There's nearly a 50% chance that 2023 will be the warmest year on record.
The final paragraph...
According to NCEI’s Global Annual Temperature Outlook and data through July, it is virtually certain (> 99.0%) that 2023 will rank among the five-warmest years on record, with a nearly 50% probability that 2023 will rank as the warmest on record.
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Warmest year on record so far.