I wouldn't be sure. It's a 1 in 100 chance randomly, and 1 in 49 if they want him over half. They probably want him well over half and not quite 100 though, so probably 1 in 20 or 30. It's not that low of odds. I don't know what they'd gain from it anyway, if they wanted to send that message. They easily can just say it without consequences.