Conservatives Experience One-Night Lead, Followed by Liberal Recovery
Conservatives Experience One-Night Lead, Followed by Liberal Recovery
[Ottawa – April 21, 2025] The Liberal Party has seen a decline in its fortunes following the debates and, at 43.5 points, the party’s lead over the Conservatives has narrowed to 4.5 points. T…
The poor and working classes are really voting against their interests…
As is tradition.
I wore an onion on my belt. Which was the style at the time.
If you’re referring to the NDP losing votes and the conservatives gaining them, I’m guessing that’s not very common. What would make more sense is for Liberals to move to Conservatives as NDP move to Liberals.
Why won't the poor people realize what's good for them and vote for the globalist banker?
So who do they vote for?
This is going to be much closer than polls and 338 suggest, and I base that on the historically high turnout.
338 tunes polls to match elections. When you go from low turnout to historically high, that necessarily means people and demographics that previously did not vote are. That implies higher error than expected in the models, and a higher chance of an unanticipated result.
Don’t rely on the polls to feel safe in the outcome, don’t rely on 338, get your butt out there and vote!
(Side note, I am a Liberal voter, but this is my ABC advice)
These outlier polls give me the heebijeebies. Some friends are very calm looking at the "nicer" polls. I can't shake the feeling that they're missing some undercurrent.
The demographic breakdown is disturbing, especially gender.
Also age. How the hell are young people leaning conservative?
Firstly - They probably grew up or came into voting age under a Trudeau government. They don't know what it's like to live under an awful Conservative government. They also blame the federal government for things outside of its control.
Secondly - Younger people are superglued to social media which is a completely unchecked and unregulated IV-shot of manipulation and disinformation.
Thirdly - Political education is extremely poor. People simply do not understand how government works at any level and they don't care to know. BC's last provincial election saw a sizeable amount of people vote for the BCCons party because they wanted to get rid of Trudeau... in a provincial election. People blame governments for things they cannot control and demand governments to fix things that they cannot.
Fourthly - Right wing groups are intentionally targeting disenfranchised youth, particularly young men. To say we are going to deal with a new generation of ultra-toxic masculinity is an understatement, but that mentality usually leans right.
Because of misogynistic, male “influencers”, who are also extreme right-winged nuts: Peterson, Tate, Shapiro, etc...
We as a society completely ignored teen boys and especially what they were looking at online for over a decade and then we locked them all inside for a couple years during their most formative years while only giving them access to the Internet.
Andrew Tate targets 14 year old boys
I saw a post on Reddit about a person in their early thirties who had done everything "right" but was being evicted so their landlord could raise the rent. They couldn't find a place in their community that they could afford.
This is the world that kids are entering: it's hard to find a decent job; and unless you have family money, you'll spend most of your income on rent.
It's totally understandable they want to kick the incumbents out. And it's fucking depressing that there's no progressive politician in Canada presenting a viable alternative.
there are adults, mostly men, who have been grooming them for years.
This is all polls, given that ballots won't be counted until after 7pm April 28. If you didn't vote this weekend at advance, get out and vote on the 28th. Take your Voter Information card and driver's licence if you have them.
Just voted with 3 others, all conservative, here’s hoping we regain the lead!
Fuck you for voting against my human rights! 😊
Yank here.
Trump is hoping conservatives win, so that he can ramp the tariffs up on you guys again, with less resistance. 😂
Have fun with that.