Avoiding Gell-Mann amnesia! Unfortunately, to even get to this question you have to be expert enough in one area to see through the BS... Not a luxury everyone is afforded.
I’ve been a programmer for around 20 years now and I can tell you with 100% confidence that this is going to be an absolute fucking disaster. I’ve built project features—not even full projects—that took months. Hell, we launch one on Monday. This would realistically take years, and after seeing how garbage the DOGE site was built, I have zero confidence in the incel team Elon scraped off his Steam friends list.
Yeah, this. They need this to be completely test-driven. Build a foundation and build out/finalize in pieces. If they had an actual dev team that knew what they were doing, someone would set them straight. They also need a ton of time to gain an understanding of what every part of the existing codebase is doing.
First you break government. Once broken, privatize everything on the justification of government not working.
Use propaganda to make people hateful and violent towards election workers. Use to loss of election workers to either have the incumbent administration run elections with "impartiality" or cancel elections altogether.
Cut government funding and make everything unpredictable, causing farmers and business owners to go bankrupt. Have oligarchs buy up everything at rock-bottom pricing, and turn the citizens back into serfs, who will be poor enough to shut up and do as they're told.
Yep, this is the explanation. People are still trying to rationalize "why do this in months, its all gonna collapse!" not understanding that collapse is the actual point.
IMO, only 3 things hold social order together....Laws, Consequences, and Prosperity. The loss of any one of those things will result in some pretty nasty stuff. We're not going to go the way of Germany - at least not as fast....there are simply too many guns in this nation, too much communications capacity, too much ability for quick travel, etc.
Through trump 45, all the lawsuits, hearings, censures, lawsuits, protests, and impeachments were simply seen as "liberal tears." When thenorange voters are directly, and negatively impacted by what they voted for, those liberal tears will a protest of government that will mean something. We're still in the shocked-look, "I thought the other people were the problem" phase of things.
Orange voters are starting to lose their jobs. Orange farmers are starting to have distressed farms, or fields with rotting product waiting for harvest. Stress fractures are beginning to appear with Medicare/Medicaid and SS. Wait until the Farmbill is canceled.
Republican town hall meetings will reach a point where they'll be canceled entirely. They're starting to crack down on the ever-growing population of homeless and people living in their cars. They're starting to crack down on social media negativity towards government. Just wait until conservatives come after the guns.
Our allies are doing their best to help us out by economic means, but they can only do so much, as the threat to our nation is coming from within our nation. Canada is rocking it with their tariffs, being focused squarely on red states.
Things will likely get uglier, but that might just be the way it has to be, before things can improve, and it'll be scary for everyone. The US has been on a downward/rightward spiral since the early 1970s, and we've let it slowly happen to ourselves. Setting things right Will be difficult, and will certainly take more than a few 4-8 year presidential cycles, and people need to understand that.
On one hand the GIMP project took so long because they have very little resources. They would certainly do it faster with more people.
On the other hand you will probably get a team of inexperienced developers picked for their loyalty to a cokehead. The overall organization has a history of confusing millions for billions and problems working with much more common stuff than COBOL.
I'm convinced this is a genuine attempt at geriatricide and to weed out the weak. If I'm not mistaken, this is something that he and his friends are fond of.
I vaguely remember the same story when he bought twitter and got called out by a senior dev for not understanding shit. History repeating itself speedrun any%?
It's easy. Rush to "fix" things, but break them in the process. Then tell the American people... look we tried and it's not working! Let's privatize! Moving all of our SS money into hedge funds and wall street scum. Welcome to Trump's America.
I fully expect them to celebrate launch day by taking a sledgehammer to the old machine like that scene from Office Space. All I can say is that I really hope the SSA has been virtualizing their old COBOL applications and not running them on an ancient mainframe.
As someone who's actually been part of a team that did this exact migration, it's gonna be shitshow with tons of bugs when the mainframes are decommissioned and the new system goes live.
It's not the wrong move cause the tech is increasingly obsolete but the level of effort will be underestimated.
Fr. They’re gonna “accidentally lose” all the records of who was receiving social security and how much they were getting, and they’re gonna make people reapply for it in person, but they have to bring their birth certificate, social security cart, passport, driver’s license with real id, 5 years of tax returns, and probably some new special certificate they start issuing to prove you’re maga a real citizen
Between this and the other instances of Elon's AI correctly calling a duck a duck (or rather, a Nazi a Nazi and a disinformation spreader a disinformation spreader), Elon might be able to replace himself with Grok as the head of DOGE and see significant improvements almost overnight.
Oh fuck this....
I can't even look at my own code from a year or two ago and understand what the hell I was doing.
