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While Michael's assertion of a 50% chance of winning the race seems logical from his subjective viewpoint of "winning or not winning", it's mathematically incorrect. In a race with five equally skilled runners, the probability of any one runner winning is 1/5, or 20%. Michael's simplification of the outcomes doesn't correctly calculate the probability and indicates a possible misunderstanding of how to calculate odds.
Yes, this was made with ChatGPT. No, I'm not fun at parties.
But the question didn't say the drivers were equally skilled.
So the question cannot be answered!
Also not fun at parties...
You 2 should hang out with me more often.
Also if they are equally skilled, his chances of winning is 0% since it will be a draw.
One assumes some non-determinism due to stochastic events in the racing environment.