Harris ups lead over Trump, although presidential race still on knife-edge
Harris ups lead over Trump, although presidential race still on knife-edge
Harris ups lead over Trump, although presidential race still on knife-edge
The US presidential election remains on a knife-edge 45 days before voters go to the polls, despite Kamala Harris enjoying one of her most encouraging spells of opinion polling since becoming the Democrats’ nominee nearly two months ago.
During yet another momentous week that began with a suspected second assassination attempt against Donald Trump, the latest Guardian 10-day polling averages survey shows Harris increasing her lead to 2.6 points, 48.5% to 45.9%.
While still within error margins, that is an improvement of the 0.9% edge Harris held last week and a significant shift from the statistical dead heat of a fortnight ago before the candidates held their only scheduled televised debate in Philadelphia on 10 September.
Jimmy Kimmel shows polls on (I think) his Thursday monologue that showed Harris ahead, Trump ahead, and both of them tied.
Polls clearly don't mean shit anymore.
Yeah, they're entirely meaningless this election cycle. These poll leads have been sitting in margin of error zones the whole damn time, which means you cannot make a useful inference from the data in the poll.
It's so close you can slightly tweak the conditions and who you ask and WHAT you ask them to push the poll data to support anything you want.
Good for propaganda, bad for anything else.
Also, who answers an unknown number from their phone anymore other than the elderly and the lonely? That's not exactly a good cross-section of voters.
That doesn't mean it's meaningless. It means it's a very close race.
Polls are simply educated guesses. Nobody knows for sure until the election is certified and POTUS is sworn in.
But how do you even make an educated guess anymore? So few people answer their phone now that there's no way you'll get any idea.