a landslide victory so crushing it would collapse the GOP, but instead the opposite happened, and they fucking botched it... again.

Since this election, they've done nothing and they will continue to do nothing. The party is in shambles. They currently have no platform, no principles, no values, no leadership, no policies, no vision for the country, nothing. The old Democrats won't step aside and let new blood rise, the establishment and the progressives are going at each other's throats rather than working together, and there's barely any attempt at even pretending to act like opposition. They're just letting Trump do literally whatever he wants with zero consequences.

In anything, they'll actually go out of their way to screw themselves by infighting, doubling down on bullshit, and ignoring what matters. They'll also think highly of themselves where they think it's inevitable that they'll win only to end up either under performing or straight up losing. We saw this every single election cycle starting in 2016, a decade later, the same thing is going to happen in the 2026 midterms. They will fail to retake congress in a meaningful way, if at all, and Trump's grip on power will be further solidified.