Looks like everything is in and it ended up with Liberals 169 seats, three short of a majority.

Although jeez, I can't imagine there isn't a recount in the riding where the difference was literally 12 votes out of 21,000. Crazy close.

Either way, I'm guessing the 7 NDP and 1 Green basically become de facto Liberals to create a pseudo majority since at least that way they'll have some influence and it wouldn't be in their best interest to topple the government and go through all this again.

Singh just stepped down and hopefully the change will mean more potential for the NDP in the next election.

I'm Indigenous Canadian and I fully wish that we could have a country and a political environment where we could support and stand by a visible minority to represent a major political party. But I have to temper that with the knowledge that our country is not fully ready for that kind of person. As much as we would like to believe that we could become a more progressive, open and accepting culture, we are still not there and it will be a few more decades or lifetimes before that can become a reality.

It would be more possible if we actually had an election system that was more representative of our people's wishes .... Proportional Representation would make it more possible to have major political leaders and politicians who represented visible minorities.

Interesting takes on CBC, but reality is that Polievre is shit. He lost this election because he is terrible, stupid, lazy and inept. He wasn’t ready for an election, he didn’t do his homework, he ran scared of the media, he is stupid (demonstrated by his understanding of electricity and bread). That he believed he could treat Canadians with such disdain and disrespect. He deserves the rest of his life as an insult stuck to the sole of my shoe.

PP lost his seat, didn't he?

Well, I did it. I feel dirty, but I voted liberal. Not that it matters here. First time ever voting liberal, but the cons platform is just so damn terrible. And my usual ndp vote for the past couple times doesn't even have a hope.

"We denied a Liberal NDP coalition."
NDP immediately gains a seat, allowing coalition.

Lmao PP’s on his way to lose his own riding

After this is all done, we need to rebuild the left in this country. We need the NDP to be putting forth bold policy proposals to neutralize the far right populist appeal of the fucking conservative ghouls.

Go Bruce Fanjoy! Stop that demagogue!

This liberal guy on CBC is super fucking annoying. He doesn't need to be campaigning on the results show. JFC

Well, let's find out if we delay fascism for 4 years or not.

Singh resigns as party leader.

"That's not an applause line." lol

The comment about Fanjoy potentially winning! Oooh roasted!

Maxime Bernier lost his seat. Yves- François Blanchet BQ has kept his seat but the BQ is poised to lose 12 seats.

NDP needs to drop Singh. Conservatives need to drop PP.

"He's earned his right to stay as leader."
Dude it's not even guaranteed that he's keeping his seat.

PP's riding update as of approximately midnight EST:

Image Source: Globalnews

• 105,000 eligible voters (Source: Citizen)

• 43,394 people cast an early ballot (Source: CTV News)

Alternative: National Post > Just the subframe for Carleton

Can't believe the CBC Live news coverage .... just a moment ago, they asked Conservative Jason Kenny what his thoughts were on resource development in regards to First Nations

What the hell do you think he's going to say

It's like asking a Irishman what his thoughts are of potatoes

I may as well get to bed, but I wish I would know before if the NDP will have enough seats to prop up an LPC minority. I'd hate to see the LPC+NDP be one or two seats short, leaving the CPC/BQ with enough votes to stymie everything. Right now it's sitting at 170 combined, need 172 or more to make it work.

I just have no patience to listen to "what if" the whole night.

The numbers for Fanjoy have been holding above 2300 for over an hour, as writing this, 219 of 266 polls.

Interactive live results pages are clearly losing this election.

CBC reporting that some people are finding that the elections Canada website is not working.

If you find the Election Canada Website is down for you try checking here

https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/federal/2025/results/

I appreciate Jason Kenney calling out maga North and The People’s Party.

Canadians, what's the deal with "official party status"? I gather from the CBC that you need 12 seats to achieve it, but what does it actually do, what's the reasoning behind it, and do people generally like this system?

For context, here in Australia party status is decided pre-election, and only requires you have 1500 active members, or at least 1 incumbent. To my knowledge the only thing it gives you here is more flexibility with respect to campaign financing.

This Liberal woman CBC has just finished talking to both looks and speaks an awful lot like Leslie Knope from Parks & Rec.

(This is not a bad thing.)

Going to keep myself in the dark until tomorrow morning. Good luck Canada's democracy!

Edit: I see democracy has prevailed! And a minority with NDP holding the power balance is a favourable result for progressives!

I have mixed emotions today. I grieved for a few days after tRump was elected in 2024, processing the state and direction of the US. I've never had such a powerful reaction to election results before. I'm guarding myself for the possibility that PP forms a minority government. Improbable but possible. I would hurt and be worried, like I was after tRump last fall.

I voted in the advance polls over Easter weekend, when 7.2 million Canadians turned out iirc. I felt a greater than usual sense of civic duty amongst voters in the voting station - like people felt it especially important to have their voice heard in this election.

