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No, we're in the middle of Oops.
The next step is the part where we are burning and drowning and dying in vast numbers.
IMO starvation is more likely for the majority of us.
Perhaps. Resource scarcity leads to wars as well.
Crop production might actually go up globally, however unevenly. War is the more likely outcome as the losers get desperate and the winners don't care.
Crop production may rise in the long-term, but in the shorter term the brittle nature of the food supply chain in this globalized economy means store shelves could easily go empty overnight if there's a drought or two, or hell, if wars break out all over due to other resource scarcity.
@entropicdrift Yeah good luck exporting your siberian wheat through broken supply chains in a conflict zone.
Yes, we have seen this last year with the famine in the Horn of Africa. They had arranged to ship in grain from Ukraine but then the war happened.
Even though they knew they were going to have another bad harvest and were proactive about supplies, that wasn't enough.