Will there really be a big influx of users on the 30th?
I’ve seen many comments and posts regarding the API fiasco on Reddit, with the claim that there will be a huge influx of users when that happens. I’m all for it, but I find it hard to believe that the average or even above average user will make the effort to switch.
Doubt it. Most people who use a 3rd party app should be aware of the API changes already. If they are interested in the alternatives they would have tried by now.
People who are still unaware of what's going on even after the blackouts, would probably just download the official app.
I'm on here obviously, but still using Reddit until Relay croaks. After that I'm not going to violently l completely quit reddit but without being able to use Relay I'll be using it a lot less, not as a regular contributor. It'll be like how often I use Facebook now compared to how I used it a few years ago.
This is exactly what I think. We might see a fraction of a spike from the few holding out until the very end, but it won't be this mass exodus people keep proclaiming it to be.
Apollo has published many blatant warnings to the app about the shutdown, you literally can't use the app without seeing them. Nobody using Apollo is going to be surprised at being cut off.
I assume the other apps are doing something similar to warn their users.
Those who care are already finding their way over here. Those who don't care are using the Reddit app. Those who are somehow still ignorant of what's happening probably don't use Reddit enough to know the difference.