Jordan117 @ Jordan117 @lemmy.world

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2 yr. ago

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Ralston's term for Democrats banking early vote in Clark County (Las Vegas). It gives them a buffer to withstand more heavily-Republican turnout on Election Day. It flipped this year, though, with Republicans building their own firewall via high early vote in the rural counties.

Left side is Ralston's early vote analysis through October, right side is his final prediction from earlier today.

Allan "13 Keys" Lichtman, who has predicted a Harris victory.

On the other hand, many of the people that voted for Bernie only voted for him because they hated Clinton and/or the wider Dem establishment, not because they supported his policies.

I voted for Sanders in the 2016 primary. In hindsight, I think he would have suffered a political wipeout somewhere between Corbyn '19 and McGovern '72. There are shit-tons of oppo that Clinton (and Biden) never used against him, stuff that supporters can explain away in theory but sounds absolutely toxic to swing voters. Combine that with Trump getting the full backing of his right-wing base, corporate America, and a not-insignificant chunk of the more craven Democrats, and it would have been a total disaster.

DON'T || DEAD

ELECT || INSIDE

I think it's less out of fear and more about billionaire wannabe oligarchs tacitly supporting the candidate best aligned with their own interests.

While anything that gets people off Twitter is good, I'm sorely unimpressed by those artists who "had to" to patronize the racist transphobic neo-Nazi hellhole "because my audience is there"... until Musk's policies happened to offend their own personal interests, by requiring training for their AI. Countless models trained on all public images already exist, jumping ship won't prevent their work from being scraped elsewhere, and frankly, any one image or even portfolio will contribute virtually nothing to the result, so quitting in protest is largely symbolic. But so many peoples drew the line at that, and not at Musk making "cis" a slur, or protecting child pornographers, or boosting white supremacist supremacy theories. It's really disappointing to see.

I imagine it's because it's the simplest, most common type of ball that you commonly see described as such. Like, baseballs and basketballs and soccer balls and beach balls exist, but out of context they're typically called that rather than just "a ball". So, a simple round ball. Giving it a pattern requires some extra thought, and of the solid colors red seems like the most common (think dodgeballs).

I pictured a smooth red rubber ball about the size of a baseball on my kitchen table. The "person" was more of an invisible force, not explicitly male but definitely not female. That might be male bias, or subtly thinking of myself doing it (combined with playing too many physics engine video games where your disembodied self pushes things around).

All of this was pretty vague though, like I didn't really imagine the details of the room or the exact path of the ball other than knowing it would roll off and bounce on the floor.

I genuinely wonder how much of the rise of this kind of belligerent stupidity can be traced back to widespread, low-level lead poisoning decades ago that's starting to manifest in earnest now.

This might be more of a blogosphere-era thing I guess. Even when most people blogging did it for pleasure rather than work, it was always considered polite to "hat tip" (h/t) the source of a given link, if you happened to find it on someone else's site.

When you share something cool, link back to the original creator or where you found it from.

Hard as steel in the field, genteel in the palace!

How is this fucker not in prison for discussing the assassination of two House Democrats?

Dipshits thought it was affiliated with the US government and attacked it to "avenge" Gaza.

*Jews

Putin on the Ritz.

Halo 3 released closer to the original Sonic the Hedgehog than today.

Just wait till you hear one of Bama's defensive cheers...