Westminster Voting Intention: 🌹Lab 46 (+3) | 🌳Con 28 (-3) | 🔶LD 11 (+1) | ➡️Reform 4 (-1) | 🌍Green 4 (+1) | 🎗️SNP 3 (-1) | ⬜️Other 4 (=) Via Savanta.
Westminster Voting Intention: 🌹Lab 46 (+3) | 🌳Con 28 (-3) | 🔶LD 11 (+1) | ➡️Reform 4 (-1) | 🌍Green 4 (+1) | 🎗️SNP 3 (-1) | ⬜️Other 4 (=) Via Savanta.
twitter.com /Savanta_UK/status/1676877021320818690
🚨NEW Westminster Voting Intention
📈18pt Labour lead
🌹Lab 46 (+3) 🌳Con 28 (-3) 🔶LD 11 (+1) ➡️Reform 4 (-1) 🌍Green 4 (+1) 🎗️SNP 3 (-1) ⬜️Other 4 (=)
2,216 UK adults, 30 June - 2 July
(chg from 23-25 June)
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Flavible:
Party Pred % Pred Seats CON 28.0% 177 LAB 46.0% 380 LD 11.0% 35 REFUK 4.0% 0 Green 4.0% 1 SNP 3% 32 PC 0.5% 3 Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries'):
Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats CON 44.7% 375 28.0% 1 236 -235 141 LAB 33.0% 198 46.0% 248 0 +248 445 LIB 11.8% 8 11% 9 0 +9 17 Reform 2.1% 0 4% 0 0 +0 0 Green 2.8% 1 4% 0 0 +0 1 SNP 4.0% 48 3.5% 0 23 -23 25 PlaidC 0.5% 2 0.5% 1 1 +0 2 Other 1.1% 0 3.0% 0 0 +0 0 N.Ire - 18 - 0 0 +0 18 The difference 28% Con vs 24-5% Con is quite something. Still puts Labour in or close to the 400 Club (again).
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