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  • Part of me just wants it over. My inner pessimist worries that the LNP will get in (either majority or minority) and wreck a whole lot of things. My inner optimist says that enough Australians see through the LNP's BS to at least give us a Labor minority government.

    • Personally, my hope is for a Labor minority gov with the Greens as a junior coalition member. It feels like Albo et al. have been pushing towards the right, fearful of their single-seat majority and haven't effected much real change in policy. Whereas with a push from the Greens they might actually do something tangible to solve this fucking housing crisis.

      • Greens get a steady 15-20% percent of voters just about everywhere around the nation (except Melbourne where it's higher). Not enough to win a seat, but enough that their preferences are extremely valuable. But Greens have nobody else to give those preferences to - at the end of the day the Liberal party is less compatible to Green policies than Labor is.

        It would actually be a strong signal one election for those preferences to go somewhere else. Labor won't get elected without those preferences - but they seem to take them for granted. One Nation do it from time to time and they only get 2-5% of the vote. Some elections, they give their preferences to the non-sitting member (Liberal candidate if sitting member was Labor/Labor if the sitting member was Liberal). One election, it was enough to tip the balance.

        15-20% of the vote is plenty enough to get representation in the senate, of course.

        Greens need a re-brand. They are seen by older voters as one-trick ponies. Caring solely about the environment and not having any policies on anything else. That's not true of course, but their marketing sucks. If they could actually articulate their positions to voters somehow, I think far more voters would realise they align with Green policies.

    • That's what's so funny - the election campaign hasn't even started. 😁

  • I think Albo probably wanted to call it for early April, immediately after the successful Western Australian result. But then Cyclone Alfred hit and it would have been bad politically to call it then. Now he has to deliver a budget before the election, which completely changes the calculus.

15 comments