c/cfb Poll Week 12
c/cfb Poll Week 12
Alright, we're in the endgame now y'all. Expect to see some serious movement this week...
5 comments
-
-
Unsurprisingly, there was a lot of movement in my poll. Miami, Georgia, LSU, 💩sburgh, and Minnesota drop 10 or more places, with the last three dropping out of the Top 25. But this biggest loser is... Cincinnati (-27) after losing to WVU (more on that later).
The biggest winners will be no surprise: GT, UCLA, WVU, Rutgers, Kansas, and Duke all jumping 20+ spots. My home team of WVU makes an surprisingly large leap of 23 spots to 41st place with their win over then #38 Cincinnati (5-3). I'm torn about this win, because I don't want to give our AD any excuses to keep Neal Brown any longer than we need to...
- Oregon
- Indiana
- Notre Dame
- Ohio State
- Texas
- SMU
- Ole Miss
- Penn State
- Alabama
- BYU
- Tennessee
- Colorado
- Miami
- South Carolina
- Clemson
- Tulane
- Army
- Georgia
- Boise State
- Texas A&M
- Louisville
- Louisiana
- Washington State
- Kansas State
- Arizona State
:::spoiler Full Rankings
Rank Team Record Rating SOS 1 Oregon (10-0) 1414 981 2 Indiana (10-0) 1402 925 3 Notre Dame (8-1) 1384 1001 4 Ohio State (8-1) 1377 1034 5 Texas (8-1) 1354 1013 6 SMU (8-1) 1342 953 7 Ole Miss (8-2) 1339 983 8 Penn State (8-1) 1314 1039 9 Alabama (7-2) 1305 1144 10 BYU (9-0) 1289 926 11 Tennessee (8-1) 1289 901 12 Colorado (7-2) 1280 967 13 Miami (9-1) 1266 958 14 South Carolina (6-3) 1261 1088 15 Clemson (7-2) 1252 997 16 Tulane (8-2) 1251 890 17 Army (9-0) 1249 778 18 Georgia (7-2) 1237 1046 19 Boise State (8-1) 1236 943 20 Texas A&M (7-2) 1231 1036 21 Louisville (6-3) 1223 1112 22 Louisiana (8-1) 1205 850 23 Washington State (8-1) 1197 902 24 Kansas State (7-2) 1182 1001 25 Arizona State (7-2) 1171 941 26 LSU (6-3) 1165 1074 27 Missouri (7-2) 1156 961 28 Pittsburgh (7-2) 1142 973 29 Western Kentucky (7-2) 1134 848 30 Georgia Tech (6-4) 1131 1016 31 Duke (7-3) 1125 973 32 Minnesota (6-4) 1124 961 33 UNLV (7-2) 1123 907 34 Baylor (5-4) 1120 969 35 UCLA (4-5) 1116 1162 36 James Madison (7-2) 1112 833 37 Vanderbilt (6-4) 1111 1000 38 Navy (7-2) 1110 869 39 Georgia Southern (6-3) 1107 957 40 Iowa (6-4) 1106 993 41 West Virginia (5-4) 1102 979 42 Jacksonville State (6-3) 1102 833 43 Syracuse (6-3) 1100 971 44 Memphis (8-2) 1098 828 45 Iowa State (7-2) 1097 970 46 Illinois (6-3) 1090 982 47 Miami (OH) (5-4) 1088 954 48 Marshall (6-3) 1088 896 49 TCU (6-4) 1083 946 50 Virginia Tech (5-5) 1082 1080 51 North Carolina (5-4) 1082 970 52 Texas Tech (6-4) 1079 1018 53 Michigan (5-5) 1072 1121 54 California (5-4) 1072 901 55 Arkansas (5-4) 1071 980 56 Sam Houston (7-2) 1070 878 57 UConn (7-3) 1070 823 58 Boston College (5-4) 1068 991 59 Virginia (5-4) 1059 1002 60 Washington (5-5) 1054 1031 61 Houston (4-5) 1052 1031 62 Wisconsin (5-4) 1050 969 63 Colorado State (6-3) 1048 884 64 Ohio (6-3) 1045 828 65 Cincinnati (5-4) 1041 1032 66 Florida (4-5) 1034 1059 67 Nebraska (5-4) 1030 1013 68 Texas State (5-4) 1028 925 69 Toledo (6-3) 1018 878 70 Old Dominion (4-5) 1009 1001 71 USC (4-5) 1003 1059 72 East Carolina (5-4) 1003 862 73 Rutgers (5-4) 1001 954 74 Bowling Green (5-4) 998 886 75 Kansas (3-6) 993 1033 76 Liberty (6-2) 992 761 77 San José