EV Sales Are Not Just Rising, They Are Stealing Market Share From Gasmobiles
EV Sales Are Not Just Rising, They Are Stealing Market Share From Gasmobiles

EV Sales Are Not Just Rising, They Are Pushing Gasmobiles Out

EV Sales Are Not Just Rising, They Are Stealing Market Share From Gasmobiles
EV Sales Are Not Just Rising, They Are Pushing Gasmobiles Out
Such fantastic news! One day the stink of cars will be a memory.
Worry not: they'll still pollute because the tires running on the road release micro-particle, a problem which EVs didn't solve and which the tendency for bigger cars, which is unrelated to EV adoption but has been happening in parallel, makes worse.
Mind you, EVs are much better, but cars are still a problem on the pollution front (and the danger for people front, and the stealing of natural public spaces to put roads on front, and on the making most of the public space dangerous for children to play in front and so on).
Can't wait for electric vans to become a thing. After my Sprinter dies I want to get an electric one.
Where do you live as the sprinter launched this year and the electric transit a little while ago
Policy factors aside, the cost of EVs will continue to drop, led by a decline in battery costs. Technology improvements, falling commodities prices, and a potential oversupply of EV batteries are some of the factors cited by Liz Najman, a researcher with the EV sales analysis firm Recurrent, leading to the conclusion that the upfront cost of buying an EV will be on par with the cost of a comparable gasmobile by 2026.
In a piece posted by Recurrent on November 19, Najman notes that Goldman Sachs anticipates a cost of $64 per kilowatt-hour for EV battery packs by 2030. Other leading research groups see a steeper declines. RMI, for example, anticipates that battery packs will dip to $45–$65/kWh.
Najman cites an RMI analysis showing that by 2030, the cost of replacing an EV battery will be cheaper than replacing the engine on a gasmobile. An RMI analysis puts the replacement cost at $3,375 for a 75 kilowatt-hour battery pack. In addition, EV owners can defray the cost by selling their battery into the growing second-life market.
The $3,375 price point sounds about right for a parity argument. AutoZone puts the cost of an engine replacement at $2,000–$10,000, or even more, depending on the circumstances.
For that matter, all of this talk about battery replacement may be moot. Battery replacements are rare, and they are about to get rarer. The EV battery of today is expected to last for 200,000 miles, possibly more. Most electric cars won’t need their batteries replaced at all.
About musk being in favor of dropping the EV incentive
The argument that “it will hurt competitors’ EVs more than it hurts our EVs” doesn’t cut it.
Why not? As the first/most profitable EV maker in the US, the only one able to drop prices significantly and remain profitable, the only one that isn’t still trying to repay huge development costs, a manufacturer with half its models too high priced for the incentive, Tesla would do well out of the deal.
Sure, business would drop temporarily but Tesla is in a good position to make it work. Other US manufacturers couldn’t afford it. They’d drop entirely out of the business, leaving it all to Tesla
It feels like the battery, and renewable revolution is coming.
Like the 1kWh battery for 64€ in the article, when 1kWh is 0.25€ gives 256 charges to pay for it, if the electricity would otherwise be wasted, and batteries nowadays have at least 600-900 cycles.
This paves the way for so many things, not just EVs.
How does that square with the other article posted here?
https://lemmy.ca/post/33771493
Personally, I've seen a huge increase in EVs around me, which makes me think that the issue isn't that EVs as a whole are slowing, some companies just suck at making EVs.
Articles claiming slow or declining EV sales are flat out lies to support some agenda. If they have numbers, they've been cherry picked from some temporary high and/or low points. Over all, adoption has been going up and will be going up if there's supply and selection.
It's pretty easy to guess that Porsche in particular would have issues selling EVs. There are two reasons people buy Porsches, for a sports car or for a status symbol. EVs don't really fit either category right now...
I thought thr Cyberdump was supposed to be that