Gusano Cubans will never vote anything but the most fascist conservative option available, and Trump already has a majority of both white male and female bloks in florida... And that's without mentioning the corruption in FL's government.
No, there is infinite money in Florida, they own the state and half their finance class claim residence there to dodge state taxes and the screwed up laws.
Don't ante up in rigged games, stay out of the south, it's their ground and they want you to fight there where they can cheat.
Some recent polls put florida at only trump+2 or trump+3 . There's a rather realistic case where polling error underestimating dems by 2% or more could make it a tight race
Polling errors over estimating republican by that much have happened in the past. In 2012, republicans were overestimated for president by on average by 2.5%
Remember when the media thought Hillary could win Florida and she still got absolutely trounced there? Dems would be straight up stupid to spend a dime there.
Toss some money at it and remind women in Florida that even if they get the abortion initiative passed, if the Republicans win, they will ban it nationally.
If anything, Trumps ego to win the state he now calls home will make him spend way too much money there.