State (6-3) 990 809 78 Michigan State (4-5) 984 1056 79 Maryland (4-5) 978 1045 80 Oklahoma (5-5) 976 1083 81 NC State (5-5) 976 970 82 UCF (4-6) 975 1029 83 North Texas (5-4) 967 915 84 Wake Forest (4-5) 955 1016 85 Northern Illinois (5-4) 953 905 86 Northwestern (4-5) 948 992 87 Auburn (3-6) 948 978 88 South Alabama (4-5) 944 905 89 Buffalo (5-4) 941 884 90 Kentucky (3-6) 927 1104 91 Coastal Carolina (5-4) 921 926 92 Western Michigan (5-4) 920 882 93 Utah (4-5) 910 947 94 Arkansas State (5-4) 904 883 95 Hawai'i (4-6) 900 900 115 Troy (2-7) 776 895 116 UAB (2-7) 775 966 117 Stanford (2-7) 772 1064 118 Utah State (2-7) 771 919 119 Central Michigan (3-6) 768 884 120 Wyoming (2-7) 766 891 121 Air Force (2-7) 763 935 122 Nevada (3-8) 762 967 123 Tulsa (3-6) 759 841 124 Middle Tennessee (3-7) 735 933 125 Purdue (1-8) 725 1058 126 Akron (2-7) 725 979 127 Georgia State (2-7) 723 991 128 UTEP (2-8) 722 864 129 Florida Atlantic (2-7) 685 919 130 New Mexico State (2-7) 677 892 131 Southern Miss (1-8) 670 947 132 Massachusetts (2-7) 666 853 133 Kennesaw State (1-8) 633 908 134 Kent State (0-9) 560 980 -
Mine for the week, I feel like those last 5 spots I'm just trying to find half decent teams, even though the top several are obviously contenders
- Oregon
- Indiana
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Ohio State
- Army
- LSU
- BYU
- Ole Miss
- Notre Dame
- Georgia
- Penn State
- Miami (FL)
- Boise State
- South Carolina
- alabama
- Texas A&M
- SMU
- Washington State
- Vanderbilt
- Illinois
- Iowa State
- Louisville
- Kansas State
- Pittsburgh
-
Computer poll based on resume and margin of victory. I am as displeased by Alabama's high ranking as you are.
- Oregon (1) | 10 - 0 | LW: 1 ( - )
- Ohio State (6.93) | 8 - 1 | LW: 2 ( - )
- Indiana (8.37) | 10 - 0 | LW: 4 (+1)
- Alabama (10.13) | 7 - 2 | LW: 7 (+3)
- Texas (12.13) | 8 - 1 | LW: 6 (+1)
- Notre Dame (13.04) | 8 - 1 | LW: 8 (+2)
- Penn State (13.06) | 8 - 1 | LW: 10 (+3)
- BYU (13.23) | 9 - 0 | LW: 5 (-3)
- SMU (17.35) | 8 - 1 | LW: 11 (+2)
- Miami (18.92) | 9 - 1 | LW: 3 (-7)
- Boise State (20.82) | 8 - 1 | LW: 12 (+1)
- Ole Miss (23.06) | 8 - 2 | LW: 17 (+5)
- Georgia (25.75) | 7 - 2 | LW: 9 (-4)
- Tennessee (26.06) | 8 - 1 | LW: 15 (+1)
- Texas A&M (27.8) | 7 - 2 | LW: 18 (+3)
- Army (28.83) | 9 - 0 | LW: 21 (+5)
- Clemson (29.28) | 7 - 2 | LW: 20 (+3)
- Washington State (29.7) | 8 - 1 | LW: 16 (-2)
- South Carolina (30.97) | 6 - 3 | LW: 24 (+5)
- Louisville (31.35) | 6 - 3 | LW: 22 (+2)
- Kansas State (32.3) | 7 - 2 | LW: 23 (+2)
- Colorado (32.72) | 7 - 2 | LW: 25 (+3)
- Pittsburgh (35.11) | 7 - 2 | LW: 14 (-9)
- Louisiana (35.55) | 8 - 1 | LW: 28 (+4)
- Iowa State (35.69) | 7 - 2 | LW: 13 (-12)
First five out:
- Missouri (35.93) | 7 - 2 | LW: 30 (+4)
- LSU (36.51) | 6 - 3 | LW: 19 (-8)
- Tulane (36.63) | 8 - 2 | LW: 26 (-2)
- UNLV (40.72) | 7 - 2 | LW: 31 (+2)
- Arizona State (42.56) | 7 - 2 | LW: 36 (+6)
My ballot. Computer poll. I realized this week that in my haste to calculate last week's results, I forgot to make adjustments to all the teams that were on bye and thus over-ranked each of them. D'oh. I corrected it for this week, so that's why the change values will not line up with what I posted last week.