Voting typically inspires some pride in me about this country we are fortunate to call home. And although I've nervously been checking CBC News today for issues at polling stations, I also take pride in our voting process. The shit that goes on in the States in and around voting stations is obscene and very undemocratic. Thankfully I've read about no voting-related issues so far. (Our thoughts though are with the Filipino community and everyone affected by the tragedy in BC.)

Ideally, I'd like to have a Liberal minority with an NDP coalition. Second best would be a Liberal majority. I think that's the most likely outcome. For ABC reasons (especially now that C is MAGA-lite), I'd accept it.

tRump's comments today - presumably undermining PP's votes more than anything - surprised me. As did some comments DoFo made about PP and Carney over the weekend. It made me realize that the Conservative party leaders (Marlaina, schMoe, DoFo, PP) in this country have quite different relationships with the other adjacent political forces (i.e., Carney and tRump).

I'm looking forward to election coverage tonight! And I hope to breathe a sigh of relief soon. Don't @#$% this one up, Canada!

Hopefully we get a minority liberal government tonight. Mark Carney needs to taught to collaborate with others. I want him to be much more mature than Justin Trudeau ever was.

Elections Canada website down during peak voting time? Yikes.

CANADA DOESNT NEED A SMALL _pp

Well, the Greens were able to keep a seat, so there's that.

Just in case anyone is using 338 for info:

• the higher voter turnout so far indicates this type of model will be less accurate this election.
• the riding numbers are from provincial polling, there is no per riding polling incorporated. With increased turnout, I expect these to be less accurate.
• the model works by rating pollsters based on how well the predict past elections. That’s why increased turnout means things may swing from their forecast.

All that adds up to the potential for huge swings in votes, swings that can go either direction.

Things to watch for:

• Gen Z men’s rightward swing. Expect high turnout from this group for the Conservatives. They consume a lot of right wing media and have been struggling with tough economic conditions, so will be motivated.
• Boomer influence is waning — this is the first election they are not the largest demographic.
• Gen X are actually wealthier than boomers and are the only demographic that en masse had better economic outlooks since COVID. I don’t know if they’re going to stay the coarse with LPC or vote CPC for the tax cuts, traditionally more income swings right, especially with how Pollievre wants to change housing taxes
• Older women and Quebec are very anti-Pollievre, this might end up with a suppressed vote or a very strong vote LPC.
• Rural areas I think will swing more conservative than ever, and this might be where the forecasts swing. E.g. rural Ontario may not be as safe as thought.

TLDR be prepared for surprises today.

I had 3 people in front of me at my polling booth, got out in 10 minutes. I think that is the longest its taken me to vote in years. I always go first thing in the morning, lol. Hate lineups.

I wonder if the election will be over as soon as the polls close in Ontario.

Well...

Complete interprovincial trade by July?

How can CBC declare Liberal government when it's this currently?

Are the early polling votes from last week not counted already? Because they've called the election for liberals already but the total vote count is less than the 7.6 million that voted early...?

What a terrible song.

There was a long line out the door of the polling place, but they were all new registrations.

No line at my poll, so I was out in the rain again in about two minutes.

The NDP had 9 years to press the promise of PR and did nothing. Fuck em. I hope they lose party status.

This is not looking good so far. 🥲

11:50 p.m. EDT: Elections Canada confirms website issues not security-related

In an updated email statement to CTV News, Elections Canada confirmed the website’s technical issues were not security related.

Issues accessing the website began at 7 p.m. EDT, according to the organization.

https://www.ctvnews.ca/federal-election-2025/article/ctv-news-declares-liberal-minority-live-updates-here/

When my special ballot hadn't shown up the local election office said that there is still a process to vote in person, you have to sign a statement saying you have not voted yet. It showed up the next day but according to them there is a process but they don't mention it unless it's really needed. It was last Thursday so I was a bit worried I wouldn't be able to vote at all.

Lurking American here. Curious who you think will win in your gut? I understand we won't really know until results are counted. A couple of stories covered by American media (one definitely liberal leaning) I've read and listened to seems to think because of the odiousness of our president, liberals may take it? Do you think that's likely?

The federal portion anyway.

Is the guy in the blue suit reading a book behind that sign or something?

And, if you truly don't know for who to vote: cancel your vote. Go and check every single boxes of your ballot!

There's no reason why you shouldn't go and vote, even if you want to vote for no one!

Just got this beautiful flyer hand delivered by the CPC to help me vote against the CPC:

Did someone take down 338canada.com or did we crash it?

E: Nope, it's an attack. Apparently the French version works.

Good information.

Given we live in a FPTP country, this is a worthwhile thing to consider as well: https://smartvoting.ca/ridings/federal-2025

You can look up your riding to see vote projections; you ultimately vote the system you have.

If you don't know who to vote for, I recommend using vote compass to see how closely you align to the parties.

Bringing your voter information card with a driver's license or any other Canadian Gov't issued card with photo, name and address is like having a FastPass for voting.

Here's the two main poll aggregator's per-riding projections for all of those considering voting strategically:

• 338Canada. Use the French version if the main one is down. The site is under attack
• Eric Grenier (CBC Poll Tracker)