I learned some very basic COBOL back in high school (using punch cards), and that shit was confusing as hell.
There is no possible way that this ancient codebase could be migrated by a bunch of 20 year olds in such a short amount of time.
They are using this as cover to say, oops we don't know how much you paid into the plan, so therefore we will give all money to Elon and Wallstreet instead of paying benefits. I hope this is what finally get people to throw this clown out of government.
That's how you know they have nobody with experience there that has their opinion being considered. No one with actual experience in the industry wouldn't do this out of the blue and in a few months "for sure, no delays".
Obscurity is not security. We've learned a lot about security in the post 20 years, let alone the last 40
No, cobol is not more secure because it's a dead language. Obscurity is a hurdle, security is a wall - security is mathematical and good practices, obscurity is just being weird. It takes a bit longer to get past the weird, getting past a solid wall is a matter of luck or brilliance
The programming language itself rarely opens hacking opportunities in my experience. It is more the design of the system and potential bugs introduced by the dev can be exploited as well.
Luckily DOGE has already breached dozens of hardened systems and created a single point of failure to collapse US government wide systems, and when it happens, they'll be sure to blame Biden.
That's probably why. It was the premise for the reimanged series of bsg, Galactica was so old that the cylons could not hack the computers like did with the 12 colonies whom they disabled with a virus.
It's been a while since I watched it, but wasn't it un-hackable because Adama forbade any networked computers (specifically because that made them vulnerable)?
Similar principle here, the safest system is the one that never goes online (assuming people can't also get physical access).
I feel like there are a good six very large companies that could give firsthand accounts on why letting Elon Musk touch an important piece of software is a terrible idea.
There's probably a few rich people who can tell you why Elon Musk and his team of 20 year olds led by Big Ballz touching government software is a great idea, especially Social Security!
There are actually companies (very few) that work with migrating large cobol code bases to java, in a automated manner. And it costs a lot, hundreds of millions and it takes a couple of years. They ensure that the cobol and java execution is doing the same thing. So it works, but it's shit. Many do this because it's hard to find cobol developers and the cost of IBM mainframes.
Anyways the code turns into cobol style in Java, horrible and hard work with, would never like to maintain it.
My only thought here is that they have no idea how to scope things properly. Anyone who has done rewrites or large ETLs of systems knows that initial scoping is always usually wrong. -- my bet is they drag this out for the rest of the presidency where "done in months" is actually "we're still working on it". And maybe even after so Musk can suckle another government test.
Im gonna side with Elon here, in the fact COBOL is absolutely outdated and should be phased out. However, considering what they said in the post and how it went with his takeover of Twitter, I have doubts that he will be capable of executing it correctly. Move fast and break things simply shouldn't apply in the government sphere.
Whatever you do, DO NOT READ QUOTE REPLIES & REPLIES TO THIS ON BLUESKY.
What you can do, is warn people on social security what will repeat historically, and defend the vulnerable.
I will continue communications happening until I too get abducted.
Buddy, keep fighting the good fight, but there has got to be a better way to post about this shit where you don't come across as insane to those not already in the know. This reads like something from insanfacebookposts.
That first sentence is a run on that takes multiple reads to parse. It's definitely missing a word, and it's worded somewhat odd.
I almost broke protocol
I highly doubt anyone but you has any idea what you mean by that. We aren't all from 50501 or whereever.
The hashtag makes the next line unreasonably large, at least on lemmy. You can just bold things. That really, really damages the overall look of your post. Also, don't be coy. There's negative reason to be vague. Why shouldn't anyone read the replies? Explicit nazi propaganda? Stupid Elon simps?
What you can do, is warn people on social security what will repeat historically, and defend the vulnerable.
What you can do is: warn people on social security about the atrocities from history about to repeat, and you can defend the vulnerable.
There are numerous college students and academics being abducted right now. I will continue posting things like this until I am as well. Abduction tracker here.
Look. I know there's a huge thing about "don't tear down or nitpick allies' messaging, that's just helping the enemy" but poor enough messaging can be self defeating. Not saying yours is, just that it can be. Lord knows they have masterful propagandists on their side, "influencers", editing teams, maybe even "audience" reaction and sentiment analytics shit going on.
You can at least take two extra minutes to proofread your shit.
Buddy, keep fighting the good fight, but there has got to be a better way to post about this shit where you don't come across as insane to those not already in the know. This reads like something from insanfacebookposts.
There's always someone who posts like they're a homeless person in a park telling you that god is a sock.
Wherever I see this rambling I just move on to another topic. You know you've reached the bottom of the barrel when it appears. This, or those images macros of Ralph picking his nose saying "other team stupid" or whatever.