Is Harris more at risk from third party candidates than Trump? What new poll suggests
Is Harris more at risk from third party candidates than Trump? What new poll suggests
Yes, that's the whole reason wealthy fascists, foreign governments, and Republican establishment fund and assist nominally left 3rd party challengers. Especially in national elections where they have no chance. Specifically to disadvantage Democrats and the left in general, helping fascists win. They've been doing it nearly a half century or more now.
Keeping the left divided is the best way to keep it out of power.
I agree with you, but hate how we refer to democrats as "the left". Democrats are "the center", MAGA'ts are the extreme Christo-fascist right. We have no left, and the Republican party is all but extinct.
Democrats are not a monolith. There are highly right wing wealthy democrats. And then there are Centrist to socialist Democrats Like Bernie Sanders etc. The Democrats are a coalition party. And unfortunately the only realistic party the left has at the national level due to the way the system works. So whether or not you like it you need to get used to acknowledging it. Not doing so is What's led to a lot of the division we're dealing with now.
Especially right now. A large chunk of Democratic Leadership is aging out or close to. A significant focused push could see a much more left-leaning Democratic Party. Maybe even someday a possible speaker Ocassio-Cortez. Parties, their make up, and their policy changes generationally. All we have to do is engaged with the system. Stop fighting for scraps on the side.
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No, of course not. If Harris loses, there is a basically 0% chance of anyone other than Trump winning. But that doesn’t matter, because this stupid waste of a paywall didn’t even address the actual numbers, just some poll that doesn’t say anything about actual voter habits.
What this stupidly worded title seems to imply is the spoiler effect, where a third party candidate may receive enough votes to change the winner of the election. To be clear, this is only possible because Trump is the main threat to Harris: if she were already ahead by 100 electoral votes, the spoiler effect would be impossible. But as it stands today, the odds of a third party candidate actually affecting this election are less than 1%, so no, Jill Stein and Bear Head Kennedy are not going to have any measurable effect on the election results.
Last year, less than half of Democrats polled, 46%, said they want a third party. But that number increased seven percentage points this year, to 53%.
Well of course. The national level Dem party is having to shift pretty rightward to ensure a win due to things like the GOP advantage in the Electoral College and such.
Doesn't mean that they'd take the risk this year (and risk things going to the GOP under a FPTP system). But once the threat to democracy has past. I can easily see a hypothetical future where the GOP basically collapses into irrelevancy (like the Whig party did), while the Dem coalition split up into three parties - the far-left Dems, the progressive Dems, and never-Trumper former Republicans.
it appears that Democrats aren’t as happy with their candidate as Republicans are with theirs
But this is almost certainly leaving out all the Liz Cheney-like minded folks who are supporting Harris. If we counted these, I imagine we have more former GOP defectors to Harris than we do potential Dem defactors to third parties.