You heard it here first: Bashar Assad might be dead
You heard it here first: Bashar Assad might be dead
Flight path of a plane that took off from Damascus shorty after news broke that Assad left the city towards unknown destination, which might have been Latakia on Syrian coast which is still under SAA control as of now. Terrain in place where flightradar stopped tracking that plane isn't especially suited for emergency landing
Shortly after crash Syrian Army Command informs officers about fall of the regime https://xcancel.com/Alhadath_Brk/status/1865587913817305454#m
update: it's not spoofed transponder data or controlled landing, locals reported plane crash in the area. rumors so far, but dawn will break soon in Syria and we'll know https://xcancel.com/Schizointel/status/1865593800678130081#m
clarification: there's some chance that Assad went out of Damascus before on other, private jet, so it's not sure and it's all conjecture on unproven information
update 2: there's a claim by Russian media that Assad is in Moscow, so he would have to flee on some earlier plane, but no photos as of now. Still, looked mildly credible at the time
this is the kind of superpower that chronic insomnia gets you
join our matrix channel for more noncredible news
You know when NCD has actual writeups and citations shit is getting real. Getting Wagner coup vibes, what a time to be alive where we can glimpse into the sausage of geopolitics being made in real time.
Idk, it feels a little too credible for me...
Honestly guys, it's not the first time I got breaking world news from this community and I am disappointed, I thought this was non-credible?
Yes, but to be truly non-credible, one must first poses great knowledge and insight.
"It takes a wise man to be truly stupid"- Sun Tzu
The funniest part is it may be days before news starts reporting he was probably on this plane. They'll want to wait for some sort of confirmation, which probably doesn't exist.
n in ncd stands for news
Can we speed run the Russsian collapse as well?
It’s going to shit me if Putin falls on the 22nd Jan so the orange boofhead can claim the credit.
Would he claim credit, or announce a day off mourning?
Probably both he usually takes both sides on every issue at some point.
At least the balkanisation and collapse of Russia will be a simple thing for such a stable genius to manage.
My conspiracy theory is that Trump will "Talk tough" to Putin and "tell him" to back off and take only "minor" concessions to end the war. He gets to claim that he ended it, look how strong and diplomatic he can be. Putin will spin it differently back home, nobody will buy it but nobody will care because the sanctions will be lifted and money will start flowing.
The Ukraine wont get NATO admission, the US will block it but they will be a whole lot better off than if Trump just removed all US support and the bombing will stop so they wont like it, but the alternative is losing the whole country.
One of the rare cases where I hear of a death and check wikipedia to still see the word "is". I wonder how long confirmation will take.
Today is a day of victory for chins everywhere
Nooooooo you can't break credible news on NCD!!1!!! 😭
NCD: Haha Illusion-76 go brrrrrrr (crash)
not a great year for them
Holy shit! The Russians shot him out of the sky??
that would be pretty stupid so it's definitely an option
we can guess that 1. assad was on that plane, and 2. it did something that looked like a bad malfunction and 3. there are rumors of plane crash in the area. maybe it was some stupid reason like mechanical malfunction, or maybe friendly fire from russian S300 at Tartus, or maybe unfriendly fire from whatever SAM HTS now has. or something else
The plane flew over opposition controlled territory in Homs, and then it started losing altitude very fast. I think the Russians didn't have the chance of doing anything funny this time.
I watched that live. The video from the airport a few minutes before was surreal.
Link plz this is crazy
i watched it on flightradar, link?
https://www.flightradar24.com/SYR9218/3844aec1
Sorry I don't remember the original source but here's the video. https://files.catbox.moe/2n2y9q.mp4
True? False? You still heard it here, first!
Claim your 'I was here' tickets now!
Curious if this is just another straw, or maybe enough to motivate Russian citizens to start dealing with all this hay.
Oh come on, its not like the rebels would have any anti aircraft systems... Other then the odd Pantsir, maybe a BUK or two. And even if they did, why would they need anything like that marching on the last stronghold of the regime? /s
Buk (TEL) lacks a radar. Pantsir or MANPADS lacks range (7km altitude give or take). Either they networked radar to Buk, or made these super old S75 work, or planted bomb onboard like with Prigozhin, or something else. It's also possible that F35 sneaked around and took it down with A2A missile, not that we'll ever see it
BBC article mentioning this flight. A tweet from FR24 says that the aircraft "was old with an older transponder generation, so some data might be bad or missing", that it was "flying in an area of GPS jamming, so some data might be bad", and that there was not aware of any airports in the area where the signal was lost.
There's no evidence this was Assad (and the flight path directly over Homs instead of e.g. into Iraq makes it implausible), but it seems like it was almost definitely a plane crash.
i understand that he tried to get to Latakia, which is beyond mountain range and still SAA held at that time
Dawn just broke in Syria so we'll know today
Russia claim he's already in Russia, but I've seen no footage of him yet. It's entirely possible he's in the wreckage.
Brother delet this
nah
it seemed plausible when it happened. i still think it's likely that that plane crashed, there's a red dot on FIRMS map for 8.12 around that area that wasn't there before or after. there's a SAM site (S-125) at 34.707328, 36.788321 near Homs and there floated a photo of these missiles on liveuamap. whether these were used in this incident, or usable at all, is different question
