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c/cfb Week 2 Poll Results and Link to Week 3 Poll

PlaceTeamPoints#1 VotesMovement
1Georgia1004-
2Texas880+1
3Notre Dame820+4
4Ohio State800-
5Oregon650-3
6Miami (FL)640+7
7alabama620+4
8Oklahoma600-
9USC590+9
10Ole Miss580-
10Penn State580-4
12Michigan510-
13Tennessee420+3
14Missouri370+2
14Utah370+4
16Oklahoma State360-3
17Georgia Tech270NR
17Kansas270+6
19LSU240-10
20Florida State220-15
20Kansas State220+3
20Louisville220NR
20SMU220-2
24Boston College200NR
24Iowa200-2

Others receiving votes: Texas A&M (19), Clemson (15), Wisconsin (12), Vanderbilt (11), Kentucky (10), UNLV (8), Maryland (7), Boise State (6), Iowa State (6), NC State (5), Auburn (4), Arizona (3), UCF (3), Washington (3), Virginia Tech (2), Arizona State (1)

Link to the results spreadsheet HERE

Link for next weeks poll HERE

Link to submit your CFP bracket prediction for the contest HERE

12 comments
  • I don't get this group. How is Florida State ranked, while Texas A&M and Clemson aren't? Never mind that Boston College is 4 spots behind. I didn't put them on my poll, which means that Florida State got an average of #19 from the other 3 voters. I don't know how you look at that team and still think the Seminoles are a top 20 team.

    alabama is all lowercase, please don't fix it.

    The spreadsheet of votes is locked. I can't see where all the polls ranked everyone.

    I see a few other trends, but I think they are just outliers due to the small sample size. I bet it will all get figured out in the next 2 weeks.

  • USC won. Clemson lost. Clemson is no longer in the poll results.

    The only thing that could make this week better is if Georgia had also lost, but... gotta pick the lesser evil 😆

  • Updated the banner and sidebar!

    I see I'm catching a lot of flack here for my computer poll (and understandably so), to which I say: vote in the poll! The more participants, the more my funky algorithm gets drowned out. I will say, I did tweak it this year to further devalue preseason expectations, but I can't let it just stand on 1.5 weeks of data. Preseason expectations get fully flushed out after week 4.

    Also, because the transfer portal makes it so hard to get a read on rosters early in the season, I outsourced the returning production variable to Action Network's metric. It worked pretty well last year, but I'm not sure they're on the mark this year. If anyone has a better source (that is free or cheap), I'm willing to give it a try for next year.

  • My ballot -- still a little weird from preseason expectations, but that's mostly factored out now. The bigger issue is that 2-3 weeks of data is too small a sample size for the computer to know what to do with. Teams that played P4 teams are very high (even if they lost), whereas teams that played FCS schools are very low (even if they blew them out). Teams that already had a bye are even lower (exacerbated by this season having an extra bye week). It should all be sorted out in a couple weeks.

    I will say, by eye test I really disagree with some of these rankings (I mean, ou up to number 4???) but I find the pure data intriguing, especially for spots 40ish through 134 which a lot of people ignore. I'm considering a few tweaks (to diminish the effects of garbage time stat padding), but it would make the algorithm more complex. Without fully automating it, I need to keep it simple enough to tabulate semi-manually every week. Hoping I can use next offseason to tinker with some scripts.

