2y ago

El Niño is laying the foundations for unprecedented global temperatures next year

www.abc.net.au

13 comments

On the one hand I'm really excited because I absolutely love summer and especially really hot days. If we get a 40+ on a day I'm not doing anything, I really will just sit out on the porch all day drinking lemonade, or depending on how close it is to Chrissy time, maybe a cheeky one of those Bundaberg things with the lids you can't put back on
But on the other hand, I remember how bad the bushfires of 19-20 were, and black Saturday from stories passed down from my mum (we were in the country and I was a baby at the time). They ruined so many people's homes and many people's lives, and that's not something I particularly want to happen again
- I don't know if youre being facetious or are genuinely unaware of how devastating this is on our natural and societal foundations. The further our climate slips away from the predictable seasons our agriculture was built upon, the increasingly likely our society as we know it runs the risk of abrupt collapse.
  
  At this point it's pretty inevitable. So I kinda empathize with OP to at least try and see the silver lining on this horribly dark cloud. Not saying burying your head under the sand is a good thing, but it might let folk breathe for a second (pun intended)
  
  Meh, we're fucked either way. We were fucked before I was even born. I'm very well aware of how things are headed, but we're well past the point of no return. I just want to enjoy the nice days out on the porch with my lemonade. Thank you for your concern.
- Australia is already committed to allowing the country of Tuvalu to resettle here. Similar to what NZ and the US allow with other Pacific Island nations.
  Whether this type of agreement is extended to larger countries is another question entirely.
- What
  
  To take 1 country as an example 60 million Bangladeshi will need some where to live
uh huh. didnt they say that about this last summer? this is getting old
- What till you hear about the summer after next... And every summer after
- Source?
This is the best summary I could come up with:
The current El Niño phase of the Pacific Ocean is forecast to peak during the coming months as one of the strongest on record, laying the platform for unprecedented global temperatures through 2024.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) concurred with NOAA's intensity assessment, however both organisations have cautioned against drawing conclusions on the subsequent change in weather.
The complex relationship between El Niño and weather patterns is especially relevant to Australia where the rainfall impact diminishes during summer while temperatures remain unusually high.
This means that while Australia's rainfall should gradually shift to resemble a conventional summer pattern during the coming months, our temperatures are likely to remain well above average.
An additional influence on our upcoming summer temperatures is Earth's record warm seas, which according to the WMO's Global Seasonal Climate Update strongly favour ongoing warmth for Australia.
Thankfully, the alternating phases of the Indian Ocean, unlike El Niño and La Niña, do not linger through Australia's summer and the subsequent impact on our weather has completely faded by January.
The original article contains 698 words, the summary contains 171 words. Saved 76%. I'm a bot and I'm open source!

13 comments