Will Frans Timmermans be the next Dutch PM on Wednesday?

Well shit...

Probably. I'm voting for them (not Timmermans himself, but no. 17 on the party's list as a way to signal I'm less than thrilled with how NL responded to Israel), but am doubtful we'll finally get a government I'm mostly content with. It's been since the pre Balkenende days (which goes back to the turn of the century).

We've had a couple times CDA (Christian party) followed by a really long time under VVD (right wing, led by Rutte), with left being mostly of secondary importance.

As of now there's too many parties polling high, old and new, to really make a good educated guess. VVD, PVV (right-wing, anti islam) and NSC (a new party led by a former CDA member) are all big enough to keep a close eye on.

For someone on the left none of these engender any sort of hope for the country. All would like to close off the borders, none really productively deal with the gap between rich and poor, none really deal with the climate catastrophe.

The (also new) party after these guys is the BBB, which literally is a party of angry farmers that don't want to get their livelihood impacted by climate reductions. Understandable from their perspective, but even worse climate wise. Their foreign policy isn't that much better.

The paywall makes it hard to give a definitive answer