Scott Manley did a great video explaining how easily we could redirect it if we found out it was going to hit the earth. We have multiple launch vehicles that can launch a mass at sufficient velocity to nudge it the small amount we need.
Fly safe.
Wait...
We don't even need to land, drill into the center, drop a nuke and leave behind an American oil driller to detonate it?
I'll be AJ! Liv Tyler was the main thing from that movie that stuck in my 13 year old brain.
I was disappointed about that, too
I say we still do it, for good luck
I've seen Don't Look Up. Having the technology to carry out a mission like that is the easy part.
A billion kilometers? How much is that? A few miles? Half a parsec? A couple pounds sterling? This is really worrisome...
Approximately 5X10^12 bananas if that helps?
Roughly 7 million large boulders the size of a small boulder
541 astronomical units (541 times the distance from Earth to the Sun)
What? Not it's not. Where did you get this number?
It's more like 6.7 AU. Source
In other words somewhere between Jupiter and Saturn in terms of distance to the sun.
Thank you, this is the only measurement that makes any sense in any distance past like the moon before you get into longer units like parsecs or light years. Even though an AU is still only 150M km, it makes the math a lot easier for me to grok.
Thats 6.685 astronomical units (around 6.5x the distance from the earth to the sun)
Well when they're saying there's 2% odds, that's....probably still higher than you want for the probability of a world ending asteroid strike.
It's not a world ending strike. It's 2.3% odds that a city ending strike lands somewhere on earth, most likely in the ocean.
It's a fraction of a fraction of a % that it'll hit somewhere with any humans at all, much less a populated city.
And on top of that, we have until 2032 to decide what to do about it, with enough time to potentially redirect it with technology we've already demonstrated that works. And if that isn't enough, we just need one or two more data points to figure out almost exactly where it will hit, and can evacuate the area.
Just like we do for hurricanes and other natural disasters.
This is not an emergency, this is an easy mode try out for a real disaster.
The only thing to ever have a higher score than this one on the Torino scale (before further calculations reclassified it as a 0) is scheduled to come close by in 2029. Should be interesting to watch, at least.
City ending will cause weather chaos and possibly radioactive fallout.
But the funny part is that you think 2032 is enough time. Humans are USELESS when we need to do large international projects to a deadline.
China Sets Up 'Planetary Defense' Unit Over 2032 Asteroid Threat
This is just the plot to Don't Look Up.
There's a great video by Scott Manly on the subject if you want to learn more. It'd smaller than some nukes we've tested, and would land somewhere around the equator between the Atlantic and China if it does hit. It looks surprisingly feasible to deflect, but it'd be a time crunch to put a mission together in only a couple of months. Plus it might deflect it into hitting a different country.
Not high enough odds
The aliens are a nice touch.
They came to tell us Betelgeuse is going to go super nova any day now
Also it seems to be a picture of the Earth colliding with the Earth.
It's pretty much speculation based on a probability that includes the chance to hit a narrow ring of places along earth's surface, but we don't know how dense it is, although we're relatively sure it's solid, and whether other debris will change its path before it remerges in 2028. It has no risk factor to us until 2032, just in case people are wondering why reputatable science journalists aren't completely poopooing the narratives of other outlets. We'll know what it eats for breakfast by 2029.
Yeah. YR4 will get as close as 106,000km if it misses.
That's not even Earth
Promises, promises.
Work, damn you, WORK!
They're just trying to give us hope
Don't threaten me with a good time
I kind of hope for a "Night of the Comet" scenario.
Are we even training the oil drillers yet?