I am amused that despite Alabama's blowout win, they only move up one place (the computer definitely predicted that result, too, as it is really a power-rating kind of formula). Similar situation with Ole Miss and Georgia (it did not think very highly of the dogs). Virginia Tech baffles me, holding the same position for 3 weeks like a stuck pixel.
::: spoiler Full ranking: | Rank | Change | Team | Record | Points | | ---: | :---: | :--- | :--- | :--- | | 1 | +4 | Ole Miss | 8-2 | 657 | | 2 | +1 | Ohio State | 8-1 | 650 | | 3 | +1 | Notre Dame | 8-1 | 645 | | 4 | -2 | Oregon | 10-0 | 641 | | 5 | -4 | Indiana | 10-0 | 635 | | 6 | -1 | Texas | 8-1 | 624 | | 7 | +1 | Alabama | 7-2 | 616 | | 8 | -1 | Miami (FL) | 9-1 | 571 | | 9 | +4 | Tennessee | 8-1 | 551 | | 10 | +6 | Penn State | 8-1 | 548 | | 11 | +6 | South Carolina | 6-3 | 545 | | 12 | +3 | Clemson | 7-2 | 539 | | 13 | -3 | Georgia | 7-2 | 537 | | 14 | - | Virginia Tech | 5-5 | 521 | | 15 | +9 | Tulane | 8-2 | 513 | | 16 | +2 | Iowa | 6-4 | 512 | | 17 | -8 | SMU | 8-1 | 511 | | 18 | -7 | USC | 4-5 | 499 | | T19 | +4 | BYU | 9-0 | 498 | | T19 | +2 | Minnesota | 6-4 | 498 | | 21 | +15 | Georgia Tech | 6-4 | 490 | | 22 | -10 | Texas A&M | 7-2 | 488 | | 23 | +2 | Arizona State | 7-2 | 484 | | 24 | -4 | Vanderbilt | 6-4 | 483 | | 25 | +1 | Iowa State | 7-2 | 474 | | 26 | +1 | Army | 9-0 | 471 | | 27 | +11 | TCU | 6-4 | 470 | | 28 | +9 | Colorado | 7-2 | 466 | | 29 | +3 | UCF | 4-6 | 456 | | 30 | -11 | Louisville | 6-3 | 455 | | 31 | +15 | JMU | 7-2 | 452 | | 32 | +15 | Duke | 7-3 | 450 | | 33 | -11 | Kansas State | 7-2 | 447 | | 34 | +5 | Michigan | 5-5 | 443 | | 35 | +8 | Texas Tech | 6-4 | 440 | | 36 | +5 | Boise State | 8-1 | 435 | | T37 | +5 | Pittsburgh | 7-2 | 434 | | T37 | +18 | California | 5-4 | 434 | | 39 | -5 | Washington | 5-5 | 430 | | 40 | +8 | UNLV | 7-2 | 428 | | 41 | +11 | Connecticut | 7-3 | 427 | | 42 | -7 | LSU | 6-3 | 425 | | T43 | +6 | Memphis | 8-2 | 424 | | T43 | +10 | Jacksonville State | 6-3 | 424 | | 45 | +4 | Cincinnati | 5-4 | 422 | | 46 | -18 | North Carolina | 5-4 | 417 | | T47 | -18 | Arkansas | 5-4 | 412 | | T47 | +19 | Kansas | 3-6 | 412 | | 49 | +24 | Louisiana | 8-1 | 409 | | 50 | -20 | Wisconsin | 5-4 | 408 | | 51 | -20 | Baylor | 5-4 | 407 | | 52 | -20 | Kentucky | 3-6 | 406 | | 53 | +6 | Oklahoma | 5-5 | 404 | | T54 | +14 | Washington State | 8-1 | 402 | | T54 | +14 | Missouri | 7-2 | 402 | | T54 | +12 | Boston College | 5-4 | 402 | | T54 | +6 | Utah | 4-5 | 402 | | 58 | +14 | Navy | 7-2 | 401 | | 59 | +16 | Texas State | 5-4 | 399 | | 60 | +3 | Syracuse | 6-3 | 396 | | 61 | +3 | Miami (OH) | 5-4 | 395 | | 62 | +13 | Northern Illinois | 5-4 | 394 | | 63 | -23 | Illinois | 6-3 | 392 | | 64 | -2 | NC State | 5-5 | 391 | | T65 | -22 | Nebraska | 5-4 | 388 | | T65 | -22 | Northwestern | 4-5 | 388 | | 67 | +12 | West Virginia | 5-4 | 383 | | 68 | +9 | Western Kentucky | 7-2 | 381 | | 69 | -18 | Sam Houston | 7-2 | 378 | | 70 | +3 | Fresno State | 5-5 | 377 | | 71 | -10 | Florida | 4-5 | 374 | | T72 | -18 | Auburn | 3-6 | 373 | | T72 | -2 | Oklahoma State | 3-7 | 373 | | 74 | +21 | Ohio | 6-3 | 368 | | T75 | +11 | Bowling Green | 5-4 | 367 | | T75 | -19 | Old Dominion | 4-5 | 367 | | T75 | +12 | UCLA | 4-5 | 367 | | T78 | +12 | Virginia | 5-4 | 365 | | T78 | -21 | Houston | 4-5 | 365 | | 80 | +9 | Rutgers | 5-4 | 364 | | 81 | +17 | Marshall | 6-3 | 361 | | 82 | -24 | Toledo | 6-3 | 360 | | 83 | -2 | Nevada | 3-8 | 358 | | 84 | - | Maryland | 4-5 | 349 | | 85 | -21 | South Alabama | 4-5 | 347 | | 86 | +9 | San Jose State | 6-3 | 344 | | T87 | -16 | Georgia Southern | 6-3 | 343 | | T87 | +5 | New Mexico | 4-6 | 343 | | 89 | +17 | ECU | 5-4 | 336 | | 90 | +4 | Mississippi State | 2-8 | 328 | | 91 | +4 | Louisiana Tech | 3-6 | 326 | | 92 | +1 | UNT | 5-4 | 325 | | 93 | -15 | FIU | 3-6 | 323 | | 94 | -15 | Eastern Michigan | 5-4 | 322 | | 95 | +15 | Liberty | 6-2 | 319 | | T96 | +11 | Coastal Carolina | 5-4 | 318 | | T96 | -8 | Florida State | 1-9 | 318 | | T98 | -16 | Michigan State | 4-5 | 317 | | T98 | -16 | Arizona | 3-6 | 317 | | T100 | -16 | Colorado State | 6-3 | 316 | | T100 | +1 | Rice | 3-7 | 316 | | T102 | -3 | Western Michigan | 5-4 | 313 | | T102 | +1 | Wake Forest | 4-5 | 313 | | 104 | - | Hawaii | 4-6 | 309 | | 105 | -1 | Oregon State | 4-5 | 301 | | 106 | -15 | Buffalo | 5-4 | 296 | | 107 | +6 | UTEP | 2-8 | 291 | | 108 | +1 | UL Monroe | 5-4 | 285 | | 109 | -9 | UTSA | 4-5 | 282 | | 110 | +1 | USF | 4-5 | 281 | | 111 | -9 | Troy | 2-7 | 278 | | 112 | +5 | San Diego State | 3-6 | 276 | | T113 | -5 | Wyoming | 2-7 | 263 | | T113 | - | Georgia State | 2-7 | 263 | | 115 | -2 | Arkansas State | 5-4 | 260 | | 116 | +3 | Appalachian State | 4-5 | 257 | | 117 | +4 | Central Michigan | 3-6 | 253 | | 118 | -6 | Stanford | 2-7 | 252 | | 119 | +8 | Air Force | 2-7 | 249 | | 120 | +4 | Ball State | 3-6 | 248 | | T121 | -3 | FAU | 2-7 | 247 | | T121 | +2 | UAB | 2-7 | 247 | | 123 | -7 | Charlotte | 3-6 | 243 | | 124 | -2 | Middle Tennessee | 3-7 | 239 | | 125 | -5 | Temple | 2-7 | 228 | | 126 | +4 | Kennesaw State | 1-8 | 227 | | 127 | +2 | Utah State | 2-7 | 221 | | 128 | -3 | Tulsa | 3-6 | 212 | | 129 | -3 | Akron | 2-7 | 210 | | 130 | +3 | New Mexico State | 2-7 | 204 | | T131 | -3 | Massachusetts | 2-7 | 198 | | T131 | - | Purdue | 1-8 | 198 | | 133 | -1 | Southern Mississippi | 1-8 | 189 | | 134 | - | Kent State | 0-9 | 144 |
My poll really doesn't like Georgia either! It has been begrudgingly moving them up with each win. But they drop 10 spots after losing to the #11 team (according to my poll), behind five 2-loss teams and one 3-loss team.
My poll must not be impressed by their margin of victory (vs expectations) or something, even though that is a pretty small portion of the equation. Most of the rating comes from a modified ELO that only cares about win/loss.