    ::: spoiler Full ranking: | Rank | Change | Team | Record | Points | | ---: | :---: | :--- | :--- | :--- | | 1 | +1 | Texas | 2-0 | 461 | | 2 | -1 | Georgia | 2-0 | 438 | | 3 | +2 | Ohio State | 2-0 | 375 | | 4 | +3 | Oklahoma | 2-0 | 347 | | 5 | +1 | Penn State | 2-0 | 339 | | 6 | +5 | USC | 2-0 | 338 | | 7 | -4 | Oregon | 2-0 | 323 | | 8 | -4 | Florida State | 0-2 | 314 | | 9 | +7 | Georgia Tech | 2-1 | 309 | | 10 | +0 | SMU | 2-1 | 305 | | 11 | -2 | Notre Dame | 1-1 | 302 | | 12 | -4 | Miami (FL) | 2-0 | 300 | | 13 | +9 | Alabama | 2-0 | 286 | | 14 | +13 | Nebraska | 2-0 | 279 | | 15 | +3 | Clemson | 1-1 | 277 | | 16 | +22 | Tennessee | 2-0 | 271 | | 17 | +6 | Ole Miss | 2-0 | 270 | | 18 | +1 | Louisville | 2-0 | 267 | | 19 | +9 | Maryland | 1-1 | 261 | | T20 | +5 | Missouri | 2-0 | 258 | | T20 | -8 | Texas A&M | 1-1 | 258 | | 22 | -10 | LSU | 1-1 | 257 | | 23 | +1 | Virginia Tech | 1-1 | 256 | | 24 | -9 | Michigan | 1-1 | 253 | | 25 | +21 | South Carolina | 2-0 | 252 | | 26 | -6 | Oklahoma State | 2-0 | 251 | | T27 | -7 | Iowa State | 2-0 | 250 | | T27 | +9 | North Carolina | 2-0 | 250 | | T27 | -11 | Iowa | 1-1 | 250 | | 30 | +7 | Boise State | 1-1 | 244 | | 31 | +1 | Utah | 2-0 | 242 | | T32 | -18 | Wisconsin | 2-0 | 237 | | T32 | +0 | Boston College | 2-0 | 237 | | T32 | +11 | Syracuse | 2-0 | 237 | | 35 | -10 | Kentucky | 1-1 | 236 | | 36 | -6 | Kansas State | 2-0 | 232 | | 37 | -6 | Kansas | 1-1 | 231 | | T38 | +11 | Rutgers | 2-0 | 225 | | T38 | +23 | Arizona State | 2-0 | 225 | | 40 | -5 | Auburn | 1-1 | 221 | | 41 | +14 | UCF | 2-0 | 218 | | 42 | +8 | Northwestern | 1-1 | 217 | | T43 | +8 | California | 2-0 | 216 | | T43 | +17 | Nevada | 2-0 | 216 | | T43 | +34 | Northern Illinois | 1-2 | 216 | | T46 | +12 | Texas State | 2-0 | 213 | | T46 | +24 | Pittsburgh | 2-0 | 213 | | 48 | -5 | Liberty | 2-0 | 210 | | 49 | -4 | UNLV | 2-0 | 209 | | 50 | -12 | Arizona | 2-0 | 207 | | 51 | -17 | West Virginia | 1-1 | 201 | | T52 | -5 | Indiana | 2-0 | 200 | | T52 | -23 | Miami (OH) | 0-1 | 200 | | 54 | +4 | Houston | 0-2 | 198 | | T55 | +8 | Memphis | 2-0 | 197 | | T55 | +9 | Duke | 2-0 | 197 | | T55 | +13 | Illinois | 2-0 | 197 | | 58 | -6 | TCU | 2-0 | 196 | | 59 | +5 | Washington | 2-0 | 195 | | T60 | +13 | Louisiana | 2-0 | 194 | | T60 | -13 | Minnesota | 1-1 | 194 | | 62 | -22 | Florida | 1-1 | 193 | | 63 | -22 | Fresno State | 1-1 | 192 | | 64 | +0 | Old Dominion | 0-2 | 190 | | T65 | +30 | Washington State | 2-0 | 187 | | T65 | -11 | Colorado | 1-1 | 187 | | 67 | +32 | Michigan State | 2-0 | 185 | | 68 | +7 | Toledo | 2-0 | 184 | | 69 | +15 | Oregon State | 2-0 | 181 | | 70 | +1 | Bowling Green | 1-1 | 180 | | T71 | -30 | Appalachian State | 1-1 | 178 | | T71 | -18 | Rice | 1-1 | 178 | | T73 | -16 | UTSA | 1-1 | 175 | | T73 | -1 | FAU | 0-2 | 175 | | 75 | +5 | Arkansas | 1-1 | 173 | | T76 | +2 | Baylor | 1-1 | 172 | | T76 | +2 | Sam Houston | 1-1 | 172 | | T76 | +12 | Georgia Southern | 1-1 | 172 | | 79 | +17 | BYU | 2-0 | 171 | | 80 | +39 | FIU | 1-1 | 170 | | 81 | +5 | Cincinnati | 1-1 | 169 | | 82 | +22 | Ohio | 1-1 | 168 | | T83 | +7 | Mississippi State | 1-1 | 167 | | T83 | -1 | South Alabama | 0-2 | 167 | | T85 | +11 | ECU | 2-0 | 164 | | T85 | -18 | USF | 1-1 | 164 | | T87 | -6 | Coastal Carolina | 2-0 | 163 | | T87 | -31 | UCLA | 1-0 | 163 | | T89 | -5 | Arkansas State | 2-0 | 162 | | T89 | -28 | Hawaii | 1-1 | 162 | | T89 | +14 | Wake Forest | 1-1 | 162 | | T92 | -4 | Vanderbilt | 2-0 | 160 | | T92 | +17 | Virginia | 2-0 | 160 | | 94 | +16 | Army | 2-0 | 159 | | 95 | -27 | Texas Tech | 1-1 | 158 | | T96 | +22 | Navy | 2-0 | 156 | | T96 | +9 | Tulane | 1-1 | 156 | | T98 | +14 | Eastern Michigan | 1-1 | 153 | | T98 | +0 | Charlotte | 0-2 | 153 | | 100 | +14 | San Jose State | 2-0 | 150 | | 101 | -7 | UNT | 2-0 | 149 | | T102 | -3 | James Madison | 2-0 | 148 | | T102 | -11 | Stanford | 1-1 | 148 | | 104 | +2 | Marshall | 1-1 | 146 | | 105 | +2 | Troy | 0-2 | 145 | | 106 | -32 | NC State | 1-1 | 141 | | 107 | +22 | UL Monroe | 2-0 | 140 | | 108 | -15 | Georgia State | 1-1 | 136 | | 109 | -18 | Western Michigan | 0-2 | 134 | | 110 | -11 | Jacksonville State | 0-2 | 133 | | 111 | +0 | Air Force | 1-1 | 132 | | T112 | -36 | Purdue | 1-0 | 130 | | T112 | +5 | New Mexico State | 1-1 | 130 | | 114 | -27 | Wyoming | 0-2 | 128 | | 115 | -32 | Utah State | 1-1 | 127 | | 116 | +7 | UMass | 0-2 | 126 | | 117 | +7 | Tulsa | 1-1 | 125 | | 118 | -19 | Western Kentucky | 1-1 | 124 | | 119 | -4 | UAB | 1-1 | 122 | | 120 | -4 | Akron | 0-2 | 116 | | 121 | -14 | Colorado State | 1-1 | 115 | | 122 | -10 | New Mexico | 0-2 | 114 | | 123 | -2 | Central Michigan | 1-1 | 109 | | T124 | -2 | UConn | 1-1 | 106 | | T124 | +1 | San Diego State | 1-1 | 106 | | 126 | -1 | Southern Miss | 1-1 | 101 | | 127 | -2 | Buffalo | 1-1 | 98 | | 128 | -9 | Middle Tennessee | 1-1 | 97 | | 129 | +1 | Kent State | 0-2 | 92 | | 130 | +1 | UTEP | 0-2 | 90 | | 131 | -3 | Ball State | 1-0 | 86 | | 132 | +1 | Temple | 0-2 | 81 | | 133 | +1 | Kennesaw State | 0-2 | 80 | | 134 | -2 | Louisiana Tech | 1-0 | 73 |

