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Out of the mainstream distros what might end up getting bought by Google or even Microsoft, Ubuntu seems to me like the most likely candidate.
I mean, RedHat was once the even more likely candidate, but
RedHat is unapologetically the Enterprise Linux so they're very close to Windows Server in that way.
I find Redhat annoying with how they lock down access to KB articles unless you have a subscription and certain "proprietary " things they do but I managed over 500 RHEL 7 and 8 servers at my previous job and I will say that their support is excellent, and RHEL is rock solid. Satellite server on the other hand, that thing is a steaming pile of garbage...
Yeah Satellite was the worst thing about managing RHEL but it's still leagues better than similar products for Windows. We basically just used Sat for licensing and as a local repo so it wasn't too bad for that. We started using Ansible more just as I left my sysadmin career. Lots of rhel with rac and jboss.