Instead of Orange Man doing Tariffs would it not have been better for him to talk about shopping locally and so forth. And giving more tax breaks to companies that stay and sell in the US?
You seem to be operating under the misplaced assumption that Trump's goal with the tariffs was to actually bring manufacturing back to the US or improve the US economy in any way. It's understandable if you haven't paid very close attention to Trump over the past 9 years. But whenever thinking about him or his policies, you have to keep one thing top of mind: Trump is a habitual liar who only cares about his own personal wealth and power.
He's not trying to bring manufacturing back to the US or improve the US economy. He's doing market manipulation to increase his wealth and that of those who helped get him into power. He doesn't give a shit about you or me or any of the rest of us. He couldn't care less if the US crumbled into dust tomorrow, so long as he's still on top.
Yes but you, like everyone I seem to talk to these days, is under the false impression that Trump isn't a complete idiot who literally thinks tariffs are the solution to all problems. It's more comforting to think there's some massive conspiracy by Russia or that it's a ploy to make money off the stock market, but I truly believe that Trump actually thinks tariffs will magically fix the economy and his reactions to the backlash are legitimate shock that so many people and the markets don't agree. Yes Russia does stand to gain from this, but they don't need to pull the strings when the guy in charge is innovating economic policy so stupid that a smart person would have trouble even imagining it.
Trump decisions make more sense when you realize he is actually stupid as fuck and there's no hidden chess moves or anyone pulling the strings from the shadows. There is nobody at the wheel who is actually competent even if they're evil. This is all just the whims of a complete moron who is probably also going a bit senile as well.
Look. He had the stupid tariff idea. He liked it because he likes the thought of getting his way by punishing people who defy him. That's how he sees tariffs. It wasn't a good idea. People told him that. So, being a stubborn narcissist, he wanted to do it more. Now here we are.
Yeah, certainly if he were a normal President. But he's a textbook narcissist who only gives a shit about himself and capitulating to the ultra elite. Throw some performance goals set up by his boss Vladimir Putin, and what do you get?
Absolute fucking chaos alongside fleecing the lower 99.99% for anything you can get and manufacturing a crash in the stock market so you and your elite friends can, you guessed it, profit from it tremendously.
A rational president, you bet. This dude is not that.
IMO this is the major flaw. Tariffs could work in practice, but you'd have to announce them way ahead of time to give local businesses time to fill in the gap. Otherwise you'll get what happens now.
And giving more tax breaks to companies that stay and sell in the US?
that's technically what tariffs do. topologically, it's the same thing: using policy to give a price advantage to domestic producers.
talk about shopping locally and so forth.
talk gets one only so far. when those numbers start to chomp into the household budget, everyone forsakes the "made in..." label in favour of the price tag.
The goal is not to better the country or the economy. The goal is to make money, for his friends and connections to make money, and leave everything else destroyed while they laugh.
There's a thousand better ways to handle both tariffs and free trade. We fucked up the latter with NAFTA (and CAFTA), where the EU got it right. Bringing jobs home with tariffs isn't something you just snap your fingers and do, shit takes a long time to re-align, it would've made a lot more sense to have it go through the legislature and say "hey, we're starting out at a 10% tariff on this stuff we want to bring home, and we're going to ratchet it up +2% every year until Congress doesn't pass the law again." Instead, we've got the most volatile president in history implementing tariffs by fiat: 10% 20% actually none actually 10% actually 125% for real this time. Yeah, in this situation, the best play is to just try and wait dumbass out, because there's a non-zero chance he wakes up tomorrow and declares tariffs woke.
You can either convince people with a carrot to do what you want and hope they will comply or make them comply with a sharp expensive stick 🤷♂️ Orange man doesn't seem to like carrots
Tariffs have been the one major actual policy position rattling around in Trump's empty skull since at least 1988. He fucking loves the idea of tariffs, for some reason.
Smart, specific targeted tariffs paired with grants/incentives to American companies to foster local production of critical goods (think CHIPS Act) can be a good thing, if they are done in such a way that it doesn’t send an entire industry/market into financial shock.
Like, if you want to onboard silicon wafer manufacturing (as a prime example); you would announce a small tariff to start off with, and a clear road-map of it increasing over time - allowing time for companies to build the necessary infrastructure and manufacturing capabilities onshore.
Once the industry has settled and matured, those tariffs could begin to be slowly pared back to ensure that free-market competition continues to keep prices in check.
But this would only work in an actual free-market economy, and not in the oligopoly-in-a-trenchcoat that currently exists in the states.
Sure, but that reasonable and nuanced idea has nothing to do with what Trump's position on tariffs has always been. He's just a dipshit that doesn't understand the difference between microeconomics and macroeconomics, or that the entire economy of of a country that controls its own currency (and especially one that controls the world's reserve currency) doesn't work the same way as an individual household or business.
Of course. Republicans hate paying taxes. you can give back taxes to companies by giving them more money. You can even "reverse tariff" by subsidizing products that you want to be cheaper than the same imported products from China.
Tariffs are one of the worst ways to deal with this type of problem.
If you want to boost USA manufacturing industries I'd look at the sector that killed it first.
Bring in international capital controls, forex restrictions, limit consumer / mortgage credit maybe bring in some directed credit requirements. Badically the bank regulation that was chucked out in the 1970s. When us msnufacturing industry mysteriously started to decline. 70s recessions were not only caused by oil price shocks, and the sectoral shift was reinforced by bank liberalisation.
I'd think you'd want to force the USA finance industry to invest (at least some decent amount) in the future of USA productive capacity, instead of letting them invest in China's future and have an arms race to fuel a perpetual domestic property bubble.
Tarrifs might still be part of it - but if your domestic companies can't borrow, they can't grow or maintain/develop asset base.If they don't have working capital facilities, they liquidate fast.
Tax breaks might work/help (as might tarrifs), but if taxes are all on profits, you still need to borrow against the future to make the investment in the present (i.e. make a loss and pay no tax anyway) to build the productive capacity. They'd be better for short payback or labour intensive industries than for capital intensive industry - without other stuff.
I guess if you mean income tax breaks for workers in certin types of jobs/companies, that is interesting. Either way you need quite a lot of monitoring to avoid corruption of just wierd distortions with unintended consequences. That's what banks lending to businesses should do and be good at, monitoring their loans and their debtors.
The reality is that there is no tax break large enough to make up the difference in costs for a lot of things. Even with tariffs China is still cheaper.
Yes, literally anything communicated or a plan would have been better. A fart in an enclosed room of crowded people would have been a better way to communicate than what this orange idiot did.
shopping locally doesn't shift supply chains as fully as tariffs can, like if you buy orange juice at the store, the plastic for the container could've been made from saudi Arabian oil, but tariffs allow that to be more from American. but yeah, what you described would be far better
I don’t have a helpful answer to your question, but wouldn’t it be better to call him something that’s actually an insult about his character rather than his vanity, like “First Felon” or “First Rapist” or something? Not that he’s the first of any of those but “First” is a descriptor commonly reserved for the White House