Westminster Voting Intention: Labour: 43% (-1) | Conservatives: 28% (+3) | Lib Dems: 9% (n/c) | SNP: 3% (n/c) | Green: 6% (-1) | Reform UK: 8% (+1) | Via Opinium.
Westminster Voting Intention: Labour: 43% (-1) | Conservatives: 28% (+3) | Lib Dems: 9% (n/c) | SNP: 3% (n/c) | Green: 6% (-1) | Reform UK: 8% (+1) | Via Opinium.
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🚨 Latest poll for @ObserverUK. Labour lead at 15 points.
Labour: 43% (-1)
Conservatives: 28% (+3)
Lib Dems: 9% (n/c)
SNP: 3% (n/c)
Green: 6% (-1)
Reform UK: 8% (+1)
(Changes are from a poll released in the Observer last week)
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Party Pred % Pred Seats CON 🌳 28.0% 199 LAB 🌹 43.0% 365 LD 🔶 9.0% 28 REFUK ➡️ 8.0% 0 Green 🌍 6.0% 1 SNP 🎗️ 3% 33 PC 💮 0.5% 3 Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):
Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats CON 🌳 44.7% 375 28.0% 9 213 -204 172 LAB 🌹 33.0% 198 43.0% 233 0 +233 430 LIB 🔶 11.8% 8 9% 8 0 +8 16 Reform ➡️ 2.1% 0 8% 0 0 +0 0 Green 🌍 2.8% 1 6% 0 0 +0 1 SNP 🎗️ 4.0% 48 3.0% 0 38 -38 10 PlaidC 💮 0.5% 2 0.5% 1 1 +0 2 Other ⬜️ 1.1% 0 2.5% 1 0 +1 1 N.Ire ⬜️ - 18 - 0 0 +0 18 Scotland EC Break-Down
Con Lab Lib REF Green SNP 28% 31% 3% 1% 3% 31% Don't believe the Scots numbers for a second in this poll; and they are having a real impact on the EC seat numbers.
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