  • Trends:

    • UGA is definitely our favorite so far, let's see if anyone can bridge that gap
    • FSU was a massive loser, even if they maybe should've lost even more
    • FSU is however, the only "state" school ranked higher than their non "state" sister school
    • USC actually lived up to some hype for once in the post Pete Carrol era
    • Massive 4 way tie there towards the back of the pack, I think that's the first time we've seen it?
    • OSU, SMU and Iowa all won, but didn't beat the snot out of their opponents enough to not slide.
    • Lots of "receiving votes" this week. Means we are far from unified on spots 20-25 especially
  • So just checking, are we supposed to submit our ballots for week 3 in the link above? Because I did, but looking at the results it seems like it might still have week 2 ballots as well.

    • Yeah, my general workflow is honestly sloppy af with this thing. But I typically just leave the poll up as the same link and just clear the submissions every week. I do all the calcs on the sheets doc anyway (cut and paste the weeks out to their own sheets each week) so it doesn't really impact the results. Unfortunately I'm only ok at remembering to do all of this lol. It should be all up to date now.

      Edit: I'm also likely to split the results and vote posts up again, as I imagine the other 2 voters last week probably want their name in the pot for the gift card. And it may be unclear the I need some sort of fedi user verification.

  • My ballot this week:

    1. Georgia
    2. Texas
    3. Ole Miss
    4. Ohio State
    5. Tennessee
    6. Louisville
    7. Miami (FL)
    8. Alabama
    9. Missouri
    10. Oregon
    11. Oklahoma
    12. USC
    13. Penn State
    14. Utah
    15. Kansas State
    16. Michigan
    17. LSU
    18. Oklahoma State
    19. UCF
    20. Vanderbilt
    21. Boston College
    22. South Carolina
    23. Kentucky
    24. Nebraska
    25. Clemson
